Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly Election Winner

Polymarket Elections › Around the world Closed, awaiting its result Closed today 12:11 AM ET · $1K today · $8.2K traded · $1.2K at stake

The last odds before it closed

>99%Garry Purewal
  • Garry Purewal>99%▲ 19
  • Jagrup Brar<1%▼ 16
  • Tim Binnema<1%
  • Paul Brar<1%
  • Carolyn Hofbauer<1%

How the odds have moved

Garry Purewal: 53% on Oct 20, >99% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 5 AM ETGarry Purewal: 85% → >99%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

  2. Oct 21, 7 PM ETGarry Purewal: 50% → 58%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Garry Purewal >99% ▲ 19 100¢ 100¢ $4.2K
Jagrup Brar <1% ▼ 16 0¢ $2.6K
Tim Binnema <1% 0¢ $302
Paul Brar <1% 0¢ $365
Carolyn Hofbauer <1% 0¢ $712

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Surrey-Fleetwood British Columbia Legislative Assembly, Garry Purewal, Jagrup Brar

Search ›
  • Fake campaign signs pop up in B.C. riding on election eveSaanich News · 11 h agoPublished 2:44 pm Monday, October 26, 2026 Who would bother to make and put up fake election campaign signs without a candidate’s consent? Tim Binnema sure wants to know. “It’s somewhere between 100 and 200 (signs), I would say,” Binnema…
  • B.C. Conservatives sweep Surrey ridingsNarcity · 12 h agoThe B.C. Conservatives dominated the provincial election on Saturday night, winning 63 of the 93 seats in the legislative assembly. The landslide extended to Surrey, where the party won all 10 ridings including four seats held by the NDP…
  • B.C. VOTES: Purewal wins Surrey-Fleetwood for Conservatives, ousting NDP’s BrarCloverdale Reporter · 2 days agoPublished 10:15 pm Saturday, October 24, 2026 BC Conservative Garry Purewal has won Surrey-Fleetwood, defeating BC NDP incumbent Jagrup Brar. With all ballot boxes counted, Purewal had 8,641 votes (50.7%) over Brar’s 6,484 (38%). “Garry…
  • ELECTION NIGHT LIVE IN SURREY: Blue wave gains speed in SurreySurrey Now-Leader · 2 days agoPublished 10:11 pm Saturday, October 24, 2026 With 10 ridings in play, Surrey was the battleground everyone was watching tonight as David Eby’s BC NDP and Lorne Doerkson’s BC Conservatives fought it out in the hopes of forming government…
  • B.C. Election: 8 take-aways after a landslide Conservative winVancouver Sun · 35 h agoB.C. got a new premier — and the NDP lost their leader — on a night that saw a big blue wave amid lower voter turnout Just under two million British Columbians had their political say on Saturday across 93 ridings. The decision was a…
  • B.C. Election Results: Surrey voters to decide hotly contested ridingsVancouver Sun · 2 days agoSurrey-area ridings may once again come down to narrow margins and a handful of ballots. Follow our B.C. election live-blog throughout the night for the latest election news from around B.C., and we’ll update the story below with election…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions