Largest Indian Company at end of 2026?

Polymarket Finance › Companies Closes Dec 31 · $15.7K traded · $1.2K at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

88%Reliance Industries Ltd

Reliance Industries Ltd88%▼ 2
Bajaj Finance Ltd23%▲ 16
Axis Bank Ltd7%▲ 1
Hindustan Unilever Ltd6%▼ 1
Jio Platforms5%
Adani Power Ltd5%
Larsen & Toubro Ltd4%
Bharti Airtel Ltd4%
Life Insurance Corporation of India4%
HDFC Bank Ltd3%
ICICI Bank Ltd3%
State Bank of India2%

4 more

Tata Consultancy Services Ltd1%
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd1%
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd<1%
Infosys Ltd<1%

How the odds have moved

Reliance Industries Ltd: 91% on Oct 20, 88% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
Reliance Industries Ltd	88%	▼ 2	82¢	93¢	$1.08	$5.9K
Bajaj Finance Ltd	23%	▲ 16	1¢	45¢	$2.20	$471
Axis Bank Ltd	7%	▲ 1	0¢	13¢	$7.63	$650
Hindustan Unilever Ltd	6%	▼ 1	0¢	11¢	$9.26	$510
Jio Platforms	5%		2¢	8¢	$13.16	$1.7K
Adani Power Ltd	5%		0¢	9¢	$10.87	$584
Larsen & Toubro Ltd	4%		0¢	8¢	$12.20	$572
Bharti Airtel Ltd	4%		0¢	7¢	$14.29	$712
Life Insurance Corporation of India	4%		0¢	7¢	$14.29	$580
HDFC Bank Ltd	3%		0¢	6¢	$17.86	$592
ICICI Bank Ltd	3%		0¢	5¢	$18.52	$430
State Bank of India	2%		0¢	4¢	$22.73	$594
Tata Consultancy Services Ltd	1%		0¢	2¢	$50.00	$677
Maruti Suzuki India Ltd	1%		0¢	1¢		$499
Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd	<1%		0¢	0¢		$717
Infosys Ltd	<1%		0¢	0¢		$564

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Largest Indian Company, Reliance Industries Ltd, Bajaj Finance Ltd

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Reliance Industries Ltd receives [ICRA] AAA (Stable) Credit Rating for Bank Loan FacilitiesEquityBulls · 6 days ago21 Oct 2026, 10:51 PM IST Equity Bulls Reliance Industries Limited (BSE Scrip Code: 500325, NSE Symbol: RELIANCE, CIN: L17110MH1973PLC019786), India's largest private sector enterprise, has announced the credit rating assignment and…
Rubio’s India Visit Focuses on EnergyThe Diplomat · 4 days agoHe visited Jamnagar, home to the world’s largest oil refinery, which is run by Reliance Industries. The latter plans to build a refinery in Texas. Reliance Industry Ltd.’s oil refinery at Jamnagar in India. During U.S. Secretary of State…
Billionaire Mukesh Ambani's Jio launches India's biggest share saleBBC News · 6 days agoThe Jio Platforms IPO is expected to be the biggest in the country India's second richest man Mukesh Ambani's digital and telecommunications venture is tapping public investors for the first time in what's expected to be the country's…
Reliance Industries (RELIANCE) Share Price Today & Chart | TechGraphTechGraph · 5 days agoReliance Industries Ltd (RELIANCE) share price and stock price, session move and chart. Latest available NSE quote and its time appear above. Analyst figures are shown only when the research feed provides them. Energy · Oil, Gas &…
Swadeshi Jagaran Manch urges PM Modi to deny operating permissions for SpaceX’s StarlinkThe Hindu · 4 days agoUpdated - October 23, 2026 09:13 pm IST - NEW DELHI The Swadeshi Jagaran Manch (SJM) has urged Prime Minister Narendra Modi to deny operating permissions for SpaceX’s satellite internet service, Starlink, in India. SJM is an affiliate of…
Jio Platforms IPO lures investors as bids surge on final daymint · 4 days agoSubscriptions for the Jio Platforms IPO surged on the final day of bidding Friday, as investors bet on the AI promise of India's largest telecom operator. The Jio Platforms IPO, India's largest ever, is being closely watched as a test of…
Trinidad and Tobago in talks with ONGC Videsh, Oil India to refine Venezuelan crudemint · 3 days agoNew Delhi: Trinidad and Tobago is in talks with state-run ONGC Videsh Ltd (OVL) and Oil India Ltd on a proposal to process Venezuelan crude at its Guaracara refinery, which is being reopened after remaining shut for more than seven years…
Jio’s $3.2Bn IPO closes with over $77Bn in bids, making it India’s most subscribed IPO everThe Tech Portal · 4 days agoJio Platforms’ IPO closed Friday with 22.19 times subscription and ₹7.4 lakh crore (~$77Bn) in total bids — the most oversubscribed Indian offering on record. Institutional investors bid 70 times their allotment. Watch out for the listing…
Fidelity Asian Values lifts dividend as annual total return improvesMarketScreener · 5 days agoPublished on 10/17/2025 at 05:10 am EDT (Alliance News) - Fidelity Asian Values PLC on Friday proposed a dividend boost, after beating its benchmark in the financial year just ended. The Surrey, England-based investor focused on Asia…
Data recap: FPI selloff, Reliance bets, Blinkit’s expansion plansmint · 3 days agoForeign portfolio investors (FPIs) pulled out ₹48,056 crore from Indian equities till 23 October, extending the exodus of foreign capital from the market. High crude oil prices, rising US bond yields and a stronger dollar have weighed on…
US now India's top LPG supplier: Gorthehansindia.com · 5 days agoRubio describes India as a crude oil refining superpower and advocates processing more Venezuelan crude in the country US Ambassador to India Sergio Gor Jamnagar: US Ambassador to India Sergio Gor on Wednesday said his country has become…
ANALYSIS Volatility over value: High-beta counters outshine blue-chips as retail investors swarm India’s stock marketMoneycontrol · 5 days agoOn Dalal Street, sheer market size is no longer the magnet for retail capital. In an aggressive hunt for direct alpha stocks, India’s individual investors are increasingly bypassing traditional mega-cap heavyweights in favor of volatile…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesDec 31, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$15.7K

At stake$1.2K

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to the largest Indian public company by market cap on December 31, 2026, at 11:59PM ET. In the event that two listed companies merge prior to the resolution date, the merged entity will be considered to be the same company as the acquirer. If there is no clear acquirer, or if the merged entity trades under a new ticker, the merged entity will be considered to be the company that comes first alphabetically. The resolution source for this market will be the market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used. The market cap rankings published by the Bombay Stock Exchange can be found here as of the l

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Prices it is about

HDFC Bank LimitedHDB · about the company21.55−0.76%
ICICI Bank LimitedIBN · about the company29.15−0.46%
Infosys LimitedINFY · about the company12.25−1.49%

From 4Conservative Finance. Prices may be delayed up to 15 min. Not investment advice.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions