Billboard 200 #1 Album Week of October 31

Polymarket Culture › Music Closes today 11:59 PM ET · $2.1K today · $22.6K traded · $2.6K at stake · prices read 17 h ago

The odds

>99%You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo
  • You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo>99%▲ 3
  • Dandelion - Ella Langley<1%
  • The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore<1%▼ 1
  • Drake - HABIBTI (FOMO)<1%
  • Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs<1%
  • Other<1%

How the odds have moved

You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Lov: 74% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 24, 9 PM ETYou Seem Pretty Sad for a…: 99% → 94%

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
You Seem Pretty Sad for a Girl So in Love - Olivia Rodrigo >99% ▲ 3 100¢ 100¢ $14.5K
Dandelion - Ella Langley <1% 0¢ $912
The Life of a Showgirl: The Encore <1% ▼ 1 0¢ $1.4K
Drake - HABIBTI (FOMO) <1% 0¢ $862
Zach Bryan - Young Manhood & Other Donatable Organs <1% 0¢ $4.4K
Other <1% 0¢ $480

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Billboard

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Junior Eurovision Winner 2026

99%Armenia
  • Armenia99%▲ 56
  • Albania<1%▼ 1
  • Azerbaijan<1%▼ 1
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  • Croatia<1%▼ 2
  • Cyprus<1%▼ 4
  • France<1%▼ 13
  • Georgia<1%▼ 6
  • Ireland<1%▼ 14
  • Italy<1%▼ 1
  • Malta<1%▼ 22
  • Montenegro<1%▼ 2
  • Netherlands<1%▼ 2
  • North Macedonia<1%▼ 9
  • Poland<1%▼ 7
  • Portugal<1%▼ 1
  • San Marino<1%▼ 4
  • Spain<1%▼ 25
  • Ukraine<1%▼ 16

#1 on the Billboard 200 chart for the Week of Nov 7, 2026?

60%I'm The Problem
  • I'm The Problem60%▼ 27
  • you seem pretty sad for a girl so in love28%▼ 69
  • DANDELION22%▼ 12
12 more
  • One Thing At A Time13%▼ 74
  • hungover8%▼ 79
  • PRIMA5%
  • ICEMAN4%▼ 83
  • HABIBTI3%
  • The Great Divide2%
  • Stick Season2%
  • The Art of Loving1%
  • Palace for the People1%
  • SOS1%
  • Thriller1%
  • The Life of a Showgirl1%
KalshiCloses Sun 11:59 PM ET · $25.7K today

Pro Football Championship Halftime Show: Performers (2027)

83%Beyoncé
  • Beyoncé83%▲ 13
  • Justin Timberlake68%▲ 40
  • Pharrell Williams54%▲ 9
68 more
  • Rihanna51%▲ 13
  • Linkin Park40%▲ 15
  • The Weeknd30%
  • Lil Wayne30%▲ 25
  • Olivia Dean30%
  • J. Cole25%
  • Mariah Carey25%
  • Metallica25%
  • Future24%
  • Chris Brown20%
  • Lil Uzi Vert20%▲ 16
  • Doja Cat20%
  • Post Malone19%
  • Cardi B19%
  • AC/DC19%
  • Tate McRae18%
  • Shaboozey18%
  • Guns N' Roses18%
  • Kanye West / Ye17%▼ 6
  • Morgan Wallen14%▲ 10
  • Justin Bieber13%
  • KATSEYE13%
  • Calvin Harris12%
  • Bruno Mars11%
  • Megan Thee Stallion11%▲ 1
  • Ella Langley11%▼ 6
  • Miley Cyrus11%▼ 19
  • Lil Baby10%
  • Tyler, The Creator10%
  • Eminem9%
  • BTS9%▲ 1
  • Maroon 59%
  • Charli xcx9%
  • Dua Lipa8%
  • Bryson Tiller8%
  • Pink8%
  • Taylor Swift8%
  • Lady Gaga7%▼ 6
  • mgk7%
  • Drake6%▼ 6
  • Billie Eilish6%
  • Luke Combs6%
  • Pearl Jam6%
  • Benson Boone6%
  • Doechii6%
  • SZA5%
  • USHER5%
  • Alex Warren5%
  • Chappell Roan5%
  • Frank Ocean5%
  • Foo Fighters5%
  • Ariana Grande5%▼ 1
  • Bad Bunny4%
  • KAROL G4%
  • Oasis4%
  • Kid Cudi4%
  • Lil Nas X4%
  • Green Day4%
  • Christina Aguilera4%
  • Eagles4%
KalshiCloses Feb 15, 2027 · $16K today

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

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