Israeli Legislative Election: 4th Place

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closes today 11:59 PM ET · $13.6K today · $37.4K traded · $3.4K at stake · prices read 21 min ago

The odds

34%The Democrats

The Democrats34%▲ 8
Joint List25%▲ 7
Shas15%▼ 8
Otzma Yehudit12%
RZP-Zehut7%▲ 8
Yisrael Beiteinu4%▼ 1
Amcha Yisrael1%
Noam<1%
United Torah Judaism<1%
Together<1%▼ 6
Likud<1%
Yashar<1%

3 more

Blue and White<1%
Ra'am<1%
The Reservists and the Economic Party<1%

How the odds have moved

The Democrats: 31% on Oct 20, 34% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Day	Bid	Ask	Pays	Traded
The Democrats	34%	▲ 8	34¢	44¢	$2.27	$6.4K
Joint List	25%	▲ 7	25¢	33¢	$3.07	$3.9K
Shas	15%	▼ 8	14¢	21¢	$4.76	$3.9K
Otzma Yehudit	12%		10¢	18¢	$5.68	$5.4K
RZP-Zehut	7%	▲ 8	2¢	14¢	$6.99	$2.2K
Yisrael Beiteinu	4%	▼ 1	3¢	6¢	$17.86	$4.3K
Amcha Yisrael	1%			3¢	$37.04	$1.2K
Noam	<1%			1¢	$100.00	$859
United Torah Judaism	<1%			1¢		$1.6K
Together	<1%	▼ 6		0¢		$4.4K
Likud	<1%			0¢		$448
Yashar	<1%			0¢		$692
Blue and White	<1%			0¢		$985
Ra'am	<1%			0¢		$570
The Reservists and the Economic Party	<1%			0¢		$622

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Israeli Legislative, The Democrats, Joint List

Search ›

High gas prices could put Texas in play for DemocratsCBS News · 14 h agoWith the midterms just over a week away, many Texas voters are expressing concerns about high costs, especially for gas. Those concerns are leading some to believe James Talarico has a shot at becoming the first Democrat elected statewide…
Carville says one key group is crucial to Democrats in 2028 and they are 'not that liberal'Fox News · 17 h agoVeteran Democratic strategist James Carville warned Democrats that they need to make sure whomever they pick for 2028 can mobilize Black southern voters, who tend to not be very liberal, but are loyal to Democrats. Carville says one key…
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Maryland Gov. Wes Moore weighs in on troubling poll for Democrats in state governmentcnn.com · 22 h agoMaryland Gov. Wes Moore joins CNN's Pamela Brown to discuss a New York Times-Siena College poll that indicated 56% of likely voters are very or somewhat dissatisfied with Democrats in their state government. Maryland Gov. Wes Moore weighs…
BBC Audio | Americast | Americanswers… on 5 Live! Can Barack Obama still win votes for the Democrats?BBC News · 11 h agoCan a star appearance from Barack Obama convince voters to send a Democrat to the Senate in Michigan, and beyond? Also rapper Nicki Minaj said US president Donald Trump has “changed the energy of the country" as she joined him at a…
Trump, Obama on campaign pushes as Democrats poised to take the House, CBS News poll showsCBS News · 18 h agoPresident Donald Trump and former President Barack Obama made their rounds across the U.S. ahead of the midterm elections. A new CBS News poll found that Democrats are on track to take control of the House of Representatives. CBS News…
If Democrats win big, will they learn the right lessons from their victory?the Guardian · 29 h agoNo election outcome ever interprets itself. So how will Democrats interpret these results once they are known? Whichever metaphor one prefers – landslide, earthquake, wave – it seems increasingly like the Democrats can expect a significant…
Federal election monitors swarm California to face off with Democrat watchers as voting war turns toxicCalifornia Post · 17 h agoFederal officials and Democratic groups will descend upon California in the coming days to monitor the state’s elections amid an intensifying partisan feud over voting. The Department of Justice plans to deploy 1,000 election monitors…
Electric vehicle tax credits losing their luster for DemocratsPOLITICO · 30 h agoPresident Donald Trump’s attacks on Biden-era electric vehicle policy is hampering Democrats’ ambitions to bring back buyer incentives. Sen. John Hickenlooper (D-Colo.) says Democrats need to weigh the future of EV tax credits. | Francis…
Dave Simpson: Bextel Says Barlow Is Really A DemocratCowboy State Daily · 14 h agoColumnist Dave Simpson writes, "It was the old Tucker Carlson asking questions this time, interviewing Constitution Party candidate Bextel to find out how the overwhelmingly red state of Wyoming is in the process of turning blue." In a…
Elise Stefanik accuses Mike Johnson of "getting rolled" by Democrats and lying about defense bill provisionCBS News · 29 h agoUpdated on: December 3, 2025 / 9:58 AM EST / CBS News Washington — GOP Rep. Elise Stefanik of New York lashed out at House Speaker Mike Johnson this week, accusing him of blocking a provision that would require the FBI to notify Congress…
Satirist Julie Borowski Is Voting for Democrats All Over the Countrytwitchy.com · 13 h agoHere's something just for fun. Conservative satirist Julie Borowski has been following the Democrat playbook, traveling the country and voting early for the most extreme Democrats in every state she visits. In other words, she's living out…

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Yashar78%▲ 5
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Together<1%

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenuePolymarket

Trading closesOct 27, 2026 11:59 PM ET

Traded$37.4K

Today$13.6K

This week$17.6K

At stake$3.4K

In the news53 headlines today, 466 this week

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026. This market will resolve according to the political party or coalition that wins the fourth-greatest number of seats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election. The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition names. This market will resolve to the

The full rules are on the market's page at Polymarket.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions