Will Google (GOOGL) Q3 Search & other revenue be above __?

Polymarket Finance › Companies Closes tomorrow 6:00 PM ET · $4.7K traded · $1.5K at stake · prices read 3 h ago

The odds

$65.58Bmedian

$63B$69B

Median $65.58BMiddle half $65.12B – $66.1B

How the odds have moved

Median: $65.62B on Oct 20, $65.58B now.

The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
$64B	97%		95¢	99¢	$1.01	$934
$65B	82%		67¢	96¢	$1.04	$283
$66B	27%	▼ 4	5¢	49¢	$2.04	$1.3K
$67B	6%		3¢	9¢	$11.24	$1.3K
$68B	6%	▼ 1	3¢	8¢	$12.50	$928

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Google, GOOGL, Search

Search ›

How to get exact Google search volume without a Google Ads accountDEV Community · 14 h agoDisclosure: I built Keyword Search Volume, the Apify Actor used in this tutorial. All numbers below come from real runs on October 18, 2026 (US, English). Open Google Keyword Planner without an active ad campaign and the "Avg. monthly…
Alphabet (GOOGL) Pushes Google Play Into Cars With Native In Vehicle IntegrationYahoo Finance · 24 h agoAlphabet (NasdaqGS: GOOGL) is integrating Google Play directly into XPENG vehicles, extending its software reach into in-car systems. The two companies announced the collaboration as part of XPENG's push to build out connected cockpit…
Review: Google Fitbit EdgeWIRED · 20 h agoAt $180, the new Google Fitbit Edge costs $20 more than Fitbit's Charge 6 ($160) and $80 more than the screenless Air ($100), but far less than Google's Pixel Watch 5 ($400). After 12 days of testing, I’d recommend it to Fitbit owners…
Google Challenges US Order to Share Search Data With CompetitorsPYMNTS.com · 18 h agoAlphabet’s Google is urging a US appeals court to overturn a landmark antitrust ruling, arguing that requirements to provide competitors with search data and services go beyond what is necessary to address its alleged misconduct. In a…
Malicious google search ads distribute weaponized putty installersMSSP Alert · 21 h agoThreat actors are leveraging malicious Google Search advertisements to distribute weaponized versions of the PuTTY software, specifically targeting IT administrators to gain unauthorized network access, based on information published by…
Search for Central Park rape suspect continuesCBS News · 16 h agoOctober 26, 2026 / 6:46 PM EDT / CBS New York The search is on for the suspect police say raped a woman at knifepoint in Central Park. This is the second attack on a woman in the park in just one week, raising new concerns about safety…
Google Ads Expands Customer Lifecycle Goals for Search and ShoppingDEV Community · 15 h agoFor ecommerce advertisers planning seasonal campaigns, the change is significant because it shifts more lifecycle controls into campaign bidding settings. Rather than treating all conversions as equal, advertisers can instruct campaigns to…
How to opt out from letting Google use your searches to train its AIUNILAD Tech · 15 h agoGoogle is storing more of your data than you might think An update to Google's Search services privacy settings has meant that any queries you type into the world's most visited website can now be used to train AI — prompting many to…
Alphabet (GOOGL) Expected to Announce Quarterly Earnings on WednesdayMarkets Daily · 7 h agoPosted by Michael Walen on Oct 27th, 2026 Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL – Get Free Report) is anticipated to announce its results after the market closes on Wednesday, October 28th. Analysts expect the company to announce earnings of $3.03 per…
‘Man’s Search For Meaning’ Adaptation Sparks Breach of Contract Lawsuit Over Film RightsThe Hollywood Reporter · 16 h agoA project in the works from Fox's MarVista Entertainment and a 'Sound of Freedom' producer has been hit with a breach of contract and fraud lawsuit. A producer has filed a lawsuit over the film rights to Viktor Frankl’s Man’s Search for…
Crossmark Global Holdings Inc. Sells 34,233 Shares of Alphabet Inc. $GOOGLDefense World · 6 h agoCrossmark Global Holdings Inc. cut its position in Alphabet Inc. (NASDAQ:GOOGL – Free Report) by 7.6% during the third quarter, according to its most recent Form 13F filing with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). The fund owned…
Alphabet earnings: what to look for from GOOGLYahoo Finance · 21 h agoOnline advertising giant Alphabet (NASDAQ:GOOGL) will be reporting results this Wednesday after the bell. Here's what to look for. Alphabet beat analysts' revenue expectations last quarter, reporting revenues of $119.8 billion, up 24.2%…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesOct 28, 2026 6:00 PM ET

Traded$4.7K

This week$99

At stake$1.5K

In the news162 headlines today, 2,123 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Google's Search & other revenue for the upcoming third fiscal quarter, as reported in its official company earnings materials, is above the listed amount. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The specified metric will be considered as reported in the company's official earnings materials. Subsequent revisions will not be considered. If the specified company's official earnings materials for the specified quarter are released, and the specified metric is not included, this market will resolve to "No". If the specified company does not release quarterly earnings materials for the specified quarter by November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market wi

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions