Which party will win the House in 2026?
92%Democratic Party
- Democratic Party92%▼ 1
- Republican Party9%▲ 1
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Will the America Party contest the 2028 U.S. presidential election?
The odds
10%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 10% on Oct 19, 10% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 10% | 7¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | 3.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: America
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Trump Admin Posts Map of America With No VermontOct 26, 2026 at 06:18 AM EDT While announcing major investments in energy infrastructure this week, the U.S. Department of Energy (DOE) seemed to make one key mistake—leaving out an entire state. The DOE’s official account shared a graphic… -
The Future of American Power Runs Through IndiaOct 26, 2026 at 06:00 AM EDT Oct 26, 2026 at 06:19 AM EDT America’s strength was once defined by its resolve to resist the world’s empires. For the past century, it has been demonstrated by how many nations follow its lead. In the next… -
Patriot Act Turns 25: What Happened to Americans’ Rights?Oct 26, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT The Patriot Act was signed into law 25 years ago, just 45 days after 9/11, when nearly 3,000 people were killed when Al-Qaeda launched what remains the deadliest terror attack on American soil. In the… -
Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned attacks on AmericansFormer Secretary of State Mike Pompeo reacts to a memo about potential Iranian attacks on Americans, the reported threats to U.S. interests abroad and the American military presence in the region. Iran in 'ADVANCED STAGES' of planned… -
Donald Trump has been a disaster for rural AmericaThe president’s policies have taken such a toll on farmers that Republicans face trouble in deep-red states Donald Trump’s policies have been a disaster for the nation’s farmers, so much so that a near electoral miracle may soon happen… -
Serbian Americans in Chicago vote in critical parliamentary electionCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm -
Iran steps up efforts to target Americans, unclassified memo warnsFox News senior strategic analyst Gen. Jack Keane joins 'America's Newsroom' to discuss an unclassified memo detailing Iran's increased efforts to target U.S. citizens and analyzes potential military responses in the region. Iran steps up… -
Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warns‘The Big Weekend Show’ co-hosts discuss President Donald Trump’s options for dealing with Iran as intelligence warns the regime may be ramping up efforts to target Americans. Iran ramping up efforts to target Americans, intelligence warns… -
US intel warns Iran is planning lethal plots against AmericansLexington Institute vice president Rebecca Grant and national security strategist Jake Sotiriadis join ‘Fox News Live’ to discuss warnings that Iran is in advanced stages of planning lethal plots against Americans. US intel warns Iran is… -
Federal courts are ‘obstructing’ secure elections: Advancing American Freedom legal fellowAdvancing American Freedom senior legal fellow Hans von Spakovsky discusses efforts to verify U.S. citizenship among registered voters and Democrats’ opposition to those measures on ‘Life, Liberty & Levin.’ Federal courts are ‘obstructing’… -
Hundreds of Serbian Americans vote for parliamentary elections from ChicagoSunday was election day in Serbia, and hundreds of Serbian Americans from across the Midwest cast their votes in Chicago in the middle of the night. One of those voters, Marko Teofilovic, joins Suzanne Le Mignot remotely. Hundreds of… -
No ordinary midterm — this election is a stark choice for America’s futureThere are two ways of looking at the midterm elections, now just a week away. From one angle, it’s a simple referendum on the issues and politicians of the day. From another, it involves a far deeper conflict of visions (as Thomas Sowell…
Related markets
All president 2028 ›Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
65%Democrats Sweep
- Democrats Sweep65%
- R Senate, D House26%▲ 1
- Republicans Sweep7%
2 more
- D Senate, R House1%
- Other<1%
Presidential Election Winner 2028
20%JD Vance
- JD Vance20%▼ 1
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%▲ 1
- Gavin Newsom12%▲ 1
51 more
- Jon Ossoff9%
- Marco Rubio9%
- Kamala Harris4%
- Josh Shapiro3%
- Ron DeSantis3%
- Pete Buttigieg3%
- Andy Beshear2%
- James Talarico2%
- Donald Trump2%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
- Tucker Carlson1%
- Mark Kelly1%
- Wes Moore1%
- Thomas Massie1%
- Raphael Warnock1%
- Ro Khanna1%
- JB Pritzker1%
- Ivanka Trump1%
- Ted Cruz1%
- Donald Trump Jr.<1%
- Rahm Emanuel<1%
- Gretchen Whitmer<1%
- Michelle Obama<1%
- Jamie Dimon<1%
- Glenn Youngkin<1%
- Tulsi Gabbard<1%
- Greg Abbott<1%
- Elon Musk<1%
- Stephen Smith<1%
- Nikki Haley<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
- LeBron James<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Zohran Mamdani<1%
- Eric Trump<1%
- Pete Hegseth<1%
- Jalen Brunson<1%
- Abigail Spanberger<1%
- Hakeem Jeffries<1%
- Elissa Slotkin<1%
- Adam Schiff<1%
- Josh Stein<1%
- Alex Padilla<1%
- Candace Owens<1%
- Tim Scott<1%
- Mike Johnson<1%
- Doug Burgum<1%
- Tom Cotton<1%
- John N. Kennedy<1%
- Rick Scott<1%
Republican Presidential Nominee 2028
37%J.D. Vance
- J.D. Vance37%▼ 3
- Marco Rubio18%▲ 1
- Ron DeSantis4%
40 more
- Tucker Carlson3%
- Ted Cruz2%
- Donald Trump2%
- Donald Trump Jr.2%
- Ivanka Trump2%
- Thomas Massie1%
- Brian Kemp1%
- Glenn Youngkin<1%
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
- Josh Hawley<1%
- Rand Paul<1%
- Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
- Pete Hegseth<1%
- Tom Cotton<1%
- Greg Abbott<1%
- Katie Britt<1%
- Candace Owens<1%
- Eric Trump<1%
- Tulsi Gabbard<1%
- Nikki Haley<1%
- Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
- Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
- Byron Donalds<1%
- Elise Stefanik<1%
- Elon Musk<1%
- Kristi Noem<1%
- Mike Pence<1%
- Steve Bannon<1%
- Joe Kent<1%
- Tim Scott<1%
- Doug Burgum<1%
- John N. Kennedy<1%
- John McEntee<1%
- Matt Gaetz<1%
- John Thune<1%
- Tom Brady<1%
- Erika Kirk<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Mike Johnson<1%
- Rick Scott<1%
Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
17%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez17%
- Gavin Newsom15%▼ 2
- Jon Ossoff15%▼ 1
50 more
- Kamala Harris6%
- Josh Shapiro5%
- Pete Buttigieg5%
- Andy Beshear3%
- James Talarico3%
- Mark Kelly2%
- Wes Moore2%
- Raphael Warnock2%
- Rahm Emanuel2%
- J.B. Pritzker1%
- Bernie Sanders1%
- Ro Khanna1%
- Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
- Chelsea Clinton1%
- Cory Booker1%
- Michelle Obama1%
- Jon Stewart1%
- Gretchen Whitmer1%
- Roy Cooper<1%
- Chris Murphy<1%
- Ruben Gallego<1%
- Mark Cuban<1%
- Barack Obama<1%
- Hillary Clinton<1%
- Hunter Biden<1%
- Stephen A. Smith<1%
- Gina Raimondo<1%
- Zohran Mamdani<1%
- Jared Polis<1%
- Phil Murphy<1%
- Jasmine Crockett<1%
- Abigail Spanberger<1%
- Hakeem Jeffries<1%
- Elissa Slotkin<1%
- Josh Stein<1%
- Chris Van Hollen<1%
- Mitch Landrieu<1%
- Tim Walz<1%
- John Fetterman<1%
- Liz Cheney<1%
- LeBron James<1%
- George Clooney<1%
- MrBeast<1%
- Oprah Winfrey<1%
- Andrew Yang<1%
- Beto O’Rourke<1%
- Kim Kardashian<1%
- Graham Platner<1%
- Adam Schiff<1%
- Alex Padilla<1%
Los Angeles Mayoral Election
55%Nithya Raman
- Nithya Raman55%▲ 2
- Karen Bass45%▼ 3
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions