María Corina Machado enters Venezuela by...?
>99%October 31
- October 31>99%▲ 89
- December 31>99%▲ 67
Install
Ilhan Omar arrested by...?
The odds
19%December 31
- October 312%
- December 3119%▼ 2
How the odds have moved
October 31: 5% on Oct 20, 2% now.
Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Traded |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| October 31 | 2% | 1¢ | 2¢ | $43.48 | $21.4K | |
| December 31 | 19% | ▼ 2 | 17¢ | 20¢ | $5.00 | $37K |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Ilhan Omar
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Trump demands Ilhan Omar immediately resign from CongressThe 'Ruthless Podcast' co-hosts discuss the latest on the Ilhan Omar controversy as she faces two federal investigations. 'Fox & Friends Weekend' co-hosts also weigh in on a report comparing the president to Hitler over the probes. Trump… -
Ilhan Omar reportedly assembles high-powered legal team amid federal investigationsArticle III Project founder Mike Davis discusses reports that Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., has assembled a high-powered legal team amid federal investigations and President Donald Trump’s calls for the congresswoman to resign. Ilhan Omar… -
Ilhan Omar called out for bizarre interview answer on marriage controversy'Fox News Sunday' host Shannon Bream and the 'Ruthless Podcast' panel weigh in on Ilhan Omar's comments about her marriage controversy and midterm elections, specifically the Michigan senate race. Ilhan Omar called out for bizarre… -
Trump Claims Ilhan Omar’s Seat ‘Conceded’ By DemocratsOct 25, 2026 at 01:04 PM EDT U.S. President Donald Trump declared Representative Ilhan Omar’s seat “conceded” by Democrats over federal court filings referring to her as Ilhan Nur Said Elmi, a name Omar has denied is hers. Prosecutors… -
Trump blasts Ilhan Omar as ‘little troublemaker’ at Michigan rallyPresident Trump criticized Omar’s opposition to his administration and repeated allegations that she used a fake name. Trump blasts Ilhan Omar as ‘little troublemaker’ at Michigan rally President Trump criticized Omar’s opposition to his… -
Ilhan Omar dodges questions linked to immigration probeFox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on the federal investigation into Rep. Ilhan Omar's path to U.S. citizenship and campaign finances. Ilhan Omar dodges questions linked to immigration probe Fox News' Madeleine Rivera reports on the… -
3 clues Ilhan Omar had sham marriage to brotherRepresentative Ilhan Omar has continued to deny allegations she fraudulently married her alleged brother Ahmed Elmi (el-mee) – but when asked if they were related this week, she cautiously replied: “not to my knowledge.” The Minnesota… -
Rep Ilhan Omar ducks questions tied to federal immigration probeRep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., faces a DOJ probe into her citizenship and immigration status. Criminal defense attorney Ken Belkin joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to analyze the allegations and potential legal implications. Rep Ilhan Omar ducks… -
Kevin McCarthy warns Rep Ilhan Omar can 'lose her citizenship' amid federal probeFox News Kevin McCarthy warns Rep Ilhan Omar can 'lose her citizenship' amid federal probe Former Speaker of the House Kevin McCarthy joins 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss the increased scrutiny facing Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., after a… -
This is not a laughing matter for Ilhan Omar, law professor saysLaw professor John Yoo discusses the legal probe into Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., on ‘The Will Cain Show.’ ... This is not a laughing matter for Ilhan Omar, law professor says Law professor John Yoo discusses the legal probe into Rep. Ilhan… -
GREGG JARRETT: Ilhan Omar could face indictment, denaturalization and deportationFox News legal analyst Gregg Jarrett breaks down the legal woes Rep. Ilhan Omar, D-Minn., could be facing on ‘Hannity.’ Lies, particularly spectacular ones, inevitably crumble over time when subject to scrutiny. A case in point is Rep… -
Explosive new details in Ilhan Omar investigationU.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro says Ilhan Omar is not the real name of the Minnesota lawmaker. Omar's office denies the allegation amid a federal investigation. Explosive new details in Ilhan Omar investigation U.S. Attorney Jeanine Pirro…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions