Zelenskyy # posts October 20 - October 27, 2026?
69.8median
1219
Median 69.8Middle half 64.9 – 74.7
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Zelenskyy # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?
The last odds before it closed
69.7median
1219
Median 69.7Middle half 64.9 – 74.6
How the odds have moved
Median: 76.2 on Oct 20, 69.7 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <20 | <1% | 0¢ | $236 | |||
| 20-39 | <1% | ▼ 2 | 0¢ | $1.4K | ||
| 40-59 | <1% | ▼ 5 | 0¢ | $1.9K | ||
| 60-79 | 97% | ▲ 16 | 96¢ | 99¢ | $1.4K | |
| 80-99 | 2% | ▼ 11 | 0¢ | 4¢ | $24.39 | $5.2K |
| 100-119 | <1% | ▼ 4 | 0¢ | $1.8K | ||
| 120-139 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $3K | ||
| 140-159 | <1% | 0¢ | $159 | |||
| 160-179 | <1% | 1¢ | $129 | |||
| 180-199 | <1% | 0¢ | $417 | |||
| 200+ | <1% | 0¢ | $395 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ukraine, Russia, Zelensky
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Zelensky Adviser Slams Musk Over Claims Ukraine Violated Starlink TermsOct 26, 2026 at 09:20 AM EDT A top Ukrainian official has hit back at claims from SpaceX chief Elon Musk that Kyiv's military used the commercial Starlink satellite network for offensive drone strikes against Russian forces. Ukraine said… -
Russia, Ukraine begin Oleshky ceasefire but keep up strikes elsewhereRussia and Ukraine have begun a regional ceasefire to allow the start of a humanitarian effort in the Russian-occupied town of Oleshky, both sides said on Tuesday, but they continue strikes elsewhere, including the Ukrainian capital of… -
Melania Trump-brokered one-city ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine takes effectA localized ceasefire between Russia and Ukraine in the occupied city of Oleshky that First Lady Melania Trump helped to broker has now gone into effect, officials on both sides said Tuesday. Dmytro Lubinets, Ukraine’s parliament… -
Map shows Ukraine's battlefield advances threatening key Russian supply linesOct 26, 2026 at 12:54 PM EDT Ukrainian forces are making slow battlefield gains that might threaten Russia's ability to supply its troops, it has been reported, as a map shows the state of part of the front line. One Ukrainian military… -
Localized Russia-Ukraine ceasefire takes effect in Oleshky in deal brokered by Melania TrumpBreaking news and analysis on politics, business, world, national news, entertainment and more. In-depth DC, Virginia, Maryland news coverage including traffic, weather, crime, education, restaurant reviews and more. MYKOLAIV, Ukraine — A… -
Zelensky after Russian strike on Kyiv: Delays in air defense support Ukraine enable terrorismVolodymyr Zelensky made this statement on Telegram, according to Ukrinform. Zelensky emphasized that the missiles struck in very crowded areas where there are no military facilities nearby—this was simply an attack on the city and its… -
Ukraine war briefing: Russia strikes Kyiv hours before truce begins in war-ravaged city OleshkyZelenskyy says ballistic missiles hit crowded areas with no military facilities nearby; truce comes amid reports of growing humanitarian crisis. What we know on day 1,707Russian strikes on Kyiv killed one person and wounded eight, with… -
Ukraine War: Zelensky Says US, Russia Agree To Trilateral Talks In NovemberUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky says Ukraine, Russia and the United States have agreed to hold trilateral talks in November, with Abu Dhabi among the possible venues under discussion. Speaking in Kyiv on October 25, Zelensky said… -
UN panel: Russia is committing crimes against humanity by targeting civilians in UkraineRussia is committing war crimes and crimes against humanity by intentionally attacking civilian infrastructure – including vital energy systems – in Ukraine, an independent UN investigations panel said on Monday. Russian forces have been… -
Russia says it will open humanitarian corridor to Ukrainian townRussia says it will open a humanitarian corridor to the occupied Ukrainian town of Oleshky, where people have been eating weeds and pickles to survive while trapped by minefields, shelling and drones. Russia says it will open humanitarian… -
Zelensky says trilateral US-Ukraine-Russia meeting to take place in NovemberUkrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky on Sunday said that a trilateral meeting between Kyiv, Washington and Moscow would take place in November aiming to restart stalled peace talks. “We are ready to talk. If it’s a territorial issue, it… - Putin: Russians and Ukrainians are “in fact, one nation”Vladimir Putin claimed that Russians and Ukrainians are “in fact, one nation,” citing unspecified genetic research. Political leaders often lean on historical narratives to justify modern borders, attempting to make sudden military…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions