María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Which bills will become law in 2026?
The odds
35%Export-control chip security
- Export-control chip security35%▼ 1
- Data center utility cost protection17%
- FISA Section 702 reauthorization16%▼ 3
- AI-chip export licensing14%▼ 7
- Credit-card routing competition11%▼ 1
- NO FAKES Act11%
- Critical-minerals stockpile9%▲ 1
- $2.50 Coin7%
- DEFIANCE Act5%▲ 2
- Smithsonian Women’s History Museum4%
- Film/TV production expensing4%▼ 4
- SHOWER Act4%▲ 1
2 more
- Trump Airport3%▼ 2
- SELF DRIVE Act3%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
Export-control chip security: 32% on Oct 20, 35% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ✓ Housing for the 21st Century Act | >99% | 100¢ | 100¢ | $46K | ||
| Export-control chip security | 35% | ▼ 1 | 33¢ | 36¢ | $2.78 | $5.3K |
| Data center utility cost protection | 17% | 15¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | $3.4K | |
| FISA Section 702 reauthorization | 16% | ▼ 3 | 14¢ | 17¢ | $5.88 | $113K |
| AI-chip export licensing | 14% | ▼ 7 | 13¢ | 15¢ | $6.67 | $7.5K |
| Credit-card routing competition | 11% | ▼ 1 | 9¢ | 13¢ | $7.52 | $1.3K |
| NO FAKES Act | 11% | 8¢ | 13¢ | $7.69 | $790 | |
| Critical-minerals stockpile | 9% | ▲ 1 | 6¢ | 11¢ | $9.09 | $1.8K |
| $2.50 Coin | 7% | 5¢ | 8¢ | $12.50 | $697 | |
| DEFIANCE Act | 5% | ▲ 2 | 3¢ | 7¢ | $14.71 | $1K |
| Smithsonian Women’s History Museum | 4% | 3¢ | 6¢ | $17.54 | $4.4K | |
| Film/TV production expensing | 4% | ▼ 4 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $16.39 | $3.9K |
| SHOWER Act | 4% | ▲ 1 | 2¢ | 6¢ | $17.24 | $696 |
| Trump Airport | 3% | ▼ 2 | 2¢ | 4¢ | $22.73 | $2.1K |
| SELF DRIVE Act | 3% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 6¢ | $16.95 | $634 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news
No recent headlines name this market's subject.
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions