Where will Justin Herbert and Madison Beer's Wedding occur? (Before 2028)

Kalshi Culture Closes Dec 31, 2027 · $260 traded · $225 at stake · prices read 2 h ago

The odds

59%California

California59%
Oregon14%
New York14%
Hawaii4%
Italy4%
Mexico4%

How the odds have moved

California: 60% on Oct 19, 59% now.

Each outcome's chance over time on Kalshi. The dots along the bottom are headlines about its subject: point at one to read it.

Every outcome

Outcome	Chance	Bid	Ask	Pays	Contracts
California	59%	56¢	65¢	$1.54	372
Oregon	14%	10¢	19¢	$5.26	119
New York	14%	10¢	19¢	$5.26	84.00
Hawaii	4%	1¢	8¢	$12.50	4.00
Italy	4%	1¢	8¢	$12.50	4.00
Mexico	4%	1¢	8¢	$12.50	124

"Pays" is what a $1 stake returns if that outcome happens, at the price shown (before any fees). Bid and ask are the best prices to sell and buy "Yes".

The news: Justin Herbert and Madison Beer's Wedding, New York

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Cardi B Attends KATSEYE’s New York Concert With DaughtersBillboard · 9 h agoCardi B brought daughters Kulture and Blossom to the concert after previously declaring her love for the group and "Hootie Frutti." Cardi B brought daughters Kulture and Blossom to KATSEYE’s New York concert on Saturday night (Oct. 24)…
New York Giants activate Paulson Adebo; elevate Jalin HyattYahoo Sports · 15 h agoThe New York Giants made several roster moves on Saturday ahead of their Week 7 road matchup against the Houston Texans. The team activated cornerback Paulson Adebo from injured reserve (IR). Adebo had been designated for return and…
New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Game Day ForecastYahoo Sports · 17 h agoThe New York Jets are at home in East Rutherford, New Jersey today. They will be taking on the Miami Dolphins. The game is scheduled to start shortly after 1:00 pm EDT. - New York Jets vs Miami Dolphins Game Day Forecast Game time: Fast…
Houston Texans to Face Shorthanded New York Giants on SundayYahoo Sports · 15 h agoRiding a wave of momentum against a decimated New York defense, Houston looks to ignite another late-season surge and keep their unlikely playoff aspirations alive this Sunday. Riding a wave of momentum against a decimated New York…
First Alert Weather: Sun and clouds Saturday in New York - 10/24/26CBS News · 20 h agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change First Alert Weather: Sun and clouds Saturday in New York - 10/24/26 First Alert Weather: Near normal temps Saturday in New York…
First Alert Weather: Freezing temps overnight for some parts of New York - 10/24/26CBS News · 15 h agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change First Alert Weather: Freezing temps overnight for some parts of New York - 10/24/26 Trump, Obama make Senate campaign stops in…
New York Giants vs. Houston Texans inactives: Who's in, who's out?Yahoo Sports · 11 h agoThe New York Giants (3-2-1) and Houston Texans (2-4) square off on Sunday afternoon at Reliant Stadium in Houston, Texas, in Week 7. Both teams have officially announced their inactives for the game. Below is a full list: CB Greg Newsome…
New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victimsCBS News · 15 h agoCBS News - The 5:33 | Legacy of the LIRR Massacre - On The Dot with David Schechter: Wildfires & Climate Change New York Archdiocese agrees to settlement for 1,300 sexual abuse victims Trump, Obama make Senate campaign stops in opposite…
Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio, UtahFox News · 3 h agoCongressional candidates Michael LiPetri, Eric Conroy and Riley Owen join 'Fox & Friends Weekend' to discuss generational change in Congress as elections approach. Congressional candidates highlight issues facing voters in New York, Ohio…
New York's archdiocese, survivors of clergy abuse agree to $800 million settlementNBC News · 16 h agoThe Archdiocese of New York and attorneys for about 1,300 parishioners who said they were sexually abused by clergy have agreed to an $800 million settlement of their legal claims, the second-largest involving a Catholic archdiocese in the…
New York archdiocese finalizing $800m settlement with clergy sex abuse survivorsthe Guardian · 22 h agoAgreement with more than 1,300 victims of clergy members and lay leaders would resolve long legal fight The Catholic archdiocese of New York is finalizing a settlement for at least $800m with more than 1,300 people who said they were…
New York Giants downgrade Jevon Holland, Theo Johnson to outYahoo Sports · 23 h agoThe New York Giants announced on Saturday that safety Jevon Holland and tight end Theo Johnson have been downgraded to out for Sunday's Week 7 game against the Houston Texans. Holland, who had been listed as questionable with a concussion…

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Odds are traders' prices on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, not forecasts by 4Conservative. Prices read from the venues 4 min ago. Prices may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts. Not betting or investment advice.

About this market

VenueKalshi

Settles onThe Washington Post, the New York Times, ABC

Trading closesDec 31, 2027 11:59 PM ET

Traded$260 (707 contracts)

This week$4

At stake$225

Followed here sinceOct 19, 2026

The rules

If Justin Herbert and Madison Beer's Wedding happens in California before Jan 1, 2028, then the market resolves to Yes.

The full rules are on the market's page at Kalshi.

Reading the odds

A prediction market trades contracts that pay $1 if something happens. Its price is the market's chance: a contract at 62¢ means traders give it 62%. Each number here is the midpoint between the best bid and offer, or the last trade when they are more than ten cents apart.

For a question with many answers (who wins, which range a number lands in), the chances are scaled to add up to 100%. A price ladder ("above 4.25%, above 4.50% ...") gives a whole distribution: its median is where traders see an even chance either way.

Kalshi is a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; its money is counted in contracts, shown here as dollars at their price. Polymarket counts dollars. ForecastEx is Interactive Brokers' exchange, regulated by the CFTC; its contracts too are shown as dollars at their price. Crypto.com lists its markets on Crypto.com | Derivatives North America, a U.S. exchange regulated by the CFTC; it reports the dollars traded. Where more than one asks the same question, each is shown, never averaged.

Prefer betting odds? Switch to American (+150) or decimal (2.50) odds at the top of the page.

Prediction-market prices are what traders pay for each outcome on Kalshi, Polymarket, ForecastEx and Crypto.com, read as the market's implied chance. They are not forecasts by 4Conservative, can move fast and can be wrong; they are read every few minutes and may be delayed. Money traded on Kalshi and ForecastEx is estimated from contracts at their price. News comes from the 4Conservative index; prices of stocks, rates and coins from 4Conservative Finance. Nothing here is betting, financial or investment advice. Terms of use. How to use Predictions