María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
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Trump removed via 25th Amendment before 2027?
The odds
2%chance
How the odds have moved
Yes: 3% on Oct 20, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yes | 2% | 2¢ | 2¢ | $50.00 | $60.3K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Amendment
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Veteran 'forced out' of Army seeks scheme amendmentAges 18, Louise Lingard-Snape gained a place in the military band An Army veteran who says she was "forced out" of the military for being gay is seeking an amendment to the government's financial redress scheme. Louise Lingard-Snape, 58… -
Colorado pro-life sidewalk counselor battles state 'bubble law' she says curtails First AmendmentWendy Faustin and attorney Roger Byron speak exclusively with Fox News Digital about Colorado's abortion clinic "bubble law" and their First Amendment concerns. A Colorado woman who offers abortion alternatives outside clinics is battling… -
Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava speaks on Amendment 3, MDSO decision to pull security detailThe midterm elections are just over a week away, and millions of people across the U.S., including here in South Florida, have already cast their vote. CBS News Miami's Austin Carter was joined by Miami-Dade Mayor Daniella Levine Cava who… -
Second Amendment fight moves beyond guns with Supreme Court poised for big rulingNational Association for Gun Rights President Dudley Brown says the AR-15 ban before the Supreme Court could shape challenges to restrictions on automatic knives, body armor, magazines and other defensive equipment. Two federal court… -
First Amendment advocates sue Trump admin over media bansThe plaintiffs specifically ask the court to declare the policy a violation of the First Amendment, block its enforcement, and award them attorneys' fees. A group of First Amendment advocates sued the Trump administration over its attempt… -
Election 2026: What is Louisiana's Amendment 9?(The Center Square) - Louisiana voters will decide Nov. 3 whether to allow more homeowners to qualify for a property tax freeze that keeps their home's taxable value from increasing as property values rise. Proposed Constitutional… -
Iowa’s Amendment 1 deserves a no voteAs Iowans prepare to vote this November, we should carefully consider the long-term consequences of Amendment 1, a proposed change to our state Constitution that would require a two-thirds vote in both chambers of the Iowa Legislature to… -
Florida election 2026: Major races, amendments and how to voteORLANDO, Fla. — Florida voters will choose a governor, decide a U.S. Senate race and weigh constitutional amendments in the Nov. 3 election, while Central Florida communities settle contests for Congress, county leadership and school… - The Fourth AmendmentThe right of the people to be secure in their persons, houses, papers, and effects, against unreasonable searches and seizures, shall not be violated, and no Warrants shall issue, but upon probable cause, supported by Oath or affirmation…
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DeSantis sprints toward Amendment 3 finishKimberly Leonard's must-read briefing on what's hot, crazy or shady about politics in the Sunshine State By KIMBERLY LEONARD and GARY FINEOUT 10/22/2026 07:00 AM EDT Gov. Ron DeSantis is urging voters to support a ballot initiative that… -
Kansas voters to decide constitutional amendment on noncitizen voting in November election—As Election Day approaches, Kansas voters casting ballots between now and November 3 will find a constitutional amendment on their ballot that changes how the state's voting language is worded. The amendment has drawn questions from… -
Grady Judd, Tampa Bay public safety leaders sound alarm over Amendment 3With Election Day just eight days away, Florida sheriffs and firefighters are warning that Amendment 3 could deliver property tax relief at the expense of essential emergency services. More than 40 public safety leaders gathered at the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions