Espírito Santo Governor Election Second Round: Margin of Victory

Polymarket Elections › Around the world For Sun 11:59 PM ET · $2.8K today · $9.7K traded · $1.3K at stake · prices read 28 h ago

The odds

98%Pazolini <5%
  • Pazolini <5%98%▲ 95
  • Pazolini 5-10%1%▼ 39
  • Ferraço wins1%▼ 10
  • Pazolini 10-15%1%▼ 44
  • Pazolini 20%+<1%▼ 3
  • Pazolini 15-20%<1%▼ 8

How the odds have moved

Pazolini <5%: 6% on Oct 20, 98% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Why it moved

  1. Oct 25, 11 PM ETPazolini <5%: 4% → 98%

    No headline about it in the hours around this move.

The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.

Every outcome

Outcome Chance Day Bid Ask Pays Traded
Pazolini <5% 98% ▲ 95 98¢ 100¢ $1.9K
Pazolini 5-10% 1% ▼ 39 3¢ $35.71 $2.4K
Ferraço wins 1% ▼ 10 3¢ $40.00 $1.1K
Pazolini 10-15% 1% ▼ 44 2¢ $52.63 $1.9K
Pazolini 20%+ <1% ▼ 3 0¢ $1.3K
Pazolini 15-20% <1% ▼ 8 0¢ $1.2K

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Espírito Santo Governor Election Second, Margin of Victory

Search ›

Related markets

All around the world ›
Elections › Around the world

Serbia Parliamentary Election Winner

>99%Student List – Students Win
  • Student List – Students Win>99%▲ 73
  • Aleksandar Vučić – United Serbia<1%▼ 74
  • Ivica Dačić – Factor of Stability!<1%
7 more
  • Rasim Ljajić – Humane (SDP – CDP)<1%
  • Alliance of Vojvodina Hungarians – Dr Bálint Pásztor<1%
  • Usame Zukorlić Movement for Unification<1%
  • Russian Party – Serbia in BRICS – Slobodan Nikolić<1%
  • Authentic Right – Dr Miloš Jovanović<1%
  • European Serbia – Marinika Tepić, Zdravko Ponoš<1%
  • SDA of Sandžak – Guardians of Sandžak<1%
Elections › Around the world

Next French Presidential Election

45%Marine Le Pen
  • Marine Le Pen45%▲ 1
  • Édouard Philippe18%▲ 2
  • David Lisnard14%
42 more
  • Jean-Luc Mélenchon10%
  • Raphaël Glucksmann3%▼ 1
  • François Hollande3%
  • Bruno Retailleau1%
  • Éric Zemmour1%
  • Jordan Bardella1%
  • Gabriel Attal1%
  • Dominique de Villepin1%
  • Sarah Knafo1%
  • Christine Lagarde<1%
  • Xavier Bertrand<1%
  • Sébastien Lecornu<1%
  • Marion Maréchal<1%
  • François Ruffin<1%
  • Ségolène Royal<1%
  • François Asselineau<1%
  • Jean Castex<1%
  • Natacha Polony<1%
  • Laurent Wauquiez<1%
  • Marine Tondelier<1%
  • Fabien Roussel<1%
  • Olivier Faure<1%
  • Clémentine Autain<1%
  • Nicolas Dupont-Aignan<1%
  • Michel Barnier<1%
  • Valérie Pécresse<1%
  • François Bayrou<1%
  • Élisabeth Borne<1%
  • Yaël Braun-Pivet<1%
  • Gérald Darmanin<1%
  • Carole Delga<1%
  • Bernard Cazeneuve<1%
  • Manuel Bompard<1%
  • Mathilde Panot<1%
  • Juan Branco<1%
  • Clémence Guetté<1%
  • Karim Bouamrane<1%
  • Lucie Castets<1%
  • Yannick Jadot<1%
  • François Baroin<1%
  • Anasse Kazib<1%
  • Sylvain Durif<1%
Elections › Around the world

Bulgaria Presidential Election

71%Iliana Iotova
  • Iliana Iotova71%▼ 1
  • Аndrey Gyurov28%▲ 1
  • Nikolai Denkov<1%
11 more
  • Blagomir Kotsev<1%
  • Rosen Zhelyazkov<1%
  • Kostadin Kostadinov<1%
  • Natalia Kiselova<1%
  • Yanaki Stoilov<1%
  • Krum Zarkov<1%
  • Atanas Atanasov<1%
  • Boyko Borissov<1%
  • Delyan Peevski<1%
  • Vassil Terziev<1%
  • Rosen Plevneliev<1%

Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions