Which artists will release new albums in 2026?

Polymarket Culture › Music Closes Jan 2, 2027 · $721 today · $282K traded · $28.1K at stake · prices read 25 min ago

The odds

40%Lil Uzi Vert

Lil Uzi Vert40%▲ 2
Lana Del Rey33%▼ 2
Taylor Swift26%
The Weekend26%
Kendrick Lamar26%▲ 10
Travis Scott25%▲ 2
Playboi Carti21%
Jay Z21%▲ 1
Justin Bieber20%▲ 3
Peso Pluma17%▼ 7
Rihanna17%▲ 1
Sabrina Carpenter16%▲ 1

5 more

Bad Bunny15%▼ 5
Frank Ocean13%▲ 1
Eminem13%▲ 1
Billie Eilish4%
Beyoncé1%

How the odds have moved

Lil Uzi Vert: 55% on Oct 20, 40% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

Oct 21, 7 PM ETLil Uzi Vert: 55% → 38%
- Taylor Swift Already Has One Travis Kelce Family Quirk She Can't StandThe Athlete Lifestyle On SI · 5 days ago
- Travis Kelce Reveals the Early Morning Call From Jason Kelce That Taylor Swift Said Was ‘F–ked Up’Billboard · 5 days ago
- Travis Kelce shares Taylor Swift’s ‘f–ked up’ response to brother’s early wake-up callNew York Post · 6 days ago

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
✓ Future	>99%	▲ 3	100¢	100¢		$1.4K
✓ Nettspend	>99%		100¢	100¢
✓ Harry Styles	>99%		100¢	100¢
✓ Drake	>99%	▲ 1	100¢	100¢		$18K
✓ Kanye West	>99%		100¢	100¢		$79.6K
✓ Olivia Rodrigo	>99%		100¢	100¢		$15.5K
✓ Luke Combs	>99%		100¢	100¢
✓ A$AP Rocky	>99%		100¢	100¢		$25.2K
Lil Uzi Vert	40%	▲ 2	39¢	40¢	$2.50	$10.8K
Lana Del Rey	33%	▼ 2	32¢	33¢	$3.03	$12.7K
Taylor Swift	26%		25¢	27¢	$3.70	$19.6K
The Weekend	26%		25¢	26¢	$3.85	$84
Kendrick Lamar	26%	▲ 10	25¢	26¢	$3.85	$36.9K
Travis Scott	25%	▲ 2	24¢	26¢	$3.85	$3.3K
Playboi Carti	21%		20¢	22¢	$4.55	$10.6K
Jay Z	21%	▲ 1	20¢	21¢	$4.76	$6.6K
Justin Bieber	20%	▲ 3	19¢	21¢	$4.76	$6.3K
Peso Pluma	17%	▼ 7	12¢	22¢	$4.55	$75
Rihanna	17%	▲ 1	16¢	18¢	$5.56	$13.8K
Sabrina Carpenter	16%	▲ 1	13¢	19¢	$5.26	$3.3K
Bad Bunny	15%	▼ 5	12¢	18¢	$5.56	$7.1K
Frank Ocean	13%	▲ 1	10¢	15¢	$6.67	$5K
Eminem	13%	▲ 1	11¢	14¢	$7.14	$5.4K
Billie Eilish	4%		1¢	6¢	$16.67	$171
Beyoncé	1%		1¢	2¢	$66.67	$860

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Lil Uzi Vert, Lana Del Rey, Taylor Swift

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Ella Langley Retakes No. 1 on Hot 100 From Taylor Swift; Tate McRae’s ‘Housewife,’ Rodrigo/Roan ‘Expectations’ and Zach Bryan/Lana Del Rey ‘Lies’ All Bow BigVariety · 6 h agoTaylor Swift’s “Patient Zero” no longer has a stranglehold on the No. 1 spot on the Billboard Hot 100; after three weeks, it has relinquished the slot to the previous song to have a stranglehold on the chart, and a much more indomitable…
Lana Del Rey Helps Stranger ‘Trying to Stay Out of an Abusive Relationship’ While Listening to Tate McRaeBillboard · 10 h agoThe McRae track just so happened to tie into the location of Del Rey's generous moment. Lana Del Rey helped out a stranger in Los Angeles in a recent moment soundtracked by Tate McRae. The “Summertime Sadness” singer posted a video Sunday…
Lana Del Rey Helps Woman Fleeing Abuse Years After ‘Glamorizing’ BacklashThe Blast · 22 h agoLana Del Rey’s music has long invited debate about the difference between depicting painful relationships and romanticizing them, but a chance encounter on a Los Angeles street brought that conversation into a deeply personal setting. The…
Lana Del Rey gives big cash gift to woman fleeing abusive relationshipNew York Daily News · 7 h agoSinger Lana Del Rey was caught off guard when she was approached by a woman asking for money to flee an abusive relationship while filming in her car. The 41-year-old “Bluebird” singer posted a video on Instagram that shows her rolling…
Tate McRae, Olivia Rodrigo & Chappell Roan and Zach Bryan & Lana Del Rey Should All Crash the Hot 100 Next Week — Who’s Got the Best Shot at No. 1?Billboard · 3 days agoNew songs from Tate McRae ("Housewife"), Olivia Rodrigo ("Expectations" with Chappell Roan) and Zach Bryan ("Lies" with Lana Del Rey) fight for No. For the past three weeks, the same two songs have resided in the top two spots on the…
Lana Del Rey stops to give money to distressed woman on the street after learning she was fleeing 'an abusive relationship'Daily Mail · 20 h agoThe singer, 41, was filming a video of herself while cruising and listening to Rubberband by Tate McRae when she noticed a woman holding a sign outside her window at a stoplight. She posted the clip to her Instagram Stories on Sunday…
Taylor Swift Fans Furious With Seattle's 'Inappropriate' Postgame TweetYahoo Sports · 19 h agoTaylor Swift fans think that the Seattle Seahawks crossed the line on Sunday evening. The Seahawks took down the Chiefs, 20-3, on Sunday night. Seattle improved to 4-3 on the season with the win, while Kansas City dropped to 5-1, suffering…
Taylor Swift Fans Slam Seahawks Over ‘Classless’ Friendship Bracelet JabYahoo Sports · 14 h agoTaylor Swift fans criticized the Seattle Seahawks for sharing an "End Game" friendship bracelet post after their win over the Kansas City Chiefs. The post appeared to take a dig at Swift and Chiefs star Travis Kelce. Kansas City Chiefs…
Seahawks Troll Taylor Swift After Thrashing Chiefs to Break Their Undefeated StreakYahoo Sports · 13 h agoSeattle defeated Kansas City 20-3 at Lumen Field on Sunday, Oct. 25 The Seahawks referenced Swift's songs and friendship bracelets in posts celebrating the win Travis Kelce led the Chiefs with four receptions and reached two career…
Tate McRae Beats Taylor Swift, Olivia Rodrigo in Billboard Hot 100 Race for … Number TwoRolling Stone · 7 h agoTate McRae beat out Olivia Rodrigo and Taylor Swift in a tight race for Number Two on the Billboard Hot 100.
Seattle Seahawks troll Taylor Swift after routing Chiefs with petty postYahoo Sports · 21 h agoA busy Sunday around the NFL in Week 7 wrapped up with a dominant performance by the reigning Super Bowl champion Seattle Seahawks at Lumen Field. Seattle was able to completely shut down Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs offense…
Seattle Seahawks Shade Taylor Swift & Travis Kelce After Ending Kansas City’s Undefeated StreakBillboard · 4 h agoShake it off, Chiefs. The Seattle Seahawks are throwing some not-so-subtle shade after their win against the Kansas City Chiefs on Sunday (Oct. 25), so it’s a good thing that Taylor Swift and Travis Kelce know how to shake it off. Though…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesJan 2, 2027 2:59 AM ET

Traded$282K

Today$721

This week$4.4K

At stake$28.1K

In the news5 headlines today, 13 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to “Yes” if the listed artist officially releases a new album between January 1 and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM PT (Los Angeles time). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”. Officially released means that a newly released album is officially available for download or streaming (not including live events) by the resolution date. Re-releases, deluxe editions, compilations, or greatest hits albums will not count, unless they contain at least 50% tracks that have never been officially released in any format prior to the album's release. The resolution source will be any official streaming or download site, e.g. Apple Music or Spotify.

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions