AL-01 House winner?
97%Jerry Carl
- Jerry Carl97%
- Clyde Jones3%
Install
IA-02 House winner?
The odds
71%Lindsay James
- Lindsay James71%
- Joe Mitchell29%
How the odds have moved
Lindsay James: 60% on Oct 20, 71% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 23, 11 PM ETLindsay James: 64% → 72%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lindsay James | 71% | 71¢ | 72¢ | $1.39 | 31.4K | |
| Joe Mitchell | 29% | 29¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | 89.9K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: IA- House, Lindsay James, Joe Mitchell
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NEW: Shocking Video Reveals Disturbing Remarks by IA-02 GOP Candidate Joe MitchellHouse Majority PAC NEW: Shocking Video Reveals Disturbing Remarks by IA-02 GOP Candidate Joe Mitchell Washington, D.C. – New reporting from the Daily Mail reveals a disturbing video of Joe Mitchell, the Republican running in Iowa’s Second… -
Joe Mitchell gives Trump ‘Man of the Century’ awardJoe Mitchell, the Republican running for the U.S. House in Iowa’s 2nd Congressional District, presents his homemade “Man of the Century” award to President Donald Trump during a Thursday campaign rally at the Sioux Gateway Airport in Sioux… -
‘Thank God you’re building the ballroom’: Joe Mitchell flatters Trump with homemade award in Sioux CityAt President Trump’s rally in Sioux City on Oct. 22, Republican Joe Mitchell flattered the president and his planned ballroom enthusiastically and even claimed that Iowans “don’t ride bicycles.” Thursday night, Joe Mitchell was far from… -
Who Is Joe Mitchell? What to Know About the Trump-Backed Iowa Congressional Candidate as Resurfaced 2017 Video Sparks ControversyA video clip featuring Republican congressional candidate Joe Mitchell being obscene in referring to his manhood and expressing contempt for white people in 2017 has resurfaced now that Mitchell is contesting for Iowa’s 2nd Congressional… - Joe Mitchell gives Trump Man of the Century Award in Sioux CityJoe Mitchell handed Donald Trump a self-created Man of the Century Award on Thursday evening in Sioux City, Iowa, putting the Republican congressional candidate for Iowa's 2nd Congressional District squarely at the center of the rally…
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Damning video reveals vulgar rant of MAGA star Joe Mitchell, then-19, about 'black women' and not liking 'f***ing white people' while boasting about his own manhoodA Donald Trump-endorsed Republican congressional candidate in Iowa was filmed in college talking about his manhood, challenging his black friends into a measuring contest and making a series of confounding outbursts about black women. Iowa… - Joe Mitchell, who gave Trump ‘Man of the Century’ award, faces scrutiny for racist rant about Black womenJoe Mitchell, a Republican candidate for Congress in Iowa who is backed by President Donald Trump, was filmed in college making controversial remarks about Black women, race and his manhood. Mitchell, 29, is running in Iowa's competitive…
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The Turnstile show on the Mall could draw the biggest punk crowd in decadesIt was an off-the-cuff comment Joe Mitchell made to President Donald Trump during a Republican campaign rally Thursday. “We don’t ride bicycles in Iowa. We ride Harley-Davidsons, isn’t that true,” said Mitchell, a former Trump… -
A candidate said Iowans don’t ride bikes. The state has a famous bike tour.It was an off-the-cuff comment Joe Mitchell made to President Donald Trump during a Republican campaign rally Thursday. “We don’t ride bicycles in Iowa. We ride Harley-Davidsons, isn’t that true,” said Mitchell, a former Trump… -
Viral video of ‘Lady Gringa’ accosting taco workers outrages Mexico CityIt was an off-the-cuff comment Joe Mitchell made to President Donald Trump during a Republican campaign rally Thursday. “We don’t ride bicycles in Iowa. We ride Harley-Davidsons, isn’t that true,” said Mitchell, a former Trump… -
Nick Reiner may get to use trust fund for murder defenseIt was an off-the-cuff comment Joe Mitchell made to President Donald Trump during a Republican campaign rally Thursday. “We don’t ride bicycles in Iowa. We ride Harley-Davidsons, isn’t that true,” said Mitchell, a former Trump… -
U.S. House District 2 - Lindsay JamesWhat are the three most important issues facing the country/Iowa's role in the country? What will you do in Congress to address them? Should Congress continue deficit spending at current levels, or should it prioritize new revenue (tax…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions