Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
334.3median
1599
Median 334.3Middle half 327.0 – 345.3
Install
Zelenskyy # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
The odds
69.3median
1219
Median 69.3Middle half 64.2 – 74.4
How the odds have moved
Median: 96.9 on Oct 20, 69.3 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <20 | <1% | 0¢ | $298 | |||
| 20-39 | <1% | 0¢ | $235 | |||
| 40-59 | 4% | ▼ 46 | 1¢ | 7¢ | $13.51 | $1.7K |
| 60-79 | 93% | ▲ 50 | 88¢ | 94¢ | $1.06 | $2.8K |
| 80-99 | 2% | ▼ 2 | 1¢ | 2¢ | $47.62 | $3.6K |
| 100-119 | <1% | ▼ 3 | 1¢ | $2K | ||
| 120-139 | <1% | 0¢ | $436 | |||
| 140-159 | <1% | 0¢ | $308 | |||
| 160-179 | <1% | 0¢ | $122 | |||
| 180-199 | <1% | 1¢ | $120 | |||
| 200+ | <1% | 0¢ | $132 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ukraine, Russia, Zelensky
Search ›-
Zelensky Adviser Slams Musk Over Claims Ukraine Violated Starlink TermsOct 26, 2026 at 09:20 AM EDT A top Ukrainian official has hit back at claims from SpaceX chief Elon Musk that Kyiv's military used the commercial Starlink satellite network for offensive drone strikes against Russian forces. Ukraine said… -
Map shows Ukraine's battlefield advances threatening key Russian supply linesOct 26, 2026 at 12:54 PM EDT Ukrainian forces are making slow battlefield gains that might threaten Russia's ability to supply its troops, it has been reported, as a map shows the state of part of the front line. One Ukrainian military… -
Russia says it will open humanitarian corridor to Ukrainian townRussia says it will open a humanitarian corridor to the occupied Ukrainian town of Oleshky, where people have been eating weeds and pickles to survive while trapped by minefields, shelling and drones. Russia says it will open humanitarian… -
UN panel: Russia is committing crimes against humanity by targeting civilians in UkraineRussia is committing war crimes and crimes against humanity by intentionally attacking civilian infrastructure – including vital energy systems – in Ukraine, an independent UN investigations panel said on Monday. Russian forces have been… -
Ukraine War: Zelensky Says US, Russia Agree To Trilateral Talks In NovemberUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says Ukraine, Russia and the United States have agreed to hold trilateral talks in November, with Abu Dhabi among the possible venues under discussion. Speaking in Kyiv on October 25, Zelensky said… -
Zelensky Reveals Massive Russian Barrage Amid Musk’s Starshield RestrictionOct 25, 2026 at 02:19 PM EDT Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said Russia had launched thousands of attacks this past week before Elon Musk’s SpaceX restored its Starlink and Starshield satellite internet service in the country… -
Zelensky says trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia meeting to take place in NovemberUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Sunday said that a trilateral meeting between Kyiv, Washington and Moscow would take place in November aiming to restart stalled peace talks. “We are ready to talk. If it’s a territorial issue, it… - Putin: Russians and Ukrainians are “in fact, one nation”Vladimir Putin claimed that Russians and Ukrainians are “in fact, one nation,” citing unspecified genetic research. Political leaders often lean on historical narratives to justify modern borders, attempting to make sudden military…
- Zelensky Rules Out Land Swap With Russia, Says Lifting Sanctions Before Putin Talks Would Weaken UkraineSanctions relief before talks would weaken Ukraine's hand Zelensky opposed lifting sanctions on Russia ahead of a possible trilateral meeting involving the leaders of Russia, Ukraine and the United States. He said the sanctions were…
-
Russia says it caught Ukrainian agents preparing close range drone attack on Moscow’s air defensesRussia’s FSB security service has thwarted a planned Ukrainian drone attack from inside Russia on a key element of Moscow’s air defense system and on an electricity facility, the FSB said on Monday, saying it had arrested two men… -
Russia burning as Ukraine launches massive blitz on Putin's 'Doomsday' jet factoryUnexplained explosions hit a fuel train on a line linked to the Trans-Siberian Railway - the world's longest non-stop train - in the Sverdlovsk region, igniting seven diesel wagons and derailing 20 carriages. An investigation into possible… -
Zelensky: Ukraine Offered US 3 Ways to Stop Strikes on Russian Oil RefineriesIn brief: Zelensky said Ukraine was prepared to halt strikes on Russian oil refineries if Russia stopped attacking Ukrainian energy infrastructure, the US enabled Starlink coverage over Russia, or Washington supplied Patriot missiles. He…
Related markets
All posts & tweets ›Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
77.0median
65264
Median 77.0Middle half 71.0 – 83.1
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1,019median
8401,039
Median 1,019Middle half 1,010 – 1,029
Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
158.7median
1219
Median 158.7Middle half 149.3 – 170.6
NYC Mayor # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
31.2median
1219
Median 31.2Middle half 25.6 – 36.9
CZ # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
30.1median
1219
Median 30.1Middle half 25.0 – 35.1
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions