CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
3.89%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.89%Middle half 3.73% – 4.08%
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iShares TIPS Bond ETF TIP prediction markets
Every prediction market about iShares TIPS Bond ETF: its own price outlook, questions about it, and the ones that move it.
What moves it
Core CPI YoY in December (Dec 2026)
2.88%median
2%3.6%
Median 2.88%Middle half 2.72% – 3.03%
CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.24%median
-0.2%1.1%
Median 0.24%Middle half 0.15% – 0.34%
How high will inflation get in 2026?
14%Above 4.5%
4%12%
Core CPI YoY in November (Nov 2026)
2.85%median
1.9%3.6%
Median 2.85%Middle half 2.73% – 2.98%
Core CPI in October (Oct 2026)
0.2%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.2%Middle half 0.12% – 0.28%
Core CPI in December (Dec 2026)
0.2%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.2%Middle half 0.13% – 0.28%
US Core CPI (Nov 2026)
2.82%median
1.8%3%
Median 2.82%
Headline PCE inflation in September (September 2026)
0.44%median
-0.1%0.8%
Median 0.44%Middle half 0.39% – 0.49%
CPI YoY in December (Dec 2026)
3.86%median
2.9%5.1%
Median 3.86%Middle half 3.64% – 4.12%
October Inflation US - Annual
3.7%median
3.15%4.35%
Median 3.7%Middle half 3.68% – 3.73%
Core CPI MoM - October 2026
0.27%median
-0.05%0.65%
Median 0.27%Middle half 0.18% – 0.34%
CPI in December (Dec 2026)
0.17%median
-0.2%1%
Median 0.17%Middle half 0.06% – 0.44%
Core CPI YoY - October 2026
2.59%median
2.15%3.15%
Median 2.59%Middle half 2.56% – 2.63%
Core PCE YoY - September 2026
3.09%median
2.65%3.35%
Median 3.09%Middle half 3.04% – 3.14%
Core PCE MoM - September 2026
0.33%median
-0.15%0.55%
Median 0.33%Middle half 0.28% – 0.39%
CPI in November (Nov 2026)
0.18%median
-0.2%0.6%
Median 0.18%Middle half 0.05% – 0.29%
Core CPI in November (Nov 2026)
0.2%median
-0.1%1.1%
Median 0.2%Middle half 0.11% – 0.27%
Core CPI in December (exact value) (Dec 2026)
0.29%median
-0.05%1.05%
Median 0.29%Middle half 0.19% – 0.38%
Core CPI in October (exact value) (Oct 2026)
0.24%median
-0.25%0.55%
Median 0.24%Middle half 0.15% – 0.33%
How high will inflation get this year? (2026)
19%At least 4.5%
- Reaches 4.5%19%
- Reaches 5%11%
- Reaches 5.5%7%
How much will core PCE increase in Sep 2026?
0.27%median
-0.1%0.7%
Median 0.27%Middle half 0.23% – 0.33%
Core CPI YoY in December (exact value) (Dec 2026)
2.87%median
2.15%3.75%
Median 2.87%Middle half 2.69% – 3.03%
October 2026 CPI MoM Combo · Headline & Core
15%Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.4% or above
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.4% or above15%
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.3%14%
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: Exactly 0.2%13%
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.2%11%
12 more
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.2%10%
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.1% or below9%
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.1% or below5%▼ 1
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: Exactly 0.3%5%▼ 2
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.1% or below4%▲ 1
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: Exactly 0.3%3%▼ 1
- Headline: Exactly 0.3%, Core: 0.4% or above3%
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: 0.4% or above2%
- Headline: Exactly 0.2%, Core: 0.4% or above2%
- Headline: 0.4% or above, Core: 0.1% or below2%
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.2%1%
- Headline: 0.1% or below, Core: Exactly 0.3%<1%
Core CPI YoY in November (exact value) (Nov 2026)
2.89%median
2.15%3.75%
Median 2.89%Middle half 2.75% – 3.05%
Core CPI in November (exact value) (Nov 2026)
0.23%median
-0.25%0.55%
Median 0.23%Middle half 0.13% – 0.32%
How much will core PCE increase in Nov 2026?
0.19%median
-0.1%0.5%
Median 0.19%Middle half 0.11% – 0.27%
How much will core PCE increase in Oct 2026?
0.2%median
-0.1%0.5%
Median 0.2%Middle half 0.12% – 0.28%
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.