Texas Governor winner? (2026)
69%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott69%▲ 1
- Gina Hinojosa32%▼ 2
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Texas Lieutenant Governor Election Winner
The odds
72%Dan Patrick (R)
- Dan Patrick (R)72%▲ 1
- Vikki Goodwin (D)28%▼ 1
How the odds have moved
Dan Patrick (R): 74% on Oct 20, 72% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dan Patrick (R) | 72% | ▲ 1 | 70¢ | 74¢ | $1.35 | $9K |
| Vikki Goodwin (D) | 28% | ▼ 1 | 27¢ | 30¢ | $3.33 | $12.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Texas Lieutenant Governor
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How Christianity Became a Battleground in the Texas Senate RaceOct 25, 2026 at 05:00 AM EDT Republican Ken Paxton and Democrat James Talarico are making Christianity a defining issue in the home stretch of Texas’ U.S. Senate race, offering sharply different visions of what faith should mean in… -
Texas Midterms: Who’s Winning the Battle for Voters?Co-hosts Brandon Rottinghaus and Jeronimo Cortina delve into the latest news in politics Will democrats take back the United States House of Representatives. Who will win the Texas senate race? What does the Latino vote look like… - Democrat Vikki Goodwin sees hope in ‘unprecedented’ race against Lt. Gov. Dan PatrickPolls show the Austin Democrat is neck-and-neck with the incumbent Republican. By Andrew Weber, KUT NewsOctober 22, 2026 10:31 amGovernment & Politics, Texas Standard Original A Democrat has not been elected to the office of Texas…
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Texas governor’s race: Abbott holds narrow lead over Hinojosa in latest pollThe What's Your Point panel shares their expectations for Texas' governor race with a little over two weeks left until Election Day. HOUSTON - Republican Texas Gov. Greg Abbott holds a slim lead over Democrat Gina Hinojosa as the pair… - Texas Early Voting Breaks County Records in Warning Sign to RepublicansOct 20, 2026 at 07:45 AM EDT Oct 20, 2026 at 07:58 AM EDT Two Democratic strongholds in Texas, Harris and Dallas counties, posted record first-day early-voting numbers, an encouraging sign for Democrats in parts of the state they cannot…
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Goodwin challenges incumbent Lt. Gov. Patrick for most powerful state office in TexasAUSTIN (KXAN) -- With early voting underway, Texas voters have the opportunity to choose the next person to hold what is widely considered the most powerful state office in Texas: lieutenant governor. Incumbent Dan Patrick, who has held… -
Patrick defends seat, AG candidates contest for empty spotAirman suffers fatal injury rappelling at Alamodome Trump greenlights Iran to kill Americans Jasmine Crockett remains sore loser Hamas attack had no impact on Israel There are three candidates running for Attorney General in the Nov. 3… -
Republicans plotting stunning power grab if red state official loses election: reportTexas Republicans are plotting a power grab in the event that Democrats manage to unseat one of the state's most powerful leaders, Harvey Kronberg's Quorum Report said on Monday. In Texas, the lieutenant governor also serves as president… -
Bernie Weighs in on Lt. Gov. Race as Far-Left Groups MobilizeDemocratic Socialist United States Senator Bernie Sanders threw his full support behind Texas Lieutenant Governor candidate Vikki Goodwin over the weekend, as far-left groups work to mobilize voters with early voting starting across Texas…
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82%Amy Acton
- Amy Acton82%
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Florida Governor winner? (2026)
81%Byron Donalds
- Byron Donalds81%▼ 2
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions