Elon Musk # tweets October 20 - October 27, 2026?
334.3median
1599
Median 334.3Middle half 327.0 – 345.3
Install
White House # posts October 16 - October 23, 2026?
The last odds before it closed
209.5median
60219
Median 209.5Middle half 204.7 – 214.2
How the odds have moved
Median: 207.8 on Oct 20, 209.5 now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <20 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $236 | ||
| 20-39 | <1% | 0¢ | $236 | |||
| 40-59 | <1% | 0¢ | $676 | |||
| 60-79 | <1% | 0¢ | $896 | |||
| 80-99 | <1% | 0¢ | $366 | |||
| 100-119 | <1% | 0¢ | $478 | |||
| 120-139 | <1% | 0¢ | $295 | |||
| 140-159 | <1% | 0¢ | $246 | |||
| 160-179 | <1% | 0¢ | $766 | |||
| 180-199 | <1% | ▼ 1 | 0¢ | $5K | ||
| 200+ | >99% | ▲ 1 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2.8K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: White House
Search ›-
Trump Unloads on Bill Maher in 1,300-Word Post After White House DinnerOct 25, 2026 at 10:07 PM EDT President Donald Trump launched a lengthy attack on comedian Bill Maher on Sunday, calling him a “complete and total loser” in a Truth Social post and telling him not to seek another meeting after previously… -
White House official addresses inflation and tariff concernsNational Economic Council Director Kevin Hassett joins 'The Sunday Briefing' to discuss the impact of the administration's economic policies, inflation and tariffs. White House official addresses inflation and tariff concerns National… -
White House official quips Nicki Minaj could be new press secretaryWhite House communications director Steven Cheung posted a video of himself and rapper Nicki Minaj chatting on Air Force One, with captions saying they “may have found” the new White House press secretary. They were both on their way to a… -
Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovationsFormer President Barack Obama mocked President Donald Trump's White House renovations during a campaign rally for Abdul El-Sayed in Michigan. Obama MOCKS Trump's White House renovations Former President Barack Obama mocked President Donald… -
Gucci-clad Nicki Minaj joins Trump in Michigan — as aide jokes rapper is in for huge White House jobRapper Nicki Minaj joined President Trump in Michigan for a rally on Sunday, decked out in head-to-toe Gucci — as one of Trump’s top aides joked she could fill a very high-profile vacancy in the White House. The “Super Bass” hitmaker was… -
Michael Knowles defends archbishop's White House prayer with Trump'Michael Knowles Show' host Michael Knowles joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to react to Denver Archbishop James Golka defending his prayer with President Donald Trump and also weighs in on the far-left riots spreading across Europe. Michael… -
Milwaukee archbishop apologizes for White House visit, says it was manipulatedMilwaukee Archbishop Jeffrey Grob is apologizing after appearing in a video with other Catholic leaders praying over President Donald Trump at the White House, which Grob says the Trump administration released without the bishops' consent… -
‘Brilliant James’ helped return Trump to the White House. Can he conquer the midterms?James Blair’s data-driven approach delivered victory in 2024 but president’s unpopularity and idiosyncratic style do not bode well this time They are both young, bald and fathers of four. They are also the brains behind Donald Trump. But… -
Trump Renews Talks of Pardoning White House StaffOct 24, 2026 at 06:55 PM EDT President Donald Trump left the door open to pardons for White House staff and administration officials, telling reporters on Saturday that he would be "allowed" to grant them despite insisting he has not given… -
White House takes new actions ahead of midterm electionsNBC News Catastrophic flooding prompts rescues Good News: Unlikely friendship leads to trip of a lifetime White House takes new actions ahead of midterm elections All-out fight for critical battleground states ramps up Inside the battle… -
Bill Clinton is not a fan of Trump’s White House renovationsClinton took issue with the new Rose Garden that Trump paved over and added Mar-a-Lago-style umbrellas to Former Democratic President Bill Clinton has revealed his thoughts about Donald Trump’s White House renovations - and he’s not a fan… -
Bill Maher, 70, Gets Ultimate Trump Mortification After White House DinnerThe president claimed the comedian was drunk at the White House in a more than 1300-word rant. President Donald Trump has savaged comedian Bill Maher in a stunning 1300-word Truth Social tirade, accusing him of being a “liar” who was…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 2 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions