PolymarketCultureCloses Dec 31 · $3.5K today · $63K traded · $3.9K at stake · prices read 2 min ago
The odds
Dec 7, 2027even chance by
October 314%▲ 2
December 3181%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
October 31: 9% on Oct 20, 4% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
October 15
<1%
0¢
$4.6K
October 31
4%
▲ 2
1¢
7¢
$14.29
$21.2K
December 31
81%
▼ 2
80¢
81¢
$1.23
$37.1K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Mamdani gives migrants tips to avoid ICE in SpanishFox News · 40 h agoNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani delivers an anti-ICE message in Spanish, informing illegal immigrants about ways to avoid ICE. Mamdani gives migrants tips to avoid ICE in Spanish New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani delivers an anti-ICE…
"We are brothers": full stop to nine years far from homeAra in English · 3 days agoWaiting for Puigdemont, the former ministers Puig and Comín have ended their exile, as Rovira, Serret, Gabriel and Ponsatí already did. Now only the president of the 1-O, Carles Puigdemont, is missing The exile ends nine years after…
Hermoso could receive surprise call-up from SpainYahoo Sports · 4 days agoMario Hermoso's stellar run with the Giallorossi is not going unnoticed in Spain. In his home country, rumors of a possible call-up to the Roma defender's national team have resurfaced. The Spanish newspaper AS reported on the matter…
Mamdani accused of ‘openly helping illegal aliens evade ICE’ in Spanish language videoNew York Post · 3 days agoNew York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani sparked outrage Friday when he unveiled a social media video where the socialist shared tips in Spanish on how the public should handle encounters with federal immigration authorities. “If you encounter…
Opposition deepfake video sparks outrage in Spain ahead of electionthe Guardian · 3 days agoVideo shows AI likenesses of people linked to Pedro Sánchez’s Socialist party appearing to admit to wrongdoing A political ad from Spain’s main opposition party that used a deepfake video of the prime minister’s wife has sparked outrage…
Police strike protesters with batons as streets set ablaze in SpainNew York Post · 4 days agoPolice clashed with anti-far-right protesters in A Coruña on October 21st following a rally by Vox party leader Santiago Abascal. Police clashed with anti-far-right protesters in A Coruña on October 21st following a rally by Vox party…
Severe flooding in eastern Spain, while UK hit by first named storm of winterthe Guardian · 4 days agoStorm Adam brings heavy rain to Valencia, Alicante and Balearic Islands, as Storm Austen gusts strike England and WalesStorm Adam brought torrential rain to eastern Spain earlier this week. In Pego, Alicante, 632mm fell in 36 hours with…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
