Los Angeles Mayor winner? (2026)
56%Nithya Raman
- Nithya Raman56%
- Karen Bass45%▲ 1
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Peterborough, ON Mayoral Election Winner
The odds
98%Michael Eamon
- Michael Eamon98%▲ 90
- Keith Riel1%▼ 47
- Neil Morton1%▼ 50
- Rebecca Schillemat<1%
- Rob Hailman<1%
- Brian Lumsden<1%
- Jacob Méthot<1%
How the odds have moved
Michael Eamon: 14% on Oct 20, 98% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETMichael Eamon: 14% → 4%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Eamon | 98% | ▲ 90 | 98¢ | 100¢ | $4.9K | |
| Keith Riel | 1% | ▼ 47 | 2¢ | $58.82 | $8.6K | |
| Neil Morton | 1% | ▼ 50 | 1¢ | $90.91 | $4.9K | |
| Rebecca Schillemat | <1% | 0¢ | $726 | |||
| Rob Hailman | <1% | 0¢ | $881 | |||
| Brian Lumsden | <1% | 0¢ | $652 | |||
| Jacob Méthot | <1% | 0¢ | $632 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Peterborough, Mayoral, Michael Eamon
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Former LA mayoral candidate Rick Caruso says he will vote for Mayor Karen BassOctober 26, 2026 / 7:18 PM PDT / CBS LA Billionaire real estate developer Rick Caruso has announced that he will vote for incumbent Mayor Karen Bass rather than her political rival, LA City Councilmember Nithya Raman. The developer behind… -
McCarthy On City Relationship With CeaseFire: What The Mayor Says GoesJune 28, 2012 / 6:10 PM CDT / CBS Chicago CHICAGO (CBS) – Chicago's top cop suggests he's on board with the mayor's plan to have CeaseFire operatives try to help defuse violence in the city. On Thursday, McCarthy said there was no friction… -
Graham Stephan presses LA mayoral hopeful over public drug use, police staffingGraham Stephan pressed Nithya Raman over public drug use and LAPD staffing. The Los Angeles Police Protective League criticized her position, citing her previous vote against hiring 170 additional recruits. Graham Stephan presses LA… -
What is delaying the ruling in Hamtramck mayoral residency case? Former judge weighs in.October 26, 2026 / 4:40 PM EDT / CBS Detroit The case into former Hamtramck City Councilman Muhith Mahmood's residency remains ongoing days after 37 disputed absentee ballots were finally counted in the 2025 mayoral race, putting Mahmood… -
Russian attack on Kyiv kills one person, hits metro station, medical facilities, mayor saysBREAKING: Former FBI Director James Comey is charged for a third time by the Trump administration A Russian missile attack on the Ukrainian capital Kyiv killed at least one person on Monday and damaged a metro station and medical… -
Miami-Dade mayor Daniella Levine Cava speaks on Amendment 3 opposition and county budget woesCBS News Miami is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WFOR-TV and channel 4, CBS News Miami offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Miami-Dade mayor… -
LA mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman embraces 'capitalist' label despite democratic socialist tiesNithya Raman called herself both a capitalist and a democratic socialist on CNN after previously declining to directly answer the question. The LAGOP criticized her remarks amid scrutiny of her DSA ties. LA mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman… -
LA mayoral hopeful Nithya Raman calls herself both a 'capitalist' and 'democratic socialist'Nithya Raman called herself both a capitalist and a democratic socialist on CNN after previously declining to directly answer the question. The LAGOP criticized her remarks amid scrutiny of her DSA ties. Los Angeles mayoral candidate… -
Chicago alders hold first in series of hearings on Mayor Brandon Johnson's budget planCBS News Chicago is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WBBM-TV and CBS2, CBS News Chicago offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Chicago alders hold first… -
Peterborough MPP Smith moving constituency office following summer of protestsMove to Reid Street announced after Smith says protests “had a negative effect on all the businesses” in Chemong Road plaza. Peterborough-Kawartha MPP Dave Smith is moving his constituency office from Chemong Road to Reid Street downtown… -
Rick Caruso backs former rival Karen Bass for LA mayor, blasts Nithya Raman’s LAPD plans as ‘reckless and dangerous’Billionaire developer Rick Caruso is backing his former political rival, Mayor Karen Bass, just eight days before Election Day, blasting challenger Nithya Raman’s plans for the LAPD as “reckless and dangerous.” Caruso announced Monday on… -
Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava speaks on Amendment 3, MDSO decision to pull security detailThe midterm elections are just over a week away, and millions of people across the U.S., including here in South Florida, have already cast their vote. CBS News Miami's Austin Carter was joined by Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava who…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions