Los Angeles Mayor winner? (2026)
52%Nithya Raman
- Nithya Raman52%▲ 8
- Karen Bass48%▼ 8
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Los Angeles Mayoral Election Winner 2026
The odds
51%Nithya Raman
- Nithya Raman51%
- Karen Bass49%
How the odds have moved
Nithya Raman: 52% on Oct 20, 51% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Crypto.com. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 20, 11 PM ETNithya Raman: 52% → 46%
No headline about it in the hours around this move.
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nithya Raman | 51% | 50¢ | 55¢ | $1.82 | 6.4K | |
| Karen Bass | 49% | 47¢ | 53¢ | $1.89 | 435 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Los Angeles Mayoral, Nithya Raman, Karen Bass
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Nithya Raman’s LA mayor bid plunges into chaos as civil war breaks out among Marxist backersNithya Raman’s Los Angeles mayoral bid has been plunged into chaos as the Democratic Socialists of America mull expelling her — just two weeks before the election. Two Marxist factions within the party have challenged the councilwoman’s… -
Why Nithya Raman’s Israel stance could put her out of Los Angeles mayoral raceNew Delhi: The Democratic Socialists of America might revoke their endorsement of Nithya Raman as the councilmember for the Los Angeles City. They cite her refusal to explicitly support the Boycott, Divestment and Sanctions movement… -
Veteran Hollywood actress shreds Nithya Raman over remarks about ex-police chief: ‘Where is your apology?’A Hollywood actress and ally of LA Mayor Karen Bass is demanding an apology from mayoral challenger Nithya Raman over comments praising a controversial policy from disgraced former LAPD Chief Daryl Gates, calling the remarks a “historical… -
Supervisor Lindsey Horvath endorses Nithya Raman for L.A. mayorLos Angeles County Supervisor Lindsey Horvath will endorse Nithya Raman’s bid for mayor on Tuesday, giving the City Council member a boost in the battle for votes on the Westside and in the San Fernando Valley. The endorsement also gives… -
Nithya Raman Gets Votes As 'Gotcha' by Bass Goes BustHANS ACROSS LA - The progressive challenger for L.A.’s mayorship, Councilmember Nithya Raman, survived a failed attempt to shred her district five years ago and shove her into unfamiliar territory, aimed at forcing her off the Council… -
Lindsey Horvath endorses Nithya Raman in LA mayor's raceLos Angeles County Supervisor Lindsey Horvath endorsed City Councilwoman Nithya Raman today, giving Raman a boost in her bid to unseat Mayor Karen Bass in next month's election. On the City Council, 13 of Raman's 14 colleagues have also… -
Nithya Raman faces scrutiny over L.A. eviction aid fundsLOS ANGELES (Diya TV) — Los Angeles City Attorney Hydee Feldstein Soto has called for a full accounting of public money paid to the nonprofit administering Stay Housed LA, an eviction-defense program championed by Councilmember and mayoral… -
Lindsey Horvath endorses Nithya Raman for LA mayorNBC Los Angeles Lindsey Horvath endorses Nithya Raman for LA mayor -
Los Angeles mayoral candidate Raman faces audit rowHome » International » Los Angeles mayoral candidate Raman faces audit row Posted By: Gopi October 17, 2026 Washington, Oct 18 (SocialNews.XYZ) Indian-American Los Angeles mayoral candidate Nithya Raman faces two late attacks: a City… -
Karen Bass and Nithya Raman vie for Spencer Pratt’s voters in final Los Angeles mayoral debateWashington Examiner Los Angeles Mayor Karen Bass and challenger Nithya Raman spent part of their final debate competing for the same prize: voters who backed third-place finisher Spencer Pratt in the primary and remain disillusioned with… -
LA mayoral race: Nithya Raman proposes LADWP audit as high utility bills become key issueABC7 Los Angeles High LADWP bills take center stage in Bass-Raman mayoral race -
LA’s $87M taxpayer money mystery deepens as nonprofit backed by mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman faces spending scrutinyAn LA nonprofit bankrolled with millions in taxpayer funds through mayoral candidate Nithya Raman’s eviction-defense program more than tripled its revenue in five years, even as reported housing and eviction-defense spending plunged, a…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.