Next Press Secretary announced by...?
Dec 9, 2027even chance by
- October 3111%▼ 5
- November 3044%▼ 9
- December 3168%▼ 11
Install
Who will be the second-highest ActBlue fundraiser on Oct 23, 2026?
The odds
71%Abdul El-Sayed
- Abdul El-Sayed71%
- Gina Hinojosa15%
- James Talarico7%
- Jon Ossoff2%
- Sherrod Brown2%
- Troy Jackson2%
How the odds have moved
Abdul El-Sayed: 71% on Oct 19, 71% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Abdul El-Sayed | 71% | 70¢ | 80¢ | $1.25 | ||
| Gina Hinojosa | 15% | 11¢ | 21¢ | $4.76 | ||
| James Talarico | 7% | 2¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 200 | |
| Jon Ossoff | 2% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Sherrod Brown | 2% | 5¢ | $20.00 | |||
| Troy Jackson | 2% | 5¢ | $20.00 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: AM ET, ActBlue, Abdul El-Sayed
Search ›-
Abdul El-Sayed leans into faith in new political ad | CNNMichigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed embraces faith as a core part of his identity after months of Republican criticism centered on his Muslim background. The newly built Shanghai Grand Opera House looks gravity-defying and its design… -
'The View' co-hosts defend Abdul El-Sayed comparing himself to JFKFox News 'The View' co-hosts defend Abdul El-Sayed comparing himself to JFK Co-hosts of "The View" defended Abdul El-Sayed after he compared concerns about duel loyalty regarding his Islamic faith to that of former President JFK's… -
Gina Hinojosa sues Gov. Abbott over Elon Musk communicationsCBS News Gina Hinojosa sues Gov. Abbott over Elon Musk communications Feeling like fall with a gradual warm-up in North Texas Melissa ISD bus driver arrested for second time in a week for alleged child sex crimes Masked Biden look-alike… -
Man who heckled Abdul El-Sayed is former Josh Hawley aide, records showThomas Teepell, who worked for Republican senator, demanded El-Sayed disavow Muslim Brotherhood A man who heckled Democratic candidate for Senate Abdul El-Sayed and demanded he disavow the Muslim Brotherhood at a Michigan townhall is a… -
Asked about Muslim Brotherhood, Abdul El-Sayed tells man "it's you who needs to understand the Constitution"October 19, 2026 / 1:35 PM EDT / CBS Detroit A man at a town hall Saturday in Caro, Michigan, asked Democratic U.S. Senate nominee Abdul El-Sayed whether he would disavow the Muslim Brotherhood. El-Sayed said "absolutely," then questioned… -
Michigan's Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed campaigns in GOP strongholdMichigan's Democratic U.S. Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed is campaigning in the GOP stronghold of Michigan's Upper Peninsula, an area that hasn't voted for a Democrat in Congress in over a decade. Michigan's Democratic Senate candidate… -
Here’s why Obama admin put Abdul El-Sayed’s sister-in-law on terror watch list as Senate hopeful claims ‘she did nothing wrong’WASHINGTON — Far-left Michigan Senate hopeful Abdul El-Sayed is insisting that his sister-in-law “did nothing wrong” amid revelations that she was supposedly placed on a terrorist watchlist by the Obama administration over a decade ago… -
RAW: ABDUL EL-SAYED RELEASES AD HIGHLIGHTING FAITHLocal 3 News Abdul El-Sayed releases new video highlighting faith amid Republican attacks Live cockroaches, spoiled food and glove-changing lead this week's violations Woman killed after being struck by vehicle in Chattanooga; police… -
Abdul El-Sayed Airs Ads Targeting Mike RogersState Affairs Pro Share with your team Guests can view 10 articles for free -
Mike Rogers spars with CNN over Abdul El-Sayed press coverageFox News Mike Rogers spars with CNN over Abdul El-Sayed press coverage Michigan Republican Senate candidate Mike Rogers accused the press of protecting his opponent, Democrat Abdul El-Sayed, on CNN's "State of the Union." -
Video All Access with Linsey Davis: Race to November with Abdul El-SayedABC News - Breaking News, Latest News and Videos All Access with Linsey Davis: Race to November with Abdul El-Sayed In a special edition of All Access, ABC's Linsey Davis spoke to Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed about… -
All Access with Linsey Davis: Race to November with Abdul El-SayedIn a special edition of All Access, ABC's Linsey Davis spoke to Michigan Democratic Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed about the midterms and why he's become a lightning rod for his political opponents. Subscribe to ABC News on YouTube…
Related markets
All politics ›Blue wave in 2026?
81%chance▲ 1
What will Trump say during his Midterm Rally in Kansas?
>99%Transgender 5+ times
- Transgender 5+ times>99%▲ 22
- SI / Super Intelligence>99%▲ 33
- Star>99%▲ 59
19 more
- Gay / Palestine>99%▲ 79
- Biden / Kamala / Obama 10+ times>99%▲ 13
- Regulation / Regulatory100%▲ 72
- Ass1%▼ 64
- Bull / Bullshit1%▼ 40
- Fertilizer / Rural1%▼ 47
- Animal1%▼ 62
- Drag Show1%▼ 64
- Maduro1%▼ 26
- Data Center / Electric / Electricity1%▼ 38
- Russia / Ukraine1%▼ 72
- Hormuz / Blockade1%▼ 58
- Fentanyl / Deport / Deported1%▼ 32
- America First / Gulf of America1%▼ 62
- Hell 15+ times<1%▼ 54
- Tax 33+ times<1%▼ 45
- AI / Artificial Intelligence<1%▼ 45
- Bitcoin / Crypto / Cryptocurrency<1%▼ 2
- -No Qualifying Event-<1%▼ 3
Trump out as President before 2027?
4%chance
Trump's RCP approval average on Oct 20, 2026?
38.85%median
38.55%39.25%
Median 38.85%Middle half 38.76% – 38.94%
Traffic through the Panama Canal? (10/12 - 10/18)
195.1median
160260
Median 195.1Middle half 192.4 – 197.7
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.