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Walmart US comparable sales growth (ex-fuel) in fiscal 2027
The odds
How the odds have moved
Median: 3.9% on Oct 20, 3.9% now.
The median the market implied over time and its middle half (the band), read from every strike's prices on Kalshi.
Every outcome
| Outcome | Chance | Day | Bid | Ask | Pays | Contracts |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Above 3.4% | 85% | 80¢ | 89¢ | $1.12 | 2.1K | |
| Above 3.6% | 77% | 72¢ | 81¢ | $1.23 | 1.1K | |
| Above 3.8% | 64% | 59¢ | 69¢ | $1.45 | 2.9K | |
| Above 4% | 36% | 31¢ | 40¢ | $2.50 | 1.1K | |
| Above 4.2% | 23% | 18¢ | 27¢ | $3.70 | 988 | |
| Above 4.4% | 14% | ▲ 1 | 10¢ | 19¢ | $5.26 | 576 |
| Above 4.6% | 8% | 4¢ | 12¢ | $8.33 | 9.00 | |
| Above 4.8% | 6% | 2¢ | 10¢ | $10.00 | 883 | |
| Above 5% | 4% | 7¢ | $14.29 | 650 |
"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".
The news: Walmart
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Walmart’s Flipkart is quietly building a food delivery challenger in IndiaBuy One Founder Summit Ticket, Get a Second for Free. Register now. Flipkart, the Walmart-owned Indian e-commerce giant, is preparing to challenge India’s food-delivery duopoly of Zomato and Swiggy. It is entering a fiercely competitive… -
Arrest made after 81-year-old bystander killed outside Gainesville Walmart; second teen wantedOctober 19, 2026 / 2:48 PM EDT / CBS Atlanta An 18-year-old has been arrested and a second teenager is wanted after an 81-year-old man was shot and killed while leaving a Gainesville Walmart, police said. Kamari Nehemiah Tilmuth, of… -
Man stole rifle from Pennsylvania Walmart store after providing fake paperwork, police sayCBS News Philadelphia is a local news organization that is part of CBS News and Stations. Also referred to as KYW-TV and channel 3, CBS News Philadelphia offers local breaking news, weather coverage and investigative reporting. Man stole… -
Walmart in Taylor evacuated after bomb threat; nothing foundOctober 17, 2026 / 10:51 PM EDT / CBS Detroit Police in Taylor, Michigan, say a bomb threat prompted the evacuation of a Walmart in the city Saturday evening, adding that law enforcement found nothing while searching the store. According… -
Walmart sells U.S. debt, eyes Canadian marketWalmart Inc. is selling U.S. dollar bonds for a second time this year and sounding out investors for a debut Canadian debt offering as the world’s largest retailer seeks to diversify its funding sources amid a spending spree. The company… -
Walmart wins in a high-inflation environment, says D.A. Davidson's Michael BakerCNBC Walmart wins in a high-inflation environment, says D.A. Davidson's Michael Baker -
Walmart And Its Real ValueWalmart shows strong long-term fundamentals and digital growth, but an elevated P/E suggests caution. Read the latest analysis on WMT stock here. - Walmart Inc. demonstrates strong long-term fundamentals, robust growth in digital… -
New Jersey man indicted for setting fire in Maryland WalmartCBS News New Jersey man indicted for setting fire in Maryland Walmart Maryland elections board responds after suspicious mailing Jury deliberations continue for 3rd day in Baltimore rowhome fire Baltimore Running Festival brings road… -
Walmart and Target address AI pricing and consumer data concernsAI & Intelligent Marketing, Compliance & Regulation, Features, Loyalty & Retention, Personalised Shopping, Privacy & Consent Management, Transparency & Trust US retailers Walmart and Target have denied using customers’ personal information… -
This Powerful Lenovo Laptop Is Down to $629 at WalmartThe Lenovo V14 G5 14-inch FHD laptop is on sale for $629 at Walmart, delivering a powerful Intel Core i7 processor, 16GB of RAM, and a 1TB SSD. If youâre shopping around for a reliable laptop but donât want to spend an arm and a leg on… -
All The Best Deals At Walmart This WeekIt’s another week of fall savings with up to 63% off an electric space heater, a cozy fleece-lined throw blanket, and some fuzzy Halloween slippers. I am a contributor who has been writing for the BuzzFeed Shopping team since 2021…
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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues just now. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.
Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use.