Does a card sell for more than Logan’s record $16,492,000 by the end of 2026?

Polymarket Culture Closes Dec 31 · $31.6K traded · $1.7K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

3%chance

How the odds have moved

Yes: 5% on Oct 20, 3% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Yes	3%		2¢	5¢	$20.83	$31.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Logan

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Logan Caracoza - Marina Vikings Boys Basketball (Huntington Beach, CA)High School On SI · 3 days agoSports Illustrated
VFW teams with Red Cross to hold blood drive in Logan SquareCBS News · 39 h agoCBS News Colorado Weekend 5pm CBS News Detroit Weekend 6:30pm CBS News Miami 6:30pm CBS Philadelphia at 6:30pm KDKA News Weekends 6:30pm CBS News Texas 5:30pm
Man Faces Drug, Gun Charges After Accidentally Shooting Himself In Logan SquareCBS News · 2 days agoMarch 8, 2018 / 9:31 AM CST / CBS Chicago CHICAGO (CBS) -- A 46-year-old man has been charged with multiple felonies, after police responded to an incident at his Logan Square home and found a stash of guns and drugs after he accidentally…
Logan Henderson K's four in World Series Game 2MLB.com · 2 days agoMLB.com Logan Henderson K's four in World Series Game 2 Logan Henderson works through three innings while striking out four and allowing three runs during his Game 2 start
Logan deputy killed in crashWV MetroNews · 3 days agoThe award-winning native of Pratt, W.Va, took over as head of the news division of MetroNews in August 2000. RUM CREEK, W.Va. — Logan County Sheriff P.D. Clemons confirmed to MetroNews Saturday evening that one of his deputies died in a…
Logan County Deputy killed in crash@WSAZnews · 3 days agoOne Logan County Deputy has died in a crash, according to the Logan County Chief Deputy. LOGAN COUNTY, W.Va. (WSAZ) - A Logan County Deputy has died in a crash. According to the Logan County Chief Deputy, the deputy who died was on duty…
Logan Jew-Fortner — Next on Stage Season 7, High SchoolBroadwayWorld · 2 days agoWatch Logan Jew-Fortner of Pleasanton perform 'Not Today' in BroadwayWorld's Next on Stage Season 7 High School Competition. Watch the full episode archive. Get Broadway alerts by text Logan Jew-Fortner — Next on Stage Season 7, High…
Logan shooting range proposal clears 1st stepFairfield Sun Times · 3 days agoOn Oct. 19, the Montana Land Board approved a proposal by the Montana Department of Fish, Wildlife & Parks (FWP) to acquire an 86-acre easement for a shooting range on public land near Logan Landfill. The site, owned by the Montana…
Gunmen on the run after Logan shootingThe Sydney Morning Herald · 40 h agoAt least two attackers are on the run after a drive-by shooting in Logan, Queensland. At least two attackers are on the run after a drive-by shooting in Logan, Queensland. October 26, 2026 — 9:25am
This Arlington native hopes his voice will take off at Logan AirportYourArlington · 3 days agoEver since he was 13, people have told Christopher Donisi that he has a voice fit for radio. “You should get into voice acting,” he said he’d hear from total strangers. “You have to do something with [that voice].” The pipefitter from…
Leeds United U18s suffer Sunderland defeat despite Logan White braceRoundtableSports · 3 days agoLeeds United Under-18s were left empty-handed after a seven-goal encounter against Sunderland, with Logan White's brace and an early Carrick Njinko strike proving insufficient to earn Rob Etherington's side a result at the Academy of…
Logan Kim Will Play Steven Yeun’s Son Again in Netflix’s Supernatural Drama ‘Pagans’Resonate Voices · 3 days agoLogan Kim is reuniting with Steven Yeun on screen, and once again he is playing his son. Netflix has cast Kim as Nate, the teenage son of Yeun’s character Gus, in its upcoming supernatural drama Pagans from Say Nothing creator Joshua…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$31.6K

This week$260

At stake$1.7K

In the news13 headlines today, 136 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if any single trading card sells for more than $16,492,000 USD in a public auction completed on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". For the purposes of this market, a qualifying sale is the sale of a single trading card, including but not limited to sports cards, Pokémon and other trading card game cards, and non-sport trading cards at a public auction conducted by Goldin or Heritage Auctions, for a total price strictly greater than $16,492,000 USD. The total price including buyer's premium and fees counts, consistent with the $16,492,000 benchmark set by the sale of Logan Paul's Pikachu Illustrator card at

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions