Which characters will appear in Avengers: Doomsday?

Polymarket Culture › Movies & box office Closes Jun 30, 2027 · $2.4K today · $209K traded · $29.4K at stake · prices read 29 min ago

The odds

93%Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man
  • Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man93%
  • Hugh Jackman as Wolverine92%▼ 3
  • Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool88%▲ 1
  • Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange87%▼ 2
  • Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau82%▼ 1
  • Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop79%
  • Benedict Wong as Wong74%▼ 4
  • Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel71%▲ 4
  • Mark Ruffalo as Hulk68%▼ 4
  • Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch63%▼ 2
  • Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts61%▼ 3
  • Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez52%▲ 7
8 more
  • Brie Larson as Captain Marvel52%▼ 2
  • Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan51%▲ 2
  • Tom Holland as Spider-Man46%▲ 3
  • Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man27%▲ 5
  • Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine17%▼ 2
  • Halle Berry as Storm16%▼ 1
  • Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp9%▼ 1
  • Jonathan Majors as Kang9%

How the odds have moved

Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man: 95% on Oct 20, 93% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
✓ Simu Liu as Shang-Chi >99% ▲ 2 100¢ 100¢ $3.1K
✓ Hayley Atwell as Peggy Carter >99% ▲ 13 100¢ 100¢ $386
✓ Kathryn Newton as Cassie Lang >99% ▲ 2 100¢ 100¢ $3.7K
Tobey Maguire as Spider-Man 93% 91¢ 95¢ $1.05 $14.9K
Hugh Jackman as Wolverine 92% ▼ 3 91¢ 92¢ $1.09 $12.7K
Ryan Reynolds as Deadpool 88% ▲ 1 86¢ 90¢ $1.11 $8.6K
Benedict Cumberbatch as Doctor Strange 87% ▼ 2 83¢ 90¢ $1.11 $7.7K
Teyonah Parris as Monica Rambeau 82% ▼ 1 79¢ 84¢ $1.19 $8.2K
Hailee Steinfeld as Kate Bishop 79% 78¢ 80¢ $1.25 $5.6K
Benedict Wong as Wong 74% ▼ 4 73¢ 75¢ $1.33 $9.3K
Iman Vellani as Ms. Marvel 71% ▲ 4 69¢ 73¢ $1.37 $8.2K
Mark Ruffalo as Hulk 68% ▼ 4 66¢ 69¢ $1.45 $15.8K
Elizabeth Olsen as Scarlet Witch 63% ▼ 2 60¢ 65¢ $1.54 $5.6K
Gwyneth Paltrow as Pepper Potts 61% ▼ 3 60¢ 62¢ $1.61 $5K
Xochitl Gomez as America Chavez 52% ▲ 7 44¢ 59¢ $1.69 $3.9K
Brie Larson as Captain Marvel 52% ▼ 2 48¢ 55¢ $1.82 $18.4K
Jon Favreau as Happy Hogan 51% ▲ 2 50¢ 51¢ $1.96 $9.8K
Tom Holland as Spider-Man 46% ▲ 3 44¢ 48¢ $2.08 $16.4K
Andrew Garfield as Spider-Man 27% ▲ 5 26¢ 28¢ $3.57 $11.8K
Don Cheadle as James Rhodes / War Machine 17% ▼ 2 14¢ 19¢ $5.26 $6.6K
Halle Berry as Storm 16% ▼ 1 14¢ 17¢ $5.88 $13.1K
Evangeline Lilly as the Wasp 9% ▼ 1 8¢ 10¢ $10.00 $6.6K
Jonathan Majors as Kang 9% 8¢ 10¢ $10.31 $13.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Avengers

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Next James Bond actor?

35%Jack Lowden
  • Jack Lowden35%
  • No Bond chosen25%▲ 3
  • Callum Turner21%▼ 2
21 more
  • Josh O'Connor7%▲ 1
  • James Norton4%▲ 3
  • Jack Barton4%▲ 1
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  • Tom Francis2%
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  • Paul Mescal<1%
  • Jack O'Connell<1%▼ 1
  • Theo James<1%
  • Tom Blyth<1%
  • Aaron Taylor-Johnson<1%
  • Tom Hardy<1%
  • Pierce Brosnan<1%
  • Tom Holland<1%
  • Robert James-Collier<1%
  • Timothee Chalamet<1%
  • Michael B Jordan<1%
  • Nicholas Galitzine<1%
  • Jonathan Bailey<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions