Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
330.7median
1599
Median 330.7Middle half 325.3 – 336.2
Install
NYC Mayor # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
The odds
30.2median
1219
Median 30.2Middle half 25.1 – 35.3
How the odds have moved
Median: 30.7 on Oct 20, 30.2 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <20 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $1K | ||
| 20-39 | 93% | ▲ 19 | 93¢ | 97¢ | $1.03 | $3K |
| 40-59 | 2% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | 3¢ | $37.04 | $394 |
| 60-79 | 1% | 3¢ | $35.71 | $550 | ||
| 80-99 | 1% | 2¢ | $52.63 | $50 | ||
| 100-119 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | $50 | |
| 120-139 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | $50 | |
| 140-159 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 1¢ | $100.00 | $50 | |
| 160-179 | <1% | 1¢ | $46 | |||
| 180-199 | <1% | 1¢ | $46 | |||
| 200+ | <1% | 1¢ | $46 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: NYC Mayor
Search ›-
'What happened is horrific’: NYC Mayor Mamdani addresses Central Park knifepoint rapeThe NYPD is investigating a knifepoint rape of a 39-year-old woman that happened in Central Park over the weekend. (Credit: @NYCMayorsOffice/YouTube) ... 'What happened is horrific’: NYC Mayor Mamdani addresses Central Park knifepoint rape… -
Opponents Urge NYC Mayor Not to Sign Horse-Drawn Carriage Ban Into LawThe City Council has voted to phase out horse-drawn carriages in Central Park, but opponents are now urging the mayor not to sign the measure into law. What would you like to watch today? Opponents Urge NYC Mayor Not to Sign Horse-Drawn… -
NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani’s Message to New Yorkers About Dealing With ICE Sparks DebateNew York City mayor Zohran Mamdani‘s message to residents on how to deal with an ICE encounter has both critics and supporters talking. “If you encounter ICE, here’s what every New Yorker should know,” Mamdani, 35, addressed his… -
Mamdani message to residents on how to deal with ICE results in viral internet backlash: 'Treason'NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani accused ICE of terrorizing New Yorkers after an agent shot a man whose 5-year-old son was in the vehicle. New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani faced viral backlash on Friday after posting instructions in Spanish on… -
Blakeman Blasts Hochul As Mamdani's 'Puppet' During New York Campaign Rally-6adeb19ab86f6e7fa97ea544-100-0.mp4Republican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Blakeman Blasts Hochul As… -
Bruce Blakeman calls Kathy Hochul Zohran Mamdani's 'puppet' during New York campaign rallyRepublican gubernatorial candidate Bruce Blakeman called Gov. Kathy Hochul a "puppet" of NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani at a Sunday rally, accusing her of embracing his agenda while neglecting immigration and crime. Republican New York… -
Woman Arrested for Attacking Jews in NYC with Syringe- Faces Multiple Charges Including Hate CrimeA woman was arrested on Saturday after an attack on a rabbi and another Jewish man in New York City The New York Post reports that Anna Mochalova, 32, was arrested and is facing charges, including assault as a hate crime, after jabbing a… - Sheepshead Bay Supermarket Site Sold for 470 ApartmentsA shuttered supermarket site in Sheepshead Bay has changed hands for $37 million, and the buyers are planning an affordable housing project. Gilbane Development and Habitat for Humanity acquired the 30,000-square-foot retail building at…
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Video Homeowners go all out with Halloween decorationsFront yards are being transformed into Halloween spectacles, with the elaborate decorations lifting spirits. Homeowners go all out with Halloween decorations Front yards are being transformed into Halloween spectacles, with the elaborate… -
America’s billionaire boom: Florida gains on New York as California dominates top 10Florida is minting billionaires at a blistering pace — and is now just 15 deep pockets away from overtaking the Empire State. But ahead of No. 2 New York and No. 3 Florida, California still reigns supreme as the land of billionaires with… -
Zohran Mamdani casts his midterm ballot as first day of early voting kicks off in NYCEarly voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the Metropolitan Museum of Art. Early voting kicked off Saturday in New York with NYC Mayor Zohran Mamdani casting his ballot at the… -
WATCH LIVE: Gov. Hochul campaigns with NYC Mayor Mamdani in BrooklynNew York Governor Kathy Hochul joins New York City Mayor Zohran Mamdani to rally voters on the campaign trail in Brooklyn. WATCH LIVE: Gov. Hochul campaigns with NYC Mayor Mamdani in Brooklyn New York Governor Kathy Hochul joins New York…
Related markets
All posts & tweets ›Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
77.0median
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Median 77.0Middle half 71.0 – 83.1
Ted Cruz # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
152.1median
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Median 152.1Middle half 146.0 – 158.3
Elon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
1,019median
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Zelenskyy # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
69.8median
1219
Median 69.8Middle half 64.9 – 74.7
CZ # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
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Median 30.0Middle half 25.0 – 34.9
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions