The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Polymarket.
Every outcome
Outcome
Chance
Day
Bid
Ask
Pays
Traded
<58%
<1%
0¢
$7.5K
58-62%
<1%
0¢
$15.7K
62-66%
<1%
0¢
$36.6K
66-70%
98%
▲ 1
95¢
98¢
$1.02
$61.9K
70%+
1%
▼ 2
1¢
2¢
$52.63
$154K
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
Congress Leader Danish Ali Sparks Row Over Controversial Remarks Against BJPIndia Today · 33 h agoCongress leader Danish Ali has sparked a fresh political controversy with remarks backing party president Mallikarjun Kharge's statements against opponents. Reacting to the ongoing political face-off, Ali targeted political rivals over…
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Vučić Says Student-Backed List Won Serbia ElectionIJR News · 39 h agoGet above the noise Log in to follow your topics, join the conversation, and publish a journal of your own. The student-backed list won roughly 130-140 seats in Serbia's parliamentary election. Vučić alleged that foreign aid helped the…
Know How Serbia’s Student Protest Movement Ended Aleksandar Vučić’s RuleOutlook India · 34 h agoSerbia’s student-led Student List has defeated Aleksandar Vučić in snap parliamentary elections after months of protests sparked by a deadly railway station collapse in Novi Sad in 2024 Student List defeats Vučić after protests over 16…
Serbia Election Tests Vucic's Grip as Students Push for Regime ChangeInternational Business Times · 45 h agoSerbia's parliamentary election on Sunday has emerged as a major test of Aleksandar Vucic's decade-long grip on power, with a mass student-led movement seeking to unseat the populist leader and bring a change of government. The snap…
Serbian student movement challenges ruling party in 2026 electionsCrypto Briefing · 3 days agoEstefano Gomez is an editor at Crypto Briefing specializing in blockchain analysis, DeFi, and the intersection of crypto and digital art. He previously served as Editor in Chief at Interesante for over three years, where he covered…
Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions