Mastercard (MA) Q3 gross dollar volume growth (local currency basis)?
7.45%median
5.5%10.5%
Median 7.45%Middle half 6.82% – 8.03%
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Mastercard (MA) Q3 cross-border volume growth (local currency basis)?
The odds
11.5%median
9.5%14.5%
Median 11.5%Middle half 10.88% – 12.87%
How the odds have moved
Median: 12.3% on Oct 20, 11.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <10.5% | 10% | ▲ 5 | 2¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $693 |
| 10.5% to 11.5% | 40% | ▲ 14 | 43¢ | 45¢ | $2.22 | $3K |
| 11.5% to 12.5% | 19% | ▼ 1 | 14¢ | 28¢ | $3.57 | $6.1K |
| 12.5% to 13.5% | 15% | ▲ 6 | 16¢ | 18¢ | $5.52 | $1.7K |
| 13.5%+ | 15% | ▼ 2 | 8¢ | 26¢ | $3.83 | $1.1K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Mastercard
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Visa and Mastercard threatened with potential £5bn UK lawsuit over interchange feesApplication made for group claim seeking compensation for companies for alleged overcharging on customer card payments Visa and Mastercard are being threatened with a potential £5bn lawsuit for allegedly stifling competition and charging… -
Mastercard Launches Creator Card Project With MrBeastThis effort will see Mastercard and MrBeast’s Beast Industries collaborate on new consumer and creator co-brand card programs, experiences and tools, the companies announced Monday (Oct. 26), with the goal of helping “creators and the next… -
Mastercard (MA) Q3 2026 Preview: EPS Est. $5.17, Reports October 29Wall Street expects Mastercard Incorporated to deliver continued robust growth when it reports third-quarter 2026 results on October 29 before market open. ... The post Mastercard (MA) Q3 2026 Preview: EPS Est. $5.17, Reports October 29… -
Visa, Mastercard Face Potential £5 Billion UK Class Actions Over Card Payment FeesVisa and Mastercard face two proposed class-action lawsuits in the United Kingdom seeking as much as £5 billion ($6.7 billion) in compensation over allegations that the payment networks imposed unlawful fees on businesses accepting card… -
Mastercard, Tech Mahindra Team Up to Support B2B PaymentsMastercard (MA) and Tech Mahindra have launched a partnership to support business-to-business payments by embedding secure virtual card and payment capabilities into clients' ente ... Oops, something went wrong U.S. markets close in 4h 54m… -
Tech Mahindra and Mastercard Partner to Accelerate Embedded B2B Payments Through ERP and Procurement Platform IntegrationTech Mahindra announced a partnership with Mastercard to help global enterprises modernize B2B payments by embedding secure virtual card and payment capabilities directly into their enterprise resource planning (ERP) and procurement… -
Mastercard praises Ripple's RLUSD at XRPL hackathon[DigitalToday reporter Jinju Hong] Mastercard publicly gave a positive assessment of Ripple's stablecoin RLUSD at an XRP Ledger hackathon held in New York. U.Today, a blockchain media outlet, reported on Oct. 25 that Mastercard… -
Visa, Mastercard earnings on deck: Check for value-added services growth, guidanceVisa and Mastercard earnings preview: see how resilient consumer spending and value-added services are driving growth—and what investors should watch now. Eric Broder Van Dyke/iStock Editorial via Getty Images The resilient consumer has… -
Mastercard Near All-Time Highs: 3 Crucial Metrics That Will Make or Break Q3 Earnings on Oct. 29Mastercard (NYSE:MA | MA Price Prediction) reports third-quarter results on October 29. Shares closed Friday at $623.49 after rising 11.54% in a month. A stock trading at these levels needs a clean report. Six Straight Beats Raise the Bar… -
AFT vs OCT: Visa Direct and Mastercard Send RulesA US Visa issuer has 60 seconds to make a domestic Fast Funds payout spendable. Everywhere else the Fast Funds clock is 30 minutes, and for a UK credit card Fast Funds is not mandatory at all: the issuer only has to post the money by the… -
Stablecoin Payments: Mastercard's New Security Tool ExplainedOn October 19, 2026, Mastercard introduced Stablecoin Security, a risk-intelligence service that screens Mastercard stablecoin payments for fraud, scams, and sanctions exposure before funds move onchain, according to Startup Fortune's… - SoFi Technologies (SOFI) Stock Jumps 3% on Mastercard Stablecoin IntegrationShares of SoFi Technologies advanced on Tuesday following the company’s announcement that stablecoin settlement capabilities are now operational on Mastercard’s expansive payments infrastructure. SOFI increased by roughly 3% during…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions