GPU rental prices (H200) hit___ in 2026?

Polymarket Finance › Companies Closes Dec 31 · $1.2K today · $35.2K traded · $2.5K at stake · prices read 17 min ago

The odds

46%↑ $7.00

Reaches $746%

Falls to $440%
Falls to $3.7540%
Falls to $3.5037%
Falls to $333%
Falls to $2.5013%

Already reached: ↑ $6.00, ↑ $5.50, ↑ $5.00, ↑ $4.50

How the odds have moved

Falls to $3.50: 39% on Oct 20, 37% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 26, 5 PM ETFalls to $3.50: 23% → 37%

No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
✓ ↑ $4.50	>99%	▲ 3	100¢	100¢		$1.7K
✓ ↑ $5.00	>99%	▲ 5	100¢	100¢		$912
✓ ↑ $5.50	>99%	▲ 20	100¢	100¢		$564
✓ ↑ $6.00	>99%		100¢	100¢		$918
↑ $7.00	46%	▼ 9	8¢	85¢	$1.18	$2.1K
↓ $2.50	13%		11¢	15¢	$6.58	$2.2K
↓ $3.00	33%	▲ 23	18¢	47¢	$2.13	$7.8K
↓ $3.50	37%	▲ 13	22¢	51¢	$1.95	$4.5K
↓ $3.75	40%	▲ 4	32¢	59¢	$1.69	$8.9K
↓ $4.00	40%	▼ 11	21¢	48¢	$2.08	$5.5K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: H200

Search ›

Nvidia H200 rental costs rise about 160% since JanuaryCrypto Briefing · 47 h agoRenting Nvidia's H200 now costs far more than it did at the start of 2026, and even older chips are getting pricier Renting an Nvidia H200 now costs about 160% more than it did at the start of the year. The increase covers the period from…
Nvidia reopens China channel, but H200 flows remain policy-constrainedinvezz.com · 2 days agoNvidia is restarting production of its H200 artificial intelligence processors for Chinese customers after months of uncertainty, with CEO Jensen Huang confirming that purchase orders are in place and manufacturing is ramping back up. The…
HPE Private Cloud AI Adds MCP Servers, Mixed H200 and RTX PRO 6000 Clusters, and a 256-CPU NVIDIA Vera RackStorageReview.com · 5 days agoHome » News » HPE Private Cloud AI Adds MCP Servers, Mixed H200 and RTX PRO 6000 Clusters, and a 256-CPU NVIDIA Vera Rack “AI agents are becoming an essential part of how enterprises operate and create value,” said Cheri Williams, SVP and…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$35.2K

Today$1.2K

This week$8.3K

At stake$2.5K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Ornn H200 Index displays a finalized price equal to or beyond (above for ↑ High Prices, below for ↓ Low Prices) the listed price for any day between market creation and December 31, 2026. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No." The resolution source for this market is Ornnai.com (ornnai.com), specifically, the H200 Index chart data available at https://dashboard.ornnai.com. The daily values shown on the chart will be used for resolution. Daily data will be considered finalized once the following day’s data point is published. This market will resolve as soon as the listed price is hit, or once the value for the specified end date is finalized.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions