Predictions › Elections › Around the world The last odds before it closed Jozef Viskupič >99% ▲ 5 Peter Hambálek <1% ▼ 5 József Berényi <1% ▼ 1
Jozef Viskupič: 92% on Oct 20, >99% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Trnava Region Governor, Jozef Viskupič, Peter Hambálek Search › No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Student List – Students Win >99% ▲ 73 Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia <1% ▼ 74 Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability! <1% 7 more Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP) <1% Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor <1% Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification <1% Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić <1% Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović <1% European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš <1% SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak <1% Lula da Silva <4% >99% ▲ 82 Flávio Bolsonaro 12%+ <1% ▼ 1 Flávio Bolsonaro 8-12% <1% ▼ 5 5 more Flávio Bolsonaro 4-8% <1% ▼ 36 Flávio Bolsonaro <4% <1% ▼ 38 Lula da Silva 4-8% <1% ▼ 1 Lula da Silva 8-12% <1% Lula da Silva 12%+ <1% Yashar 76% ▲ 4 Likud 23% ▼ 4 Together <1% 3 more Shas <1% The Democrats <1% Otzma Yehudit <1%
16 39
Median 21.6 Middle half 19.1 – 23.7
Marine Le Pen 45% ▲ 1 Édouard Philippe 18% ▲ 2 David Lisnard 13% ▼ 1 42 more Jean-Luc Mélenchon 10% Raphaël Glucksmann 3% ▼ 1 François Hollande 3% Bruno Retailleau 1% Éric Zemmour 1% Jordan Bardella 1% Gabriel Attal 1% Dominique de Villepin 1% Sarah Knafo 1% Christine Lagarde <1% Xavier Bertrand <1% Sébastien Lecornu <1% Marion Maréchal <1% François Ruffin <1% Ségolène Royal <1% François Asselineau <1% Jean Castex <1% Natacha Polony <1% Laurent Wauquiez <1% Marine Tondelier <1% Fabien Roussel <1% Olivier Faure <1% Clémentine Autain <1% Nicolas Dupont-Aignan <1% Michel Barnier <1% Valérie Pécresse <1% François Bayrou <1% Élisabeth Borne <1% Yaël Braun-Pivet <1% Gérald Darmanin <1% Carole Delga <1% Bernard Cazeneuve <1% Manuel Bompard <1% Mathilde Panot <1% Juan Branco <1% Clémence Guetté <1% Karim Bouamrane <1% Lucie Castets <1% Yannick Jadot <1% François Baroin <1% Anasse Kazib <1% Sylvain Durif <1% Iliana Iotova 71% ▼ 4 Аndrey Gyurov 28% ▲ 5 Nikolai Denkov <1% 11 more Blagomir Kotsev <1% Rosen Zhelyazkov <1% Kostadin Kostadinov <1% Natalia Kiselova <1% Yanaki Stoilov <1% Krum Zarkov <1% Atanas Atanasov <1% Boyko Borissov <1% Delyan Peevski <1% Vassil Terziev <1% Rosen Plevneliev <1% Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Settles on volby.statistics.sk
Measured Oct 24, 2026 11:59 PM ET
Trading closed Oct 27, 2026 12:11 AM ET
Traded $11.1K
Today $2.2K
This week $2.3K
At stake $3.2K
Followed here since Oct 19, 2026
The rules Gubernatorial elections are currently scheduled to be held in Trnava Region, Slovakia on October 24, 2026. This market will resolve according to the listed candidate who wins the 2026 Trnava Region gubernatorial elections. Any interim or caretaker Governor will not qualify. If the results are not known definitively by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the results of this election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve solely based on official results as reported by government sources of Trnava Region and Slovakia, including the Statistical Office of the Slovak Rep
The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket .
A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.
For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use . How to use Predictions
