Walmart (WMT) Q3 US comparable sales (ex-fuel) growth?
3.29%median
-0.5%7%
Median 3.29%Middle half 2.68% – 3.89%
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Walmart (WMT) Q3 US eCommerce sales growth?
The odds
23.05%median
13%33%
Median 23.05%Middle half 21.74% – 24.37%
How the odds have moved
Median: 22.58% on Oct 20, 23.05% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <17% | 2% | 0¢ | 5¢ | $21.74 | $782 | |
| 17% to 21% | 9% | ▼ 4 | 2¢ | 17¢ | $5.92 | $925 |
| 21% to 25% | 76% | ▲ 8 | 74¢ | 90¢ | $1.11 | $4.1K |
| 25% to 29% | 13% | ▲ 1 | 3¢ | 24¢ | $4.17 | $1.2K |
| 29%+ | 1% | 0¢ | 1¢ | $811 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Walmart, Commerce
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AI startup World launches proof-of-human tools aimed at agentic commerceThe future of agentic commerce hinges on the ability to know whether it’s a human or an AI agent that’s making a purchase, and the tools to do that are arriving fast. Proof-of-human technology, which can let a person vouch for the AI… -
Walmart Is Building the Access Rules for Agentic CommerceWalmart is opening its ecommerce infrastructure to outside AI shopping agents, but on terms designed to protect customer permissions, transaction data and control of checkout. The strategy offers multi-location brands an early model for… -
Officer who fatally shot 1-year-old in Walmart parking lot resignsHunter Foster, the police officer who fatally shot a 1-year-old boy who was sitting in his mother's lap in a Walmart parking lot in Mississippi has resigned despite being cleared of criminal wrongdoing. Jason Allen reports. Officer who… -
Walmart launches MCP-powered Agent Gateway for AI commerceThe retailer confirmed that standard return and refund policies will fully apply to agent-initiated purchases, establishing a regulated environment for consumer-delegated AI commerce. similar newsWalmart launches Agent Gateway and profiles… - Walmart builds a gateway for agentic commerceNew infrastructure aims to make AI shopping more reliable while giving customers control over spending and data access. BENTONVILLE, Ark. — Walmart says it is introducing tools that let customers authorize AI agents to shop on their…
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2nd suspect arrested for murder of 81-year-old man during fight outside Gainesville Walmart, police sayOctober 23, 2026 / 5:13 PM EDT / CBS Atlanta Over a week after an 81-year-old man was shot and killed while leaving a Gainesville Walmart, authorities say they've made a new arrest in the case. The Gainesville Police Department said that… -
Mississippi officer resigns after fatal shooting of 1-year-old in car outside Walmart during pursuitMississippi police officer Hunter Foster has resigned after shooting into a moving vehicle, resulting in the death of 1-year-old Kohen Wiley, while pursuing two women suspected of shoplifting from a local Walmart earlier this year… -
Walmart employee shot and killed after work in Cheltenham, Pennsylvania, DA saysOctober 22, 2026 / 3:00 PM EDT / CBS Philadelphia A Walmart employee was fatally shot after her shift at the Cheltenham, Pennsylvania, store on Wednesday night, officials said. Latosha Ann Cooper, 45, was shot and killed around 11:30 p.m… -
New video shows deadly Mississippi Walmart shootingNBC News New video shows deadly Mississippi Walmart shooting -
Fiserv Simplifies Cross-Border Commerce with Commerce Hub™Commerce Hub currently supports more than several billions in processing and growing more than 100% YOY across multiple industries, payment methods and business models, supporting enterprises ranging ... Fiserv Simplifies Cross-Border… -
Walmart is inviting AI agents to shop for youWhile Amazon shuts out AI agents, Walmart is letting them in. Walmart will soon let AI agents shop on its website for you. Next month, the retail giant will allow you to connect your own AI agent to the site, with systems in place to let… -
72-year-old Commerce man denies federal voter fraud allegationsOctober 21, 2026 / 5:47 PM PDT / CBS LA At 72 years old, Omar Muñoz said he never expected to find himself in handcuffs and at the center of a federal voter fraud investigation. "Six police cars, 18 police officers," Muñoz said, recalling…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions