KalshiCulture › MusicCloses Nov 2 · $6.9K today · $6.9K traded · $4.9K at stake · prices read 9 min ago
The odds
18.5median
1100
Median18.5Middle half16.3 – 23.3
How the odds have moved
Not enough history yet.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
Rank 1 to 2
2%
2¢
3¢
$33.33
9.6K
Rank 3 to 4
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
6.5K
Rank 5 to 6
3%
3¢
4¢
$25.00
319
Rank 7 to 10
3%
2¢
5¢
$20.00
720
Rank 11 to 15
11%
10¢
13¢
$7.69
794
Rank 16 to 20
46%
48¢
49¢
$2.04
4.9K
Rank 21 to 30
28%
29¢
30¢
$3.33
12.7K
Rank 31 to 40
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
5.4K
Rank 41 to 50
1%
1¢
2¢
$50.00
6.7K
Rank 51 to 74
<1%
1¢
$100.00
4.5K
Rank 75 to 100
<1%
1¢
$100.00
6.5K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
