California Governor winner? (Person) (2026)
96%Xavier Becerra
- Xavier Becerra96%▲ 1
- Steve Hilton4%▼ 1
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Florida Governor Election Winner 2026
The odds
78%Republican Party
- Republican Party78%
- Democratic Party22%
How the odds have moved
Republican Party: 80% on Oct 20, 78% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Republican Party | 78% | 78¢ | 83¢ | $1.20 | 754 | |
| Democratic Party | 22% | 20¢ | 26¢ | $3.85 | 420 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Florida Governor, Republican Party, Democratic Party
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Top Trump ally warns Republican Party 'dead' if it loses key voting bloc ahead of midtermsMidterm election outcomes depend heavily on energy costs and foreign policy, Joe Concha predicts on 'Varney & Co.' A top Senate Republican warned that the same voting bloc that has propelled the GOP to power over the last decade is at risk… -
Trump going for ‘Yalta 2’ with Putin and Xi would blow up the Republican PartyIf President Donald Trump wants a full-on riot within the Republican Party, going along with Vladimir Putin’s idea for a “Yalta 2” summit with Xi Jinping is the way to do it. Putin knows that the original Yalta was a triumph for Joseph… -
Latino Support for GOP’s Byron Donalds in Doubt for Florida Governor’s RaceOct 19, 2026 at 07:22 PM EDT A new poll shows that Republican Byron Donalds leads Democrat David Jolly overall in the race to be Florida's next governor, but Latinos favor the Democrat by 5 percent. Donalds landed 50 percent overall… -
Will Latino voters stick with the Republican Party? | CNN PoliticsLatino voters helped send President Donald Trump back to the White House in 2024, but CNN's Arlette Sanez breaks down the signs that Democrats may be making gains with the key voting demographic this midterm season. Discover more videos… -
David Jolly campaigns in Eatonville as Florida governor’s race addresses Black votersEATONVILLE, Fla. – Democratic candidate for Florida governor David Jolly visited Eatonville on Monday, meeting with voters as part of a “get-out-and-vote” rally as the campaign focuses on Black voters’ role in the race. The visit came just… -
Republican Party of Florida sues over 'Hope Florida' campaign adLEE COUNTY, Fla. (WINK) - The Republican Party of Florida is suing to stop a political television ad that uses a leaked grand jury presentation, threatening television stations with criminal penalties. The party filed a lawsuit against the… -
Washington County Democratic Party offering free rides to polls for votersThe Washington County Democratic Party has set up a volunteer effort to provide rides to polling places for any registered voter in the county. The party says this is to make sure voters are not blocked from voting due to their inability… -
Police Raid YouTuber Over Alleged Poll Manipulation in Democratic Party RaceOffices of Sisa Tapa TV Operator Among Sites Searched Lee Calls It Unfair That Police Won't Pursue Compulsory Probe of Kim Min-seok Police have launched a compulsory investigation into a YouTuber suspected of urging viewers to give false… -
Former GOP chair hopeful Zac Anaya quits Republican Party two weeks before Election DayRIO RANCHO — Zac Anaya, a Rio Rancho Republican who ran for the Legislature this year and briefly sought the state party chairmanship, announced Monday evening that he has left the Republican Party and will register as an independent. The… -
Florida Republican Party wants court to block Democrats’ Hope Florida adsThe Republican Party of Florida filed suit on Friday against the Florida Democratic Party, many of its candidates and a slew of television stations, seeking to stop the airing of a political ad highlighting the leaked grand jury… -
Jefferson County Democratic Party holds press conference to discuss damaged ballotsNewsBreak: Local News & Alerts Jefferson County Democratic Party holds press conference to discuss damaged ballots You may also like -
Donalds Leads Jolly in Florida Governor RaceActiVote’s October 19, 2026 Florida Governor poll finds that Republican Byron Donalds leads Democrat David Jolly by 3.4%. The poll was in the field between October 1 and October 19 (median field date of October 10). The poll was among 400…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.