#1 Spotify song in the US this week? (October 23)

Polymarket Culture › Music Closed, awaiting its result Closed Fri 7:59 PM ET · $3.7K today · $14.3K traded · $3.2K at stake

The last odds before it closed

>99%Housewife - Tate McRae
  • Housewife - Tate McRae>99%
  • Patient Zero - Taylor Swift<1%
  • Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA<1%
  • Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley<1%
  • Earrings - Malcolm Todd<1%
  • BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky<1%
  • expectations - Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan<1%
  • Lies - Zach Bryan, Lana Del Rey<1%

How the odds have moved

Housewife - Tate McRae: 94% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Housewife - Tate McRae >99% 100¢ 100¢ $5.9K
Patient Zero - Taylor Swift <1% 0¢ $1K
Nicole Kidman - ADÉLA <1% 0¢ $3.5K
Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley <1% 0¢ $524
Earrings - Malcolm Todd <1% 0¢ $393
BbY WOW - KAROL G, Judeline, rusowsky <1% 0¢ $375
expectations - Olivia Rodrigo, Chappell Roan <1% 0¢ $990
Lies - Zach Bryan, Lana Del Rey <1% 0¢ $1.6K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Spotify

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Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

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  • Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1
15 more
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  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
  • Georgia<1%▼ 6
  • Ireland<1%▼ 14
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  • Malta<1%▼ 22
  • Montenegro<1%▼ 2
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  • Pearl Jam6%
  • Benson Boone6%
  • Doechii6%
  • SZA5%
  • Luke Combs5%▼ 1
  • USHER5%
  • Alex Warren5%
  • Chappell Roan5%
  • Frank Ocean5%
  • Foo Fighters5%
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  • KAROL G4%
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KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $16K today

#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?

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  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love36%▲ 7
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  • SOS23%▲ 23
12 more
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  • HABIBTI1%
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  • PRIMA1%
KalshiCloses Sun 11:59 PM ET · $11.6K today

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  • Canada97%
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11 more
  • Germany97%
  • Moldova96%▲ 1
  • Belgium87%▲ 3
  • Israel85%▼ 1
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100%Rauw Alejandro
  • Rauw Alejandro100%
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127 more
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  • Lana Del Rey87%▼ 3
  • Don Toliver77%▲ 3
  • Kodak Black77%▲ 4
  • Dua Lipa75%▲ 1
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  • 21 Savage65%▲ 22
  • Kali Uchis59%▲ 2
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  • Lil Uzi Vert45%▼ 4
  • Lil Wayne42%
  • Ice Spice42%
  • Lil Yachty40%▲ 1
  • T-Pain39%▼ 1
  • J Balvin39%
  • Anuel AA38%
  • The Weeknd38%▼ 2
  • Charli xcx37%
  • Sabrina Carpenter37%▲ 2
  • Megan Thee Stallion35%
  • KAROL G34%▲ 1
  • Sexyy Red34%▲ 7
  • Bruno Mars32%▼ 1
  • Quavo32%▼ 2
  • Justin Bieber31%
  • Ella Langley31%▼ 12
  • Drake30%▼ 2
  • Pharrell Williams30%▲ 4
  • Tyler, The Creator29%▼ 3
  • The Kid LAROI28%▼ 1
  • ROSALÍA26%▼ 1
  • JAY-Z26%▼ 1
  • Eminem25%▼ 1
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  • Nicki Minaj24%▼ 1
  • Doja Cat24%
  • Post Malone23%▼ 2
  • Calvin Harris22%▲ 2
  • Stray Kids22%▲ 18
  • Christina Aguilera21%▲ 18
  • Leon Thomas20%
  • Billie Eilish20%▲ 1
  • Shaboozey20%
  • Lil Baby19%▲ 2
  • Jason Derulo19%▼ 1
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  • 2 Chainz17%
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KalshiCloses Dec 30 · $7.3K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions