The biggest swings over the chart's period, each with the headlines about the market's subject published in the hours before it. News and odds moving together is not proof one caused the other.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Tame Impala
68%
▲ 2
65¢
70¢
$1.43
$2.5K
Dua Lipa
61%
▲ 4
59¢
63¢
$1.59
$6.4K
Drake
46%
▲ 5
43¢
48¢
$2.08
$2.5K
SZA
43%
▲ 3
42¢
43¢
$2.33
$3K
Harry Styles
23%
▲ 7
20¢
25¢
$4.00
$102
Kanye West
19%
2¢
37¢
$2.68
$40
Olivia Rodrigo
14%
▲ 6
2¢
27¢
$3.77
$383
Travis Scott
10%
▼ 2
8¢
11¢
$9.09
$185
Radiohead
9%
▲ 1
6¢
11¢
$9.09
$416
BTS
8%
▲ 2
5¢
10¢
$9.62
$3.6K
Daft Punk
5%
3¢
7¢
$15.15
$390
Bad Bunny
5%
▲ 1
2¢
8¢
$13.33
$877
DJ Khaled
5%
3¢
7¢
$15.15
$60
Billie Eilish
5%
2¢
7¢
$14.29
$316
BLACKPINK
3%
1¢
4¢
$22.73
$327
Sabrina Carpenter
3%
1¢
4¢
$25.00
$133
Justin Bieber
1%
0¢
2¢
$50.00
$404
Taylor Swift
1%
0¢
2¢
$58.82
$512
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Zadie Smith tells Dua Lipa inequality has made culture clashes feel ‘existential’the Guardian · 2 days agoNovelist says demise of Britain’s ‘incredible’ welfare system and housing struggles have led to deeper divisions The novelist Zadie Smith has said that inequality has made culture clashes feel “existential”, adding that it has become…
Dua Lipa on her desert island reads: ‘I gift that book a lot’The Independent · 4 days agoHow does a global pop superstar have time to read so many books? Ahead of curating the London Literature Festival, the singer and founder of the Service95 Book Club shares her tips for reading more – and tells Ellie Harrison what’s next on…
Dua Lipa Perfects the Wild Going-Out ShoeVogue · 5 days agoDate night alert! Yesterday evening, Dua Lipa and Callum Turner stepped out in New York City for an intimate dinner at I Sodi. (Tuscan food, if you were wondering.) The couple have been enjoying their new life as newlyweds in the city…
All hail Dua Lipa, the pop lit queenThe Standard · 5 days agoDua Lipa is famous for her catchy pop hooks — now the singer wants to get fans hooked on books, as she curates the London Literature Festival “Getting people hooked on books is my vibe,” says Dua Lipa, talking about the rush she felt from…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 5 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions
