Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
330.7median
1599
Median 330.7Middle half 325.3 – 336.2
Install
Elon Musk # tweets October 16 - October 23, 2026?
The last odds before it closed
269.5median
100519
Median 269.5Middle half 264.7 – 274.3
How the odds have moved
Median: 243.8 on Oct 20, 269.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <20 | <1% | 0¢ | $777 | |||
| 20-39 | <1% | 0¢ | $476 | |||
| 40-59 | <1% | 0¢ | $171 | |||
| 60-79 | <1% | 0¢ | $4.6K | |||
| 80-99 | <1% | 0¢ | $15K | |||
| 100-119 | <1% | 0¢ | $16.4K | |||
| 120-139 | <1% | 0¢ | $26.3K | |||
| 140-159 | <1% | 0¢ | $126K | |||
| 160-179 | <1% | 0¢ | $157K | |||
| 180-199 | <1% | ▼ 3 | 0¢ | $134K | ||
| 200-219 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $222K | ||
| 220-239 | <1% | ▼ 6 | 0¢ | $275K | ||
| 240-259 | <1% | ▼ 22 | 0¢ | $286K | ||
| 260-279 | 99% | ▲ 82 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $262K | |
| 280-299 | <1% | ▼ 55 | 0¢ | $198K | ||
| 300-319 | <1% | ▼ 21 | 0¢ | $266K | ||
| 320-339 | <1% | ▼ 6 | 0¢ | $198K | ||
| 340-359 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $193K | ||
| 360-379 | <1% | 0¢ | $201K | |||
| 380-399 | <1% | 0¢ | $153K | |||
| 400-419 | <1% | 0¢ | $129K | |||
| 420-439 | <1% | 0¢ | $91.3K | |||
| 440-459 | <1% | 0¢ | $59.2K | |||
| 460-479 | <1% | 0¢ | $56.1K | |||
| 480-499 | <1% | 0¢ | $46.1K | |||
| 500+ | <1% | 0¢ | $91.2K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Elon Musk, Musk
Search ›-
Defund Elon MuskHe’s Exhibit A on why billionaire wealth should be taxed, why we must get big money out of politics, why billionaires shouldn’t be allowed to buy up major media, and why our government shouldn’t give them huge military contracts. I’m… -
GOP Rep Open to Deporting Melania Trump, Elon Musk If They Lied on FormsOct 27, 2026 at 12:38 AM EDT Representative Randy Fine, a Florida Republican, said anyone who lied on immigration paperwork to become a U.S. citizen should be denaturalized and deported after being asked whether that standard should apply… -
Details as Elon Musk says Ukraine violated Starlink's terms and conditionsUkraine's Starlink defense systems are back to their normal speeds, according to the country's leadership. Elon Musk justified his decision to disrupt Starlink's service in Ukraine, saying its military violated the terms of service. CBS… -
Group of House Democrats calls for probe into Elon Musk's role in slowdown of Ukraine's access to StarlinkThree House Democrats are demanding an investigation into Elon Musk's role in interruptions to Ukraine's access to the Starlink satellite internet service. "We need a full investigation and then we need consequences," says Democratic Rep… -
Ukraine disputes Elon Musk's claim that drone strikes violated Starlink's termsAccording to SpaceX CEO Elon Musk, Ukraine violated Starlink's rules. He said it used the civilian satellite internet network for an offensive drone strike. Ukrainian officials dispute the statement. Clayton Swope, deputy director of the… -
Elon Musk vows to give every US child SpaceX stockElon Musk announces a plan to give one share of SpaceX stock to every child in America. The 'Big Money Show' debates the business and charitable aspects of this multi-billion dollar giveaway, contrasting it with Anthropic's decision to… -
View / Elon Musk is back at the center of everythingThe billionaire has recently been materializing at the center of events both strange and consequential. If Nvidiaâs Jensen Huang is the business worldâs Bugs Bunny, playing every position on the baseball field by himself, Elon Musk is… -
Elon Musk is now a mega-donor unlike anyone this country has ever seenMore than $16 billion and counting has been raised during the 2026 election cycle, according to an early October tally by the Federal Election Commission. Most of that money flowed not through candidates or political parties, but rather… - Elon Musk’s Anti-Woke AI ‘The Odyssey’ Movie Ripped as “Soulless Slop” After Criticizing NolanThe tech titan's anti-woke Grok-fueled take on 'The Odyssey' gets called "zombie-like." Elon Musk is probably relieved filmmaker Alex Gibney’s highly critical four-hour documentary about the tech titan, Musk, has flopped at the box office…
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Neocloud stocks fall as Elon Musk says more than 200 of them face 'guppy-level death'Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang sits down exclusively with CNBC's Arjun Kharpal and discusses the company's $10 billion investment in European start-ups, as well as recent concerns around neocloud stocks. - Nebius, CoreWeave and Iren all dropped… -
Voters question Elon Musk threats ahead of November electionVoters question Elon Musk threats ahead of November election -
Elon Musk, Starlink and Vladimir PutinUkraine says its satellite access is finally back to full speed, but the throttling episode of recent weeks has mushroomed into a larger story about the Trump Administration and an indispensable battlefield technology. Elon Musk did…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 3 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions