Texas Governor winner? (2026)
69%Greg Abbott
- Greg Abbott69%▲ 1
- Gina Hinojosa32%▼ 2
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Hawaii Governor Election: Turnout
The odds
407,557median
280,000520,000
Median 407,557Middle half 365,256 – 428,049
How the odds have moved
Median: 411,357 on Oct 20, 407,557 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <310K | 3% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 5¢ | $18.52 | $2.8K |
| 310K-340K | 1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | 1¢ | $76.92 | $1.2K |
| 340K-370K | 25% | ▲ 11 | 22¢ | 26¢ | $3.89 | $2.6K |
| 370K-400K | 12% | ▲ 3 | 10¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | $6.7K |
| 400K-430K | 37% | ▼ 1 | 34¢ | 37¢ | $2.72 | $3.3K |
| 430K-460K | 9% | ▼ 16 | 8¢ | 9¢ | $11.11 | $7.6K |
| 460K-490K | 4% | 1¢ | 7¢ | $13.51 | $1.2K | |
| 490K+ | 10% | ▲ 1 | 8¢ | 11¢ | $9.43 | $2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Hawaii Governor
Search ›-
Hawaii Likely Needs $1B in Disaster Recovery, Resilience FundsLate last month, Hawaii Governor Josh Green announced preliminary estimates suggesting $1 billion is needed to fund repair and mitigation following four major disasters that struck the Pacific island this year. Current estimates and…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions