MI-04 House Election Winner
63%Sean McCann (D)
- Sean McCann (D)63%▼ 1
- Bill Huizenga (R)37%
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MI-04 House winner? (2026)
The odds
62%Sean McCann
- Sean McCann62%▼ 1
- Bill Huizenga38%
How the odds have moved
Sean McCann: 49% on Oct 20, 62% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETSean McCann: 52% → 58%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sean McCann | 62% | ▼ 1 | 61¢ | 62¢ | $1.61 | 44.5K |
| Bill Huizenga | 38% | 37¢ | 38¢ | $2.63 | 15.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The same question on Polymarket
- MI-04 House winner? (2026)Sean McCann (D)Kalshi 62%Polymarket 63%1 pts apart
Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.
The news: MI- House, Sean McCann, Bill Huizenga
Search ›No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.