Texas Governor winner? (2026)
68%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott68%
- Gina Hinojosa33%
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New York Governor Election: Turnout
The odds
6.31Mmedian
4.00M7.50M
Median 6.31MMiddle half 6.01M – 6.74M
How the odds have moved
Median: 6.21M on Oct 20, 6.31M now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <4.5M | 5% | ▲ 1 | 1¢ | 10¢ | $10.53 | $1.2K |
| 4.5M-5M | 4% | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 | $1.1K | |
| 5M-5.5M | 5% | 2¢ | 7¢ | $14.93 | $1.1K | |
| 5.5M-6M | 10% | ▼ 3 | 6¢ | 14¢ | $7.14 | $3.7K |
| 6M-6.5M | 42% | ▲ 1 | 40¢ | 42¢ | $2.38 | $4.7K |
| 6.5M-7M | 19% | ▼ 1 | 18¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $2.4K |
| 7M+ | 15% | ▼ 1 | 5¢ | 25¢ | $3.97 | $926 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: New York Governor
Search ›-
Voices of the voters in the 2026 New York governor's raceCBS News New York is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as WCBS-TV and channel 2, CBS News New York offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. - The 5:33 |… -
FDR made it a blue bastion – now it’s Trump’s stronghold in California. Is it forever lost?Shasta has embraced the Maga movement with gusto – can Democrats ever win back the rural, working-class voters they once relied upon? A crucial election was approaching and the country was desperate. Despite promises that economic… -
Hochul campaigns with Mamdani as New York's governor's race enters final stretchOctober 23, 2026 / 6:44 PM EDT / CBS New York Gov. Kathy Hochul is increasingly turning to New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani as she seeks to energize voters in the final weeks of the gubernatorial campaign. Hochul joined Mamdani at a… - WILLIAMSBURG: Governor Hochul Meets With Leading Rabbonim And Community Leaders To Discuss Housing, Education And Community NeedsNew York Governor Kathy Hochul is meeting with UJO President Rabbi David Niederman and prominent rabbinical and community leaders representing Williamsburg’s leading mosdos and kehilos, including Satmar, Pupa, Viznitz, Vien, Tzelim…
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Governor Hochul and Mayor Mamdani Unveil Phase Two of 2-K Expansion, Bringing Total Number of Seats to 12,000 CitywideAn official website of New York State Beginning in Fall 2027, Program Will Serve All of Staten Island and Every School District in the Bronx Expansion Made Possible by $1.2 Billion Investment from Governor Hochul, Putting New York on a… -
FBI Raid on El-Sayed’s Mother’s Home Revealed in Resurfaced Article From Abdul’s SisterBy LifeZette News Staff October 25, 2026 The FBI raided the home of Michigan Senate candidate Abdul El-Sayed’s mother in the early 2000s, according to writings by his sister, Eman Abdelhadi. The raid was likely connected to a terror… -
Hochul campaign targets Blakeman’s ties to Trump after another endorsementGov. Kathy Hochul's campaign focused Friday on Bruce Blakeman's ties to Donald Trump, highlighting what it said was another presidential endorsement of the Republican candidate for New York governor. The campaign said Trump issued the… -
Early voting begins in New York: What to know and the key races to watchGov. Kathy Hochul and U.S. Rep. Mike Lawler are hoping to keep their seats. Saturday is the first day of early voting in New York and Empire State voters could help decide which party will control the U.S. House of Representatives over the… -
White House ballroom update sparks ridicule: ‘Was the bird dead?’In case you had forgotten about construction work on the controversial White House ballroom, the official X/Twitter account for the government building shared a picture labelled a “bird’s-eye view of the ballroom” on Friday, only for it to… -
Early voting opens in New York and New JerseyNEW YORK (WABC) -- Early voting began Saturday in New York and New Jersey as voters began casting ballots in key races across the region. The candidates for New York governor spent Friday making their cases to voters ahead of the start of… -
FBI raided home of El-Sayed’s mother, Senate candidate’s sister wrote in unearthed articleThe Department of Justice charged IARA’s U.S. branch, where El-Sayed’s mother worked, with illegally transferring funds to Iraq in 2007. By Alana Goodman, The Washington Free Beacon The FBI raided the home of the left-wing Michigan Senate… -
WATCH LIVE: Gov. Hochul campaigns with NYC Mayor Mamdani in BrooklynNew York Governor Kathy Hochul joins New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani to rally voters on the campaign trail in Brooklyn. WATCH LIVE: Gov. Hochul campaigns with NYC Mayor Mamdani in Brooklyn New York Governor Kathy Hochul joins New York…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions