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Who will Bernie endorse?
The odds
11%Alan Grayson - FL-Sen
- Alan Grayson - FL-Sen11%▲ 6
- James Talarico - TX-Sen9%
- Dan Osborn - NE-Sen5%
- Zach Wahls - IA-Sen3%
- Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov2%
- Kshama Sawant - WA-091%
How the odds have moved
Alan Grayson - FL-Sen: 20% on Oct 20, 11% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Why it moved
- Oct 21, 7 PM ETAlan Grayson - FL-Sen: 2% → 13%
The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Alan Grayson - FL-Sen | 11% | ▲ 6 | 2¢ | 21¢ | $4.88 | $13.5K |
| James Talarico - TX-Sen | 9% | 8¢ | 10¢ | $9.71 | $88.4K | |
| Dan Osborn - NE-Sen | 5% | 3¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $28.1K | |
| Zach Wahls - IA-Sen | 3% | 2¢ | 3¢ | $33.33 | $16.5K | |
| Antonio Delgado - NY-Gov | 2% | 1¢ | 3¢ | $31.25 | $24.9K | |
| Kshama Sawant - WA-09 | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $18.9K | ||
| Omar Fateh - Minneapolis Mayor | <1% | ▼ 52 | 0¢ | $4.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Bernie
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WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail with Abdul El-Sayed in MichiganDemocratic Senate candidate El-Sayed delivers remarks to supporters at a campaign rally alongside Bernie Sanders in Grand Rapids, Michigan, just days ahead of the critical midterm elections. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders hits campaign trail… -
WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in DuluthSen. Bernie Sanders joins Lt. Gov. Peggy Flanagan and Attorney General Keith Ellison at a Duluth, Minnesota, get-out-the-vote campaign rally. WATCH LIVE: Bernie Sanders rallies with Minnesota Democrats in Duluth Sen. Bernie Sanders joins… -
Cooke campaigns with Bernie Sanders at Eau Claire rallyDemocratic candidate Rebecca Cooke and Sen. Bernie Sanders meet with voters at a rally in Eau Claire. Sen. Bernie Sanders speaks to a crowd of over 250 people in Eau Claire. EAU CLAIRE — U.S. Sen. Bernie Sanders joined Democratic candidate… -
Bernie Sanders heads to the Chippewa Valley to support Rebecca CookeEAU CLAIRE, Wis. (WEAU) - The Dakota Ballroom in the University of Wisconsin-Eau Claire was packed with people as Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders spoke to the crowd. In nine days, Sanders thinks that one of the biggest days in American… -
Sen. Bernie Sanders rallies with Cooke campaign ahead of Midterm electionsEAU CLAIRE (WQOW) - The Dakota Ballroom at UW-Eau Claire was overflowing with people eager to see Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and 3rd Congressional District Candidate Rebecca Cooke. Before Sanders took the stage, Cooke spoke about the… -
Photos: Bernie Sanders visits Duluth in support of Flanagan, EllisonSanders encouraged a crowd of over 1,000 voters in West Duluth to end the Republican control of Congress with their votes in the upcoming midterm elections. Sanders encouraged a crowd of over 1,000 voters in West Duluth to end the… -
‘Trump Loves Saudi, UAE Dictators’: Bernie Sanders Exposes POTUS' ‘Billion Dollar’ Gulf DreamSenator Bernie Sanders launched a sharp attack on President Donald Trump during a Minnesota campaign speech, accusing him of abandoning his promise to end America's involvement in prolonged wars. Sanders alleged that Trump, working… -
Bernie Sanders to rally with Abdul El-Sayed during two-day Michigan tourGRAND RAPIDS, Mich. — Senator Bernie Sanders (D - Vt.) is joining the list of political leaders visiting Michigan ahead of the state's Nov. 3 Midterm Election. Sunday, at the start of his two-day tour, Sanders is slated to rally with U.S… -
Bernie Sanders joins Peggy Flanagan at Duluth rallyMinnesota Lieutenant Governor Peggy Flanagan stopped in Duluth Saturday as part of her “Got Your Back” tour, just ten days ahead of the election. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders and Minnesota Attorney General Keith Ellison both joined her… -
Sen. Bernie Sanders promotes Peggy Flanagan, Keith Ellison at Duluth rallyDULUTH, Minn. (Northern News Now) - Democratic candidates vying for key roles that would represent Minnesota visited Duluth Saturday night, encouraging residents to head to the polls. Crowds gathered for a rally at Lincoln Park Middle… -
Bernie Sanders Says Midterms Campaign Is About Whether ‘Trillionaire’ Elon Musk Can ‘Buy Our Government’ — ‘Say NO to Oligarchy’Sen. Bernie Sanders (I-Vt.) criticized Space Exploration Technologies Corp. CEO Elon Musk's political spending ahead of the 2026 midterm elections, warning that the billionaire's growing influence could threaten American democracy. On… -
Bernie Sanders Blasts United, Southwest And American For Not Paying Federal Taxes — He’s Actually Wrongby Gary Leff on October 24, 2026 Bernie Sanders says that if you paid even $1 in federal income taxes last year, you paid more than American Airlines, United Airlines and Southwest Airlines. Except United’s annual report shows they paid…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions