AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
NC-03 House winner?
The odds
67%Greg Murphy
- Greg Murphy67%▼ 5
- Raymond Smith Jr.34%▲ 5
How the odds have moved
Greg Murphy: 85% on Oct 20, 67% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Greg Murphy | 67% | ▼ 5 | 66¢ | 67¢ | $1.49 | 70.9K |
| Raymond Smith Jr. | 34% | ▲ 5 | 33¢ | 34¢ | $2.94 | 54.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NC- House, Greg Murphy, Raymond Smith Jr.
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NC-3 gains late attention with early vote surge, ratings shiftRepublican US Rep. Greg Murphy, MD, is being challenged in North Carolina’s 3rd Congressional District by Democratic candidate Raymond Smith Jr., who represented North Carolina House District 21 from 2019 to 2023. The race has drawn… -
Congressman Greg Murphy speaks with Dave Jordan about his reelection campaignWITN Congressman Greg Murphy speaks with Dave Jordan about his reelection campaign Juvenile arrested after man was shot multiple times at Edenton McDonalds, police say 1 arrested after motorcyclist killed in Greenville fatal crash Round… -
Dr. Raymond Smith speaks with Dave Jordan about his run to unseat Congressman Greg MurphyWITN Dr. Raymond Smith speaks with Dave Jordan about his run to unseat Congressman Greg Murphy Juvenile arrested after man was shot multiple times at Edenton McDonalds, police say 1 arrested after motorcyclist killed in Greenville fatal… -
Junior commissioners holding candidate forumRRSpin A youth-led Candidates Forum will be held Saturday at 10 a.m. at the Rosenwald School located on the grounds of the 4-H Rural Life Center outside Halifax. The forum will be completely facilitated by the 2026-27 Halifax Junior County… -
Local candidates discuss local issuesBrunswick County Board of Commissioners candidates (from left) Gary Woods, Randy Thompson, Sara Singer and Patti Hewett during the Oct. 18 Cedar Grove Improvement Association Candidate Forum. Brunswick County Board of Education candidates… -
AMA on Ways and Means unanimously endorsing budget neutrality reformStatement attributable to: Bobby Mukkamala, MD President, American Medical Association MAY 21, 2026 “Physicians are grateful that the House Ways and Means Committee took a major step in curing a […] AMA on Ways and Means unanimously… -
Annual WATERS Summit searches for flooding solutionsGREENVILLE, N.C. — The fifth annual WATERS Summit returned to Greenville Wednesday, led by U.S. Rep. Greg Murphy and U.S. Rep. David Rouzer, to provide solutions for flooding damage across the state. Bob Woodard, chairman of the Dare… -
National Democrats make serious play in Western North Carolina -In a move that underscores shifting political terrain in Western North Carolina, the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee has placed a candidate in North Carolina’s 11th Congressional District on its radar — an unusual step for a… -
Fact check: Where candidates Erin Paré and Winn Decker stand on property taxesNorth Carolina voters are being asked on their ballots if they want to require the General Assembly to get involved with local property taxes. But the proposed amendment to the state constitution does not specify exactly how state… -
Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 BidHome » Dane Scalise’s Fixation on Cultural Wars Undermines HD 20 Bid After a little over 3 years as a New Hanover County Commissioner, Republican Dane Scalise is running for NC House District 20. During a period when New Hanover residents… -
Trump to rally voters tonight at Pitt-Greenville AirportPresident Donald Trump walks onto the stage in Minges Coliseum during the Keep America Great Rally on July 17, 2019. Pitt-Greenville Airport is the site for tonight's rally featuring President Donald J. Trump, the Republican National… -
Decision 2026: Full interviews with candidates for First & Third Congressional DistrictsGREENVILLE, N.C. (WITN) - WITN has spent the past week sharing stories about candidates’ policy stances in the First and Third Congressional Districts. We wanted to allow you to watch each one of those full candidate interviews so you’re…
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All house ›AL-02 House winner?
69%Rhett Marques
- Rhett Marques69%
- Shomari Figures31%
AL-03 House winner?
98%Mike Rogers
- Mike Rogers98%
- Lee McInnis1%
AL-04 House winner?
98%Robert Aderholt
- Robert Aderholt98%
- Amanda Pusczek1%
AL-05 House winner?
94%Dale Strong
- Dale Strong94%
- Andrew Sneed6%
AL-06 House winner?
98%Gary Palmer
- Gary Palmer98%
- Maurice Mercer2%
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions