Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Bruce Blakeman (R)
73%
▼ 1
71¢
74¢
$1.35
$18.8K
Kathy Hochul (D)
26%
▼ 1
24¢
27¢
$3.70
$11.6K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
2026 Midterms: Trump Attacks El-Sayed, Election LawsuitsFox News · 26 h agoPresident Donald Trump escalated attacks against Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed as Republicans seek to hold the Senate, while legal fights over disputed ballots in California and Alaska raise fresh questions about election…
Hochul, Blakeman make final pitch to voters as Election Day nearsCBS News · 40 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 6:35 PM EDT / CBS New York With just over a week until Election Day, voters across New York are weighing issues ranging from child care costs to housing affordability as Democratic Gov. Kathy Hochul and Republican…
Voices of the voters in the 2026 New York governor's raceCBS News · 4 days agoCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |…
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchCBS News · 4 days agoOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a…
Politicians are fighting to win voters trust amid rising utility costsTimes Union · 28 h agoJeff Goldberg has owned and operated Fish307 for more than 30 years. Gov. Kathy Hochul frequently brings up President Donald J. Trump's role in rising energy prices, although surging utility costs in New York predate the president's second…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions