Each outcome's chance over time on Polymarket. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
Flavio Bolsonaro
>99%
▲ 2
100¢
100¢
$5.2K
Lula
<1%
0¢
$2.6K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Brazil Presidential Election Second, Roraima, Flavio Bolsonaro
Brazil election: President Lula da Silva beats Flavio BolsonaroBBC Newsround · 37 h agoPresident Lula celebrates his victory Brazil - it's the largest country in the continent of South America. It is home to the Amazon rainforest - the so-called 'lungs of the world', because of the role it plays in absorbing carbon dioxide…
Flávio Bolsonaro calls for elections to be annulledBBC News · 35 h agoFollow our live coverage of the Brazilian election. Flávio Bolsonaro calls for elections to be annulled. Video, 00:00:33Flávio Bolsonaro calls for elections to be annulled Up Next. Fireworks and tear gas as protesters and riot police clash…
Watch: How President Lula turned it around to beat Flávio Bolsonarobbc.com · 36 h agoBrazil's left-wing President has been elected for a fourth term after narrowly beating right-wing Flávio Bolsonaro in a knife-edge vote. BBC's correspondent Ione Wells is in Brasília to explain the election results. The mother of two…
Lula wins fourth term as Brazil’s president over Flávio Bolsonarothe Guardian · 39 h agoLeftist incumbent Lula stages historic comeback weeks after narrowly losing first round of election to Bolsonaro Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, the Brazilian president, has staged a dramatic election fightback, defeating his far-right…
Brazil votes in tense presidential runoff between Lula and Flávio BolsonaroCBS News · 43 h agoOctober 25, 2026 / 3:52 PM EDT / AP Brazilians are voting in Sunday's polarizing presidential runoff between incumbent President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva and Flávio Bolsonaro, a contest that will determine whether the U.S. will…
Flávio Bolsonaro Refuses to Concede to LulaPolitical Wire · 28 h ago“Brazilian voters on Sunday handed the leftist president, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, a fourth term in office and a surprise victory over Flávio Bolsonaro, his right-wing challenger, in a striking rebuke to a conservative surge sweeping…
Flávio Bolsonaro rejects Lula’s Brazil election win, seeks annulmentenglish.nv.ua · 28 h agoFar-right Brazilian Sen. Flávio Bolsonaro said his legal team would seek to annul the results of Brazil’s presidential runoff after President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won the election, The Guardian reported on Oct. 25. Bolsonaro said the…
Brazil election 2026: Lula da Silva wins presidential runoff against Flavio BolsonaroMid-Day · 25 h agoBrazilian President Luiz Inacio Lula da Silva has won the 2026 presidential runoff with 51.78 per cent of valid votes, defeating Liberal Party candidate Flavio Bolsonaro. The result marks a comeback for Lula, who trailed in the first round…
Flávio Bolsonaro Is Defeated, but the Fight Against Brazil’s Far Right ContinuesLeft Voice · 25 h agoIn a historic upset, Lula defeated Flávio Bolsonaro in Brazil’s presidential election, a result of mass popular mobilizations. But the fight against the Far Right, which gained in Congress and elsewhere, must continue. With 51.8 percent of…
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Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions