Bitcoin above ___ on October 20?
$81,183median
$72,000$96,000
Median $81,183Middle half $80,514 – $81,853
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Total crypto hack value in 2026?
The odds
$3.19Bmedian
$2B$4.5B
Median $3.19BMiddle half $2.98B – $3.39B
How the odds have moved
Median: $3.19B on Oct 20, $3.19B now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ >$800M | >99% | ▲ 5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $55.6K | |
| ✓ >$1B | >99% | ▲ 4 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $11.8K | |
| ✓ >$1.2B | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $1.1K | ||
| ✓ >$1.5B | >99% | ▲ 5 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $9K | |
| ✓ >$2B | >99% | ▲ 4 | 97¢ | 100¢ | $5.3K | |
| >$2.5B | 98% | 97¢ | 99¢ | $1.01 | $2.9K | |
| >$3B | 74% | ▲ 3 | 64¢ | 84¢ | $1.19 | $3K |
| >$3.5B | 12% | ▼ 1 | 11¢ | 12¢ | $8.47 | $3.8K |
| >$4B | 8% | 3¢ | 13¢ | $7.52 | $1.4K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
Related markets
All crypto ›What price will Bitcoin hit in 2026?
$90,735high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $90,735.
- Reaches $90,00053%
- Reaches $95,00036%
- Falls to $70,00037%
- Falls to $65,00024%
Already reached: ↓ 60,000, ↑ 85,000, ↑ 80,000, ↑ 75,000, ↑ 70,000, ↑ 65,000
What price will Bitcoin hit in October?
$84,819high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $84,819 and as low as $78,144.
- Reaches $82,50082%
- Reaches $85,00048%
- Falls to $80,00075%
- Falls to $77,50042%
Already reached: ↑ 85,000, ↓ 82,500, ↓ 80,000, ↓ 85,000, ↑ 85,000, ↓ 85,000
Ethereum above ___ on October 20?
$2,364median
$1,900$3,100
Median $2,364Middle half $2,330 – $2,399
Papertrade FDV above ___ one day after launch?
45%$25M
$0.0000$550M
What price will Ethereum hit in October?
$2,518high with an even chance
Traders see an even chance of trading as high as $2,518 and as low as $2,247.
- Reaches $2,50055%
- Reaches $2,60030%
- Falls to $2,30067%
- Falls to $2,20036%
Already reached: ↓ 2,700, ↓ 2,600, ↓ 2,500, ↓ 2,400, ↑ 2,700, ↑ 2,700
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.