30Y US Treasury yield on Dec 31, 2027?
4.64%median
1.74%8.24%
Median 4.64%Middle half 3.14% – 7.74%
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How low will the 7-year US Treasury yield get in Oct 2026?
The odds
87%4.85% or below
- 4.85% or below87%
How the odds have moved
4.85% or below: 89% on Oct 20, 87% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Why it moved
- Oct 24, 9 PM ET4.85% or below: 66% → 87%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 4.85% or below | 87% | 30¢ | 56¢ | $1.79 | 2.7K | |
| ✓ 4.86% or below | 91% | $1.10 | 2.3K | |||
| ✓ 4.87% or below | 2% | ▼ 85 | $50.00 | 2.2K | ||
| ✓ 4.88% or below | 41% | ▼ 43 | $2.44 | 2.0K | ||
| ✓ 4.89% or below | 12% | ▼ 66 | $8.33 | 2.0K | ||
| ✓ 4.9% or below | 3% | ▼ 78 | $33.33 | 2.0K | ||
| ✓ 4.91% or below | 1% | ▼ 77 | $100.00 | 2.1K | ||
| ✓ 4.92% or below | 72% | $1.39 | 679 | |||
| ✓ 4.93% or below | 70% | $1.43 | 670 | |||
| ✓ 4.94% or below | 66% | $1.52 | 689 | |||
| ✓ 4.95% or below | 64% | $1.56 | 657 | |||
| ✓ 4.96% or below | 59% | $1.69 | 648 | |||
| ✓ 4.97% or below | 24% | $4.17 | 613 | |||
| ✓ 4.98% or below | 16% | $6.25 | 308 | |||
| ✓ 4.99% or below | 71% | $1.41 | 392 | |||
| ✓ 5% or below | 70% | $1.43 | 245 | |||
| ✓ 5.01% or below | 12% | $8.33 | 488 | |||
| ✓ 5.02% or below | 1% | $100.00 | 436 | |||
| ✓ 5.03% or below | 1% | $100.00 | 313 | |||
| ✓ 5.04% or below | 1% | $100.00 | 871 | |||
| ✓ 5.05% or below | 1% | $100.00 | 1.0K | |||
| ✓ 5.06% or below | 20% | $5.00 | 1.2K | |||
| ✓ 5.07% or below | 1% | $100.00 | 675 | |||
| ✓ 5.08% or below | 1% | $100.00 | 1.5K | |||
| ✓ 5.09% or below | 60% | $1.67 | 1.5K | |||
| ✓ 5.1% or below | 52% | $1.92 | 1.6K | |||
| ✓ 5.11% or below | 14% | $7.14 | 5.9K | |||
| ✓ 5.12% or below | 1% | $100.00 | 1.3K | |||
| ✓ 5.13% or below | 1% | $100.00 | 2.2K | |||
| ✓ 5.14% or below | 1% | $100.00 | 5.0K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Treasury
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U.S. Treasury yields inch lower as investors look ahead to the Fed's rate decisionU.S. Treasury yields inched lower Monday as investors look ahead to the central bank's interest rate decision and await a flurry of economic data this week. The benchmark 10-year Treasury yield was down less than 1 basis point to 4.98%… -
Ripple Treasury Introduces Always-On Corporate Treasury Platform to Modernize Corporate Cash ManagementNew orchestration capabilities connect treasury workflows, AI, payments, and choice of rails while 24/7 Returns allow businesses to put operating cash to work beyond traditional banking hours with Ripple USD (RLUSD) -
Bitcoin Treasury Analyst: MSTR, ASST & Metaplanet Digital Credit OutlookMetaplanet moves to the U.S. to issue preferreds. Allard Peng breaks down the capital pool, parent support questions, and why it's accretive to common shares. Bitcoin Treasury Analyst: MSTR, ASST & Metaplanet Digital Credit Outlook… -
Strive buys 6,182 more Bitcoin, lifting its treasury to 43,000 BTCThe Nasdaq-listed firm keeps stacking coins after its Semler Scientific merger, funded by warrants and preferred stock Strive just added another 6,182 Bitcoin to its balance sheet. That brings the company’s total holdings to 43,000 BTC… -
Bitget, Reality, And Aurelion Partner To Launch Tokenized Gold Treasury StocksHome > Companies > Bitget, Reality, And Aurelion Partner To Launch Tokenized Gold Treasury Stocks Bitget, Reality, and Aurelion announced a partnership to launch rAURE, a token representing shares in a Nasdaq-listed company that holds… -
‘Black Holes’ for Capital-Gains Tax Come Under Treasury FireThe IRS drew new boundaries around 351 conversions, targeting cases in which, as part of a prearranged plan, an ETF effectively serves as a conduit to convert one set of appreciated securities into a materially different portfolio without… -
Bitcoin and Gold Trail Short-Term Treasury Bills in 2026 Asset RankingsHome > Bitcoin News > Bitcoin and Gold Trail Short-Term Treasury Bills in 2026 Asset Rankings — Charlie Bilello (@charliebilello) October 25, 2026 Bitget, Reality, And Aurelion Partner To Launch Tokenized Gold Treasury Stocks TL;DR Bitget… -
Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buffer ETF – July ETF , TBJLHistorical Prices for Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buffer ETF – July Loading.. Sustainability Rating Investment Policy Copyright © 2026 Insider Inc and ... Innovator 20+ Year Treasury Bond Buffer ETF – July ETF , TBJL Asset Allocation… -
Reality, Aurelion, Bitget to bring a Nasdaq-listed gold treasury firm onchainReality, the tokenization platform bringing publicly listed equities onchain, Bitget, the world's largest Universal Exchange (UEX), and Aurelion (NASDAQ: AURE), a Nasdaq-listed gold treasury company, have entered into a strategic… -
Evening digest: Treasury yields hit 24 year high, Micron gainsBuy Micron (MU). DA Davidson’s $3,000 target plus the AI memory-demand vs supply imbalance supports multi-year earnings growth, and the stock’s valuation has lagged rising earnings expectations. Catalyst stack: improving AI accelerator… -
Strive (ASST) Buys 6,182 Bitcoin For $511 Million, Lifts Treasury To 43,000 BTCStrive purchased 6,182 BTC for $511.4 million at an average of $82,732 per bitcoin, increasing its total holdings to 43,000 BTC. Strive, Inc. (ASST) acquired 6,182 bitcoin for $511.4 million between October 17 and October 23, according to… -
WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury Fund (NYSEARCA:USFR) Hits New 1-Year High – What’s Next?Posted by Michael Walen on Oct 26th, 2026 WisdomTree Floating Rate Treasury Fund (NYSEARCA:USFR – Get Free Report)’s share price reached a new 52-week high on Monday. The company traded as high as $50.53 and last traded at $50.5350, with a…
Related markets
All rates & bonds ›How low will 30-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
25%Below 4.60%
4.4%5.25%
10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 26, 2026?
4.97%median
4.78%5.1%
Median 4.97%Middle half 4.94% – 5%
How high will 10-year Treasury yield go before 2027?
25%5.4%
5.3%6.3%
How low will 5-year Treasury yield get before 2027?
16%Below 4.00%
3.9%4.55%
How low will 30-year Treasury yield get in October?
89%Below 5.25%
5.2%5.46%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions