Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
National + ACT + NZF
50%
▲ 3
50¢
53¢
$1.89
$11.6K
Labour + Green
25%
▼ 1
25¢
28¢
$3.58
$5.2K
Labour + Green + Maori
14%
14¢
18¢
$5.56
$6K
Other
6%
4¢
9¢
$10.99
$21.4K
National + ACT
3%
1¢
5¢
$18.52
$2.3K
Labour
2%
▲ 1
1¢
5¢
$20.83
$1.6K
Labour + Green + NZF
2%
▲ 1
0¢
3¢
$30.30
$1.9K
Labour + Maori
1%
0¢
1¢
$100.00
$1.5K
National + Maori
1%
0¢
1¢
$90.91
$1.5K
National + NZF
<1%
0¢
1¢
$1.9K
Labour + Green + Maori + NZF
<1%
0¢
1¢
$2.1K
National + Labour
<1%
0¢
1¢
$1.5K
Labour + Maori + NZF
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.8K
National + ACT + Maori
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.8K
National + NZF + Maori
<1%
0¢
0¢
$1.8K
Labour + NZF
<1%
0¢
$2K
National
<1%
0¢
$1.9K
National + ACT + NZF + Maori
<1%
0¢
$1.9K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
New Zealand First and the global far-rightinternationalviewpoint.org · 22 h agoIs Peters really on quite the same level as Nigel Farage? Possibly not (shared interests in Brexit and cricket notwithstanding). But the big difference between the two is that Farage has a lot less influence over New Zealand than Peters…
Guide to the 2026 New Zealand electionThe West Australian · 29 h agoChris Luxon is pitching for a second term while Chris Hipkins aims to put Labour back in office as New Zealand's election campaign goes down to the wire.
New Zealand: SEG candidate advances socialist perspective at Hutt South forumWorld Socialist Web Site · 30 h agoLast Friday, Tom Petterson, the Socialist Equality Group (SEG) candidate for Hutt South in the November 7 New Zealand election, took part in a public meeting alongside the other candidates contesting the electorate. Those taking part…
Voting opens in New Zealand for November electionThe West Australian · 36 h agoThe West Australian is a leading news source in Perth and WA. Breaking local and world news from sport and business to lifestyle and current affairs.
Voting opens in New Zealand for November 7 election with no clear frontrunnerStevens Point · 36 h agoWELLINGTON, Oct 26 (Reuters) – Voting opened in New Zealand on Monday for the November 7 general election, with ballot boxes available for nearly two weeks at shopping centres, transport hubs and community halls, ahead of what is…
New Zealand Brazilians Vote 80.5% for LulaThe Rio Times · 2 days agoBRAZIL · ELECTION DAY · VOTE ABROAD Brazilians in Wellington, New Zealand, were the first to finish voting in Sunday’s presidential runoff, and ballot-box reports show President Lula ahead of Senator Flávio Bolsonaro there by 418 votes to…
Russia Warns NATO Could Use New Zealand to Monitor Its Adversaries in PacificSputnik International · 48 h agoMOSCOW (Sputnik) - New Zealand is of interest to NATO as a potential location for deploying surveillance in the Pacific Ocean, as well as for space launches, Russian Ambassador to Wellington Stanislav Krans told Sputnik. In July of this…
Early voting opens in New Zealand for November 7 election with no clear frontrunnerSacramento Bee · 2 days agoWELLINGTON, Oct 26 (Reuters) - New Zealand Prime Minister Christopher Luxon said the national election on November 7 would be decided on economic issues, as early voting opened on Monday in a race that polls suggest will be closely…
Voting Abroad in Bulgaria's Presidential Election Begins in New ZealandBTA · 3 days agoVoting abroad in Bulgaria's presidential and vice-presidential elections began on Saturday evening, October 24, at 9 p.m. Bulgarian time and will conclude on the morning of October 26, the Foreign Ministry's press office said. Bulgarian…
New Zealand Votes: What’s at Stake for Foreign and Defense Policy@CSIS · 3 days agowill examine the potential national and foreign policy implications of New Zealand's national election. New Zealand Votes: What’s at Stake for Foreign and Defense Policy Brought to you by Australia Chair , Geopolitics and Foreign Policy…
Defence Minister Heads to Singapore for Security SummitMirage News · 27 h agoDefence Minister Chris Penk will travel to Singapore this week to attend the Shangri-La Dialogue, an international security conference focused on issues confronting the Indo-Pacific region. "In an increasingly volatile world, there is no…
Stand with Muslims – No to Islamophobia! Down with White Supremacy!internationalviewpoint.org · 23 h agoThis is not a mysterious event. It must be understood as an expression of Islamophobia and white supremacist ideology, and countered accordingly. Racism permeates New Zealand society, nowhere more so than in policing. The Muslim community…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
