The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Contracts
JAY-Z
83%
▼ 3
81¢
84¢
$1.19
34.7K
Beyoncé
71%
▲ 2
67¢
74¢
$1.35
7.8K
Pharrell Williams
45%
▲ 9
33¢
60¢
$1.67
4.0K
Rihanna
43%
▲ 19
32¢
43¢
$2.33
2.0K
Olivia Dean
30%
10¢
30¢
$3.33
33.00
Shaboozey
29%
5¢
18¢
$5.56
605
Justin Timberlake
28%
▲ 4
22¢
49¢
$2.04
458
J. Cole
25%
8¢
25¢
$4.00
39.00
Mariah Carey
25%
11¢
23¢
$4.35
19.00
Metallica
25%
▲ 23
30¢
$3.33
347
Miley Cyrus
25%
▲ 4
21¢
28¢
$3.57
43.4K
Future
24%
▲ 21
3¢
24¢
$4.17
485
Chris Brown
20%
4¢
20¢
$5.00
346
Doja Cat
20%
▲ 18
20¢
$5.00
26.00
Post Malone
19%
▲ 12
2¢
18¢
$5.56
1.7K
AC/DC
19%
▲ 17
25¢
$4.00
104
Tate McRae
18%
▲ 15
25¢
$4.00
323
Guns N' Roses
18%
▲ 16
18¢
$5.56
204
Ella Langley
16%
▲ 4
13¢
19¢
$5.26
14.8K
Sabrina Carpenter
14%
▲ 5
3¢
20¢
$5.00
717
Backstreet Boys
14%
▲ 8
4¢
18¢
$5.56
1.4K
Justin Bieber
14%
▼ 3
10¢
17¢
$5.88
17.1K
Drake
13%
▲ 5
6¢
17¢
$5.88
2.2K
Lady Gaga
13%
▲ 9
9¢
25¢
$4.00
1.5K
KATSEYE
13%
8¢
18¢
$5.56
7.00
Calvin Harris
12%
5¢
19¢
$5.26
476
Linkin Park
12%
▲ 5
8¢
25¢
$4.00
588
Bruno Mars
11%
▲ 4
1¢
20¢
$5.00
1.2K
Megan Thee Stallion
11%
▲ 4
6¢
15¢
$6.67
183
Lil Baby
10%
▲ 7
2¢
16¢
$6.25
180
Tyler, The Creator
10%
▲ 3
4¢
22¢
$4.55
545
Eminem
9%
▲ 7
1¢
29¢
$3.45
352
BTS
9%
▼ 1
5¢
13¢
$7.69
3.4K
Maroon 5
9%
▲ 7
30¢
$3.33
33.00
Charli xcx
9%
▲ 7
30¢
$3.33
78.00
Dua Lipa
8%
▲ 4
2¢
16¢
$6.25
1.6K
Bryson Tiller
8%
▲ 6
20¢
$5.00
65.00
Pink
8%
▲ 6
99¢
$1.01
44.00
mgk
7%
▲ 5
20¢
$5.00
16.00
Kanye West / Ye
6%
▼ 13
7¢
23¢
$4.35
6.9K
Billie Eilish
6%
▼ 1
4¢
18¢
$5.56
1.7K
Luke Combs
6%
5¢
18¢
$5.56
1.0K
Pearl Jam
6%
▲ 4
30¢
$3.33
31.00
Benson Boone
6%
▲ 4
30¢
$3.33
209
Doechii
6%
▲ 4
20¢
$5.00
22.00
Ariana Grande
6%
▲ 2
1¢
10¢
$10.00
425
Lil Wayne
5%
▲ 3
25¢
$4.00
297
SZA
5%
▲ 3
30¢
$3.33
62.00
USHER
5%
▲ 3
25¢
$4.00
105
Alex Warren
5%
▲ 3
20¢
$5.00
12.00
Chappell Roan
5%
▲ 3
25¢
$4.00
56.00
Frank Ocean
5%
▲ 3
20¢
$5.00
23.00
Morgan Wallen
5%
▼ 5
1¢
14¢
$7.14
1.9K
Cardi B
5%
6¢
19¢
$5.26
696
Foo Fighters
5%
▲ 3
99¢
$1.01
21.00
Bad Bunny
4%
▲ 2
30¢
$3.33
143
KAROL G
4%
▲ 2
30¢
$3.33
23.00
Lil Uzi Vert
4%
▲ 2
20¢
$5.00
14.00
Oasis
4%
▲ 1
30¢
$3.33
92.00
Kid Cudi
4%
▲ 2
25¢
$4.00
14.00
Lil Nas X
4%
▲ 2
30¢
$3.33
21.00
Green Day
4%
▲ 2
30¢
$3.33
57.00
Christina Aguilera
4%
▲ 2
20¢
$5.00
156
Eagles
4%
▲ 2
20¢
$5.00
190
Imagine Dragons
4%
▲ 2
99¢
$1.01
23.00
Katy Perry
4%
▲ 2
25¢
$4.00
156
Taylor Swift
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
9.0K
Stray Kids
4%
1¢
6¢
$16.67
551
Ed Sheeran
1%
▼ 2
18¢
$5.56
563
Kodak Black
1%
▼ 3
1¢
28¢
$3.57
158
Outkast
1%
▼ 4
20¢
$5.00
141
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Pro Football Championship Halftime Show, Performers, Pharrell Williams
Pharrell Williams x adidas Adistar Jellyfish “Red”Nice Kicks · 5 days agoThe Pharrell Williams x adidas Adistar Jellyfish “Storm” is releasing on October 24, 2026, via adidas CONFIRMED and select retailers for $300. Confirmed retailers. Links open in a new tab. Leave your number and we’ll text you the morning…
Pharrell Williams x adidas Adistar Jellyfish “Storm”Nice Kicks · 5 days agoThe Pharrell Williams x adidas Adistar Jellyfish “Storm” is releasing on October 24, 2026, via adidas CONFIRMED and select retailers for $300. Confirmed retailers. Links open in a new tab. Leave your number and we’ll text you the morning…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions