US Presidential Election Winner 2028

Crypto.com Elections › President 2028 Closes Jan 31, 2029 · $3.3K today · $3.3K traded · prices read 10 min ago

The odds

22%JD Vance
  • JD Vance22%
  • Marco Rubio10%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
  • Jon Ossoff10%
  • Kamala Harris6%
  • Mark Kelly4%
  • Pete Buttigieg4%
  • Josh Shapiro4%
  • Ron DeSantis4%
  • Wes Moore3%
  • Nikki Haley3%
  • Gretchen Whitmer3%
11 more
  • Glenn Youngkin3%
  • JB Pritzker3%
  • Tulsi Gabbard3%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy3%
  • Tim Walz3%
  • Ro Khanna3%
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Brian Kemp2%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.1%

How the odds have moved

JD Vance: 22% on Oct 20, 22% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Contracts
JD Vance 22% 22¢ 25¢ $4.00 355
Marco Rubio 10% 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 139
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 10% 10¢ 12¢ $8.33 106
Jon Ossoff 10% 9¢ 14¢ $7.14 276
Kamala Harris 6% 4¢ 9¢ $11.11 122
Mark Kelly 4% 3¢ 7¢ $14.29 450
Pete Buttigieg 4% 2¢ 8¢ $12.50
Josh Shapiro 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
Ron DeSantis 4% 1¢ 8¢ $12.50
Wes Moore 3% 1¢ 6¢ $16.67 380
Nikki Haley 3% 6¢ $16.67 77.00
Gretchen Whitmer 3% 6¢ $16.67
Glenn Youngkin 3% 6¢ $16.67
JB Pritzker 3% 6¢ $16.67
Tulsi Gabbard 3% 6¢ $16.67
Vivek Ramaswamy 3% 6¢ $16.67
Tim Walz 3% 6¢ $16.67
Ro Khanna 3% 1¢ 5¢ $20.00 1.0K
Andy Beshear 2% 1¢ 3¢ $33.33 192
Ted Cruz 2% 97¢ $1.03 120
Brian Kemp 2% 99¢ $1.01
Cory Booker 1% 83¢ $1.20
Robert F. Kennedy Jr. 1% 69¢ $1.45

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The same question on Kalshi

2028 U.S. Presidential Election winner?

22%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance22%
  • Gavin Newsom10%▼ 2
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez10%
  • Marco Rubio10%
28 more
  • Jon Ossoff9%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • Donald J. Trump3%
  • Mark Kelly3%
  • Ron DeSantis2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • James Talarico2%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Tucker Carlson1%
  • Jamie Dimon1%
  • Donald J. Trump Jr.1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard1%
  • Glenn Youngkin1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Hunter Biden1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Doug Burgum1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
KalshiCloses Nov 7, 2029 · $13.3K today · $3.7M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The same question on Polymarket

Presidential Election Winner 2028

20%JD Vance
  • JD Vance20%
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
  • Gavin Newsom9%
  • Jon Ossoff9%▼ 1
50 more
  • Marco Rubio9%▼ 1
  • Kamala Harris4%
  • Josh Shapiro3%
  • Pete Buttigieg3%
  • Ron DeSantis3%▲ 1
  • Andy Beshear2%
  • James Talarico2%▲ 1
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson2%
  • Tucker Carlson2%
  • Donald Trump1%
  • Mark Kelly1%
  • Raphael Warnock1%
  • Wes Moore1%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • JB Pritzker1%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Ted Cruz1%
  • Rahm Emanuel1%
  • Donald Trump Jr.1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer<1%
  • Jamie Dimon<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Stephen Smith<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Jalen Brunson<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%
PolymarketCloses Nov 7, 2028 · $485K today · $718M traded

Shown side by side, never averaged: each venue's rules decide its own market.

The news: JD Vance, Jon Ossoff, Marco Rubio

Search ›

No recent headlines name this market's subject.

Related markets

All president 2028 ›
Elections › President 2028

Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028

16%Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez
  • Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%▲ 2
  • Gavin Newsom16%
  • Jon Ossoff15%
50 more
  • Kamala Harris7%
  • Josh Shapiro6%
  • Pete Buttigieg5%
  • Andy Beshear3%
  • James Talarico3%
  • Mark Kelly2%
  • Wes Moore2%
  • Raphael Warnock2%
  • Rahm Emanuel2%
  • Ro Khanna1%
  • Bernie Sanders1%
  • J.B. Pritzker1%
  • Chelsea Clinton1%
  • Dwayne 'The Rock' Johnson1%
  • Cory Booker1%
  • Gretchen Whitmer1%
  • Jon Stewart1%
  • Michelle Obama<1%
  • Roy Cooper<1%
  • Chris Murphy<1%
  • Ruben Gallego<1%
  • Chris Van Hollen<1%
  • Mark Cuban<1%
  • Barack Obama<1%
  • Stephen A. Smith<1%
  • Gina Raimondo<1%
  • Zohran Mamdani<1%
  • Jared Polis<1%
  • Hillary Clinton<1%
  • Phil Murphy<1%
  • LeBron James<1%
  • Hunter Biden<1%
  • Jasmine Crockett<1%
  • Abigail Spanberger<1%
  • Hakeem Jeffries<1%
  • Elissa Slotkin<1%
  • Josh Stein<1%
  • Mitch Landrieu<1%
  • Tim Walz<1%
  • John Fetterman<1%
  • Liz Cheney<1%
  • George Clooney<1%
  • MrBeast<1%
  • Oprah Winfrey<1%
  • Andrew Yang<1%
  • Beto O’Rourke<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Graham Platner<1%
  • Adam Schiff<1%
  • Alex Padilla<1%
Elections › President 2028

Republican Presidential Nominee 2028

44%J.D. Vance
  • J.D. Vance44%
  • Marco Rubio15%
  • Tucker Carlson3%
40 more
  • Ron DeSantis3%
  • Ted Cruz2%
  • Donald Trump2%
  • Donald Trump Jr.2%
  • Ivanka Trump1%
  • Thomas Massie1%
  • Brian Kemp1%
  • Tulsi Gabbard<1%
  • Pete Hegseth<1%
  • Glenn Youngkin<1%
  • Robert F. Kennedy Jr.<1%
  • Josh Hawley<1%
  • Rand Paul<1%
  • Marjorie Taylor Greene<1%
  • Tom Cotton<1%
  • Vivek Ramaswamy<1%
  • Katie Britt<1%
  • Candace Owens<1%
  • Nikki Haley<1%
  • Sarah Huckabee Sanders<1%
  • Greg Abbott<1%
  • Byron Donalds<1%
  • Elise Stefanik<1%
  • Elon Musk<1%
  • Kristi Noem<1%
  • Mike Pence<1%
  • Steve Bannon<1%
  • Eric Trump<1%
  • Joe Kent<1%
  • Doug Burgum<1%
  • John N. Kennedy<1%
  • John McEntee<1%
  • Matt Gaetz<1%
  • John Thune<1%
  • Tom Brady<1%
  • Erika Kirk<1%
  • Kim Kardashian<1%
  • Tim Scott<1%
  • Mike Johnson<1%
  • Rick Scott<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.