Where will 2026 rank among the highest U.S. domestic box office years on record?

Polymarket Culture › Movies & box office Closes Jan 31, 2027 · $534 today · $30.7K traded · $8.5K at stake · prices read 20 min ago

The odds

54%10th-12th
  • 10th-12th54%▲ 9
  • 7th-9th43%▲ 8
  • 6th or higher3%
  • 13th-15th2%▼ 7
  • Below 15th1%

How the odds have moved

10th-12th: 28% on Oct 20, 54% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
10th-12th 54% ▲ 9 54¢ 56¢ $1.79 $12.6K
7th-9th 43% ▲ 8 43¢ 45¢ $2.22 $7.4K
6th or higher 3% 1¢ 6¢ $18.18 $9.8K
13th-15th 2% ▼ 7 1¢ 4¢ $25.64 $494
Below 15th 1% 1¢ 1¢ $530

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: box office

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Highest grossing movie in 2026?

91%Spider-Man: Brand New Day
  • Spider-Man: Brand New Day91%▼ 1
  • Avengers: Doomsday8%
  • Wicked: For Good<1%
11 more
  • Wuthering Heights<1%
  • Scream 7<1%
  • Michael<1%
  • Star Wars: The Mandalorian and Grogu<1%
  • Toy Story 5<1%
  • The Odyssey<1%
  • The Hunger Games: Sunrise on the Reaping<1%
  • Dune: Messiah<1%
  • Project Hail Mary<1%
  • The Super Mario Galaxy Movie<1%
  • Jumanji 3<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions