Largest Company end of October 2026?
92%NVIDIA
- NVIDIA92%▲ 24
- Apple7%▼ 23
- Alphabet<1%
6 more
- Microsoft<1%
- Tesla<1%
- Saudi Aramco<1%
- Broadcom<1%
- Amazon<1%
- SpaceX<1%
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Union Pacific (UNP) Q3 adjusted operating ratio?
The last odds before it closed
58.5%median
57%62%
Median 58.5%Middle half 58.25% – 58.75%
How the odds have moved
Median: 59.05% on Oct 20, 58.5% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| <58% | <1% | ▼ 6 | 0¢ | $685 | ||
| 58% to 59% | >99% | ▲ 86 | 100¢ | 100¢ | $2.5K | |
| 59% to 60% | <1% | ▼ 56 | 0¢ | $1.6K | ||
| 60% to 61% | <1% | ▼ 15 | 0¢ | $815 | ||
| 61%+ | <1% | ▼ 24 | 0¢ | $584 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Union Pacific
Search ›-
Union Pacific Posts $7.2 Billion Revenue in Q3Key Q3 2026 figures: operating revenue $7.197B (+15% YoY); freight revenue ~ $6.813B (+15% YoY); fuel surcharge revenue $1.2B (vs $602M prior year); net income $2.1B (+16% YoY); diluted EPS $3.49 (+16% YoY); adjusted EPS $3.53 (+15% YoY)… -
Union Pacific Corporation: 3 Key Takeaways for Long-Term InvestorsOn its third quarter of 2026 earnings call, held on Oct. 22, 2026, Union Pacific Corporation (UNP -1.75%) reported record financial results driven by volume growth across its freight network. Long-term investors care because operational… -
US Department of Labor sides with Arkansas railroad worker fired for refusing to work during severe weatherUnion Pacific Railroad has been ordered to pay an Arkansas man over $300,000 after the company reportedly fired him for refusing to work during severe weather, according to the U.S. Department of Labor (DOL). A release from DOL said that… -
Union Pacific donates $10,000 to local Boys & Girls ClubUnion Pacific Railroad on Thursday (Oct. 22) donated $10,000 to Boys & Girls Club of Jefferson County. John Varnell, locomotive engineer for railroad crossing safety at Union Pacific, handed the check to BGCJC Executive Director Tavante… -
Norfolk Southern Sentiment to Be Driven by Likelihood of Union Pacific Merger Approval, RBC SaysNorfolk Southern reported a good quarter in Q3, but the likelihood of approval for its merger with Union Pacific will probably drive sentiment, RBC Capital Markets analysts said in a Thursday... Ground Freight & Logistics Norfolk Southern… - Growing Opposition to Up-Ns Merger in the USFor example, in Inland Empire, the map estimates a potential 400% surge in train traffic, risking more frequent accidents at crossings and overwhelming local infrastructure. Communities need visibility into these projected changes and…
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Greece Conducts Acceptance Firings with SPIKE NLOS and SPIKE ER MissilesThe exercise used the decommissioned frigate Bouboulina (F-463) as the target to reproduce realistic strike geometry and terminal effects on a full-sized surface warship. Sequence of events: 2. Launch: SPIKE NLOS and SPIKE ER rounds were… -
3 Stocks to Buy as the AI Trade SputtersAn “AI Separation” is about to happen. Eric wants to make sure you’re on the right side. Tom Yeung here with your Sunday Digest. In 1893, America’s railroad boom came to a screeching halt. The industry had spent two decades borrowing vast… -
Union Pacific’s Dividend After Earnings: What the Numbers Say for Income InvestorsUnion Pacific just beat earnings and raised its dividend for the 20th straight year, but a looming merger is redirecting billions away from shareholders. Here is what income investors need to know before the deal closes in 2027. Union… -
A $30 million problem: Cochise jail costs put supervisors in a bindBudget increase: Supervisors will consider raising the jail project's budget ceiling from $130 million to $160 million, an increase of approximately 23%. Capacity at stake: A cheaper design would provide roughly 305 beds but sacrifice… -
What to know about the Chisholm Trail Parkway expansionThe $230.6 million project will improve connections between Fort Worth, Burleson and communities in Johnson County. Drivers traveling through Tarrant and Johnson counties may have noticed temporary lane shifts and lane closures on the…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions